German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Borussia Monchengladbach
Dortmund
30.2%
45.5%
24.3%
+500
-203

1.28
1.64
2.92
o3-122
u3+105

Games for Dec 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
FC Koln
Werder Bremen
31.8%
43.7%
24.5%
+211
+123
+190
+125
1
1
-1.36367-1.40564-1.40511
Augsburg
Hoffenheim
21.0%
57.6%
21.4%
+365
-138
+350
-140
0
3
-0.57746-0.56639-0.55121
RB Leipzig
Borussia Monchengladbach
43.8%
31.3%
25.0%
+132
+192
+125
+195
0
0
-1.37492-1.40007-1.38794
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
8.3%
78.2%
13.5%
+450
-183
+480
-200
0
2
-0.47004-0.44379-0.24547
Eint Frankfurt
FC Koln
54.8%
23.9%
21.3%
+150
+178
+150
+180
4
3
-0.95016-0.95826-0.60219
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
5.7%
83.6%
10.7%
+1425
-535
+1650
-600
2
6
-0.20622-0.19899-0.17947
VfB Stuttgart
Dortmund
16.5%
64.5%
19.0%
+327
-118
+320
-130
3
3
-1.38266-1.44774-1.66184
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wolfsburg
44.4%
30.0%
25.5%
+104
+257
-103
+270
3
1
-0.74587-0.71198-0.81112
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
50.6%
26.2%
23.2%
+176
+155
+160
+160
1
1
-1.30859-1.32689-1.45912
Mainz 05
Eint Frankfurt
16.5%
65.0%
18.5%
+310
-116
+280
-115
0
1
-0.65709-0.67264-0.43128
Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
23.2%
54.3%
22.4%
+495
-188
+525
-190
2
3
-0.45958-0.45264-0.60996
FC Koln
Borussia Monchengladbach
11.7%
72.9%
15.4%
+255
+106
+255
+115
1
3
-0.75732-0.79356-0.31611
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin
82.3%
6.3%
11.4%
-465
+1275
-480
+1120
2
2
-2.00211-2.03930-2.16954
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
59.9%
19.3%
20.7%
+141
+173
+140
+170
1
3
-1.03753-1.04222-1.64284
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen
54.9%
22.2%
22.8%
+228
+118
+215
+120
1
2
-0.81405-0.82986-1.50341
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg
26.1%
50.1%
23.9%
+144
+176
+135
+180
3
2
-0.92669-0.90057-1.34465
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.