German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Freiburg
Wolfsburg 		25.0%
50.5%		24.5%
+176
+157
+181
+145
1.09
1.65		2.74
o2½-120
u2½+105
o2½-120
u2½+100
Union Berlin
FC Koln 		41.2%
33.6%		25.2%
+180
+165
+205
+140
1.48
1.32		2.80
o2½-105
u2½-115
o2½+100
u2½-120
Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart 		35.9%
38.6%		25.5%
+241
+108
+237
+105
1.35
1.41		2.76
o3¼+100
u3¼-112
o3-130
u3+110
Werder Bremen
Augsburg 		34.2%
40.1%		25.7%
+218
+133
+210
+125
1.29
1.42		2.71
o2¾-102
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+105
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig 		28.2%
47.4%		24.4%
+215
+122
+225
+110
1.21
1.63		2.84
o3-118
u3-102
o3-125
u3+105
Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach		36.4%
38.2%		25.4%
+100
+251
+110
+255
2
1		-0.72745-0.75942-1.00939
FC Koln
Bayern Munich		3.4%
89.5%		7.1%
+1100
-435
+1050
-470
0
2		-0.23623-0.24044-0.11111
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		19.0%
59.5%		21.5%
+770
-290
+760
-305
0
3		-0.32762-0.32889-0.51948
Union Berlin
Augsburg		40.3%
33.7%		26.0%
+270
+110
+255
+110
0
2		-0.77204-0.78858-1.08833
Borussia Monchengladbach
Wolfsburg		39.3%
34.6%		26.0%
+279
-103
+265
-105
3
1		-1.35965-1.33964-0.93369
Augsburg
Hoffenheim		21.0%
57.6%		21.4%
+187
+132
+195
+120
1
3		-0.86467-0.83409-0.55121
VfB Stuttgart
Dortmund		16.5%
64.5%		19.0%
+250
+100
+245
+100
1
0		-1.27193-1.27447-1.80193
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Union Berlin		60.7%
18.4%		20.8%
-150
+460
-155
+460
1
0		-0.54206-0.52770-0.49883
RB Leipzig
Freiburg		60.4%
18.6%		21.0%
-175
+475
-180
+445
4
1		-0.47928-0.48464-0.50395
Werder Bremen
Eint Frankfurt		18.7%
61.5%		19.8%
+375
-130
+330
-125
1
1		-1.40222-1.38502-1.61903
FC Koln
Augsburg		32.9%
42.3%		24.8%
+427
-147
+422
-145
1
1		-1.47591-1.40964-1.39517
Dortmund
Bayern Munich		11.9%
72.1%		16.0%
+645
-280
+580
-280
2
0		-2.03876-1.96233-2.12586
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig		7.3%
80.2%		12.5%
+750
-275
+725
-299
0
0		-1.77378-1.77815-2.08249
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		17.3%
63.1%		19.6%
+1200
-480
+1200
-545
1
2		-0.21088-0.21812-0.46115
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen		54.9%
22.2%		22.8%
+171
+170
+166
+170
2
0		-1.01780-1.01796-0.59918
Union Berlin
Eint Frankfurt		23.5%
54.4%		22.1%
+337
-108
+315
-105
0
0		-1.29627-1.28468-1.50837
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.43206 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.44498 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.78719
-0.35513
-0.34221

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.