Augsburg at Werder Bremen

Updated

Augsburg

32.0%25.2%42.8%
Augsburg WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.51
0Final Score 2

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Augsburg
Money Line
T 1-1 at Union Berlin+270
T 1-1 vs Hoffenheim+150
T 1-1 at FC Koln+245
W 2-3 vs Wolfsburg+155
L 0-2 at Freiburg+320
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+530
T 2-2 vs Eint Frankfurt+185
T 2-2 at Wolfsburg+355
W 0-2 vs Union Berlin+180
L 0-1 at Dortmund+875

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Augsburg+175+180+210+213-+213+213-
Werder Bremen+140+145+115+124-+124+145-
Draw+270+270+280+270-+270+280-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Augsburg+170-+215-+195+210+215-
Werder Bremen+145-+115-+100+120+120-
Draw+270-+270-+250+265+270-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Augsburg: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Augsburg: 0.0%
Werder Bremen: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Augsburg: 80.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Augsburg ML moved from +210 to +200
Werder Bremen ML moved from +124 to +118

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Augsburg: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Augsburg: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Augsburg: 80.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Augsburg ML moved from +160 to +150
Werder Bremen ML moved from +115 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+100o3-105o3+100-o3+100o3+100-
Underu3-115u3-120u3-115u3-120-u3-120u3-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100o3+100-o3-105o3+100o3+100-
Underu3-120u3-120u3-120-u3-125u3-120u3-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.0%
 
No44.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.23%
Exactly 224.00%
Exactly 415.41%
Exactly 63.96%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.30%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.55%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Augsburg
Exactly 028.11%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 222.64%
Exactly 39.57%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 022.17%
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 312.63%
Exactly 44.76%
Exactly 51.43%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.66%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 39.78%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Augsburg
Exactly 055.57%
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 29.59%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 049.78%
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 212.11%
Exactly 32.82%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Augsburg
Wins by 2+ goals13.67%
Wins by 3+ goals4.59%
Wins by 4+ goals1.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals20.97%
Wins by 3+ goals8.17%
Wins by 4+ goals2.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Augsburg
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Augsburg
Wins by 1 goal18.30%
Wins by 2 goals9.09%
Wins by 3 goals3.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal21.72%
Wins by 2 goals12.80%
Wins by 3 goals5.61%
Wins by 4 goals1.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.77%6.23%
1.576.47%23.53%
2.552.47%47.53%
3.530.26%69.74%
4.514.85%85.15%
5.56.30%93.70%
6.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Augsburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.89%28.11%
1.536.22%63.78%
2.513.58%86.42%
3.54.01%95.99%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.83%22.17%
1.544.43%55.57%
2.519.28%80.72%
3.56.64%93.36%
4.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.34%27.66%
1.536.79%63.21%
2.513.95%86.05%
3.54.16%95.84%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Augsburg
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
6.23%
9.39%
7.07%
3.55%
1.34%
0.40%
1
7.91%
11.91%
8.97%
4.51%
1.70%
0.51%
2
5.02%
7.56%
5.69%
2.86%
1.08%
0.32%
3
2.12%
3.20%
2.41%
1.21%
0.46%
0.14%
4
0.67%
1.01%
0.76%
0.38%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.17%
0.26%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Augsburg
1-07.91%
2-05.02%
2-17.56%
3-02.12%
3-13.20%
3-22.41%
4-00.67%
4-11.01%
4-20.76%
4-30.38%
5-00.17%
5-10.26%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-06.23%
1-111.91%
2-25.69%
3-31.21%
4-40.14%
Werder Bremen
0-19.39%
0-27.07%
1-28.97%
0-33.55%
1-34.51%
2-32.86%
0-41.34%
1-41.70%
2-41.08%
3-40.46%
0-50.40%
1-50.51%
2-50.32%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Augsburg
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
27.66%
19.29%
6.73%
1.56%
0.27%
1
16.25%
11.34%
3.95%
0.92%
0.16%
2
4.78%
3.33%
1.16%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.94%
0.65%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Augsburg
1-016.25%
2-04.78%
2-13.33%
3-00.94%
3-10.65%
3-20.23%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-027.66%
1-111.34%
2-21.16%
Werder Bremen
0-119.29%
0-26.73%
1-23.95%
0-31.56%
1-30.92%
2-30.27%
0-40.27%
1-40.16%