German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Freiburg
Wolfsburg 		25.0%
50.5%		24.5%
+180
+144

1.09
1.65		2.74
o2¾-102
u2¾-118

Union Berlin
FC Koln 		41.2%
33.6%		25.2%
+205
+144

1.48
1.32		2.80
o2½+100
u2½-119

Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart 		35.9%
38.6%		25.5%
+236
+102

1.35
1.41		2.76
o3¼+100
u3¼-120

Werder Bremen
Augsburg 		34.2%
40.1%		25.7%
+215
+122

1.29
1.42		2.71
o2¾-102
u2¾-112

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
RB Leipzig 		28.2%
47.4%		24.4%
+231
+106

1.21
1.63		2.84
o3¼+105
u3¼-124

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen		43.5%
31.5%		25.0%
+140
+184
+135
+187
4
0		-0.90961-0.89769-0.83213
Mainz 05
Bayern Munich		3.3%
89.5%		7.2%
+1800
-950
+2000
-950
2
2		-2.63359-2.55761-2.62832
Dortmund
Freiburg		53.2%
23.9%		22.9%
+101
+292
+105
+267
1
1		-1.30067-1.29773-1.47386
FC Koln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		9.6%
76.3%		14.1%
+320
-125
+340
-130
0
2		-0.62181-0.59528-0.26999
Wolfsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		27.2%
48.6%		24.2%
+280
+101
+263
+100
3
1		-1.35720-1.32916-1.30262
Augsburg
Eint Frankfurt		17.8%
62.8%		19.3%
+322
-116
+335
-125
0
1		-0.65620-0.62878-0.46491
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin		66.1%
15.0%		18.9%
+130
+220
+135
+205
1
3		-1.18941-1.16155-1.89725
Hoffenheim
Dortmund		18.4%
61.7%		19.9%
+402
-157
+366
-155
0
2		-0.52706-0.54392-0.48266
Eint Frankfurt
RB Leipzig		16.5%
64.8%		18.7%
+345
-131
+325
-135
0
6		-0.60117-0.59998-0.43457
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Augsburg		68.4%
13.8%		17.8%
+112
+256
+115
+280
0
2		-1.30346-1.31625-1.98246
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg		20.7%
56.7%		22.6%
+280
+105
+287
+120
1
3		-0.75230-0.79549-0.56747
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart		80.6%
7.3%		12.1%
-164
+405
-170
+440
5
0		-0.50979-0.47733-0.21589
Borussia Monchengladbach
Mainz 05		66.1%
15.5%		18.5%
+158
+180
+160
+170
1
0		-0.97777-0.99153-0.41473
Mainz 05
Freiburg		20.3%
58.0%		21.7%
+400
-134
+400
-130
0
4		-0.59068-0.60899-0.54547
Wolfsburg
Eint Frankfurt		36.4%
37.7%		25.8%
+280
-107
+270
-102
1
1		-1.41593-1.42995-1.35402
Dortmund
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		31.7%
43.4%		24.9%
+155
+175
+160
+165
2
1		-0.97061-0.99823-1.15034
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.