German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 3 days ago

Upcoming Games for December 25, 2024

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Dec 24, 2024

Games for Dec 26, 2024

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
11/03/2024 04:30 PM	Werder Bremen Borussia Monchengladbach	12.6% 70.8%	16.6%	+207 +128 +215 +115	1 4	-0.85128-0.81150	-0.34476
11/03/2024 02:30 PM	Mainz 05 Freiburg	20.3% 58.0%	21.7%	+397 -130 +400 -125	0 0	-1.38358-1.34373	-1.52698
11/02/2024 05:30 PM	RB Leipzig Dortmund	40.1% 34.3%	25.6%	+220 +117 +230 +115	1 2	-0.80726-0.79969	-1.06959
11/02/2024 02:30 PM	Augsburg Wolfsburg	15.6% 64.9%	19.5%	+250 +112 +240 +110	1 1	-1.33165-1.31763	-1.63722
11/02/2024 02:30 PM	Union Berlin Bayern Munich	4.6% 86.1%	9.3%	+1850 -625 +1700 -660	0 3	-0.17441-0.17926	-0.15023
11/01/2024 07:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Bayer 04 Leverkusen	15.5% 65.8%	18.7%	+420 -160 +425 -175	0 0	-1.55079-1.59484	-1.67504
10/27/2024 04:30 PM	Eint Frankfurt Union Berlin	44.8% 30.8%	24.3%	+220 +145 +200 +145	1 1	-1.22792-1.23746	-1.41288
10/26/2024 04:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Werder Bremen	67.3% 14.4%	18.3%	-225 +590 -215 +520	2 2	-1.67777-1.65559	-1.70007
10/26/2024 01:30 PM	Dortmund Augsburg	67.3% 14.7%	18.0%	-123 +320 -125 +315	1 2	-1.46244-1.46508	-1.92005
10/26/2024 01:30 PM	Freiburg RB Leipzig	13.5% 68.6%	18.0%	+342 -125 +315 -125	1 3	-0.61315-0.63626	-0.37736
10/25/2024 06:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Mainz 05	66.1% 15.5%	18.5%	+200 +127 +210 +130	1 1	-1.38111-1.35530	-1.68832
10/20/2024 03:30 PM	Werder Bremen Wolfsburg	16.4% 63.7%	19.9%	+267 +104 +250 +105	4 2	-1.32238-1.29916	-1.80905
10/19/2024 04:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Bayern Munich	5.2% 84.9%	9.9%	+880 -315 +820 -325	0 4	-0.29169-0.30238	-0.16397
10/19/2024 01:30 PM	Eint Frankfurt Bayer 04 Leverkusen	20.4% 59.1%	20.6%	+555 -210 +535 -215	1 2	-0.41911-0.41740	-0.52631
10/19/2024 01:30 PM	RB Leipzig Mainz 05	74.6% 10.2%	15.2%	-113 +315 -115 +300	2 0	-0.65516-0.66680	-0.29362
10/19/2024 01:30 PM	Augsburg Freiburg	21.8% 55.7%	22.5%	+450 -150 +450 -155	1 3	-0.53055-0.53375	-0.58510

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Make Champions League	Make Europa League	Relegation Playoff	Relegation
1	Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)	24.8	4.6	4.7	79.0	99.6%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)	21.3	5.8	6.9	70.9	0.4%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
3	RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)	18.4	3.8	11.8	67.0	0.0%	96.7%	3.3%	0.0%	0.0%
4	Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)	18.9	9.1	6.0	62.7	0.0%	43.4%	56.6%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)	19.3	8.7	5.9	63.9	0.0%	60.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)	13.2	10.7	10.1	49.7	0.0%	0.0%	72.9%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)	13.1	13.0	8.0	47.2	0.0%	0.0%	16.6%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)	12.1	12.9	9.1	45.3	0.0%	0.0%	7.3%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)	10.9	14.1	9.0	41.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)	11.9	16.1	6.1	41.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
12	FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)	11.3	16.5	6.1	40.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)	9.4	15.7	9.0	37.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.8%	0.3%
14	Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)	10.6	17.2	6.2	38.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	0.0%
15	Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)	10.0	19.0	5.0	34.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	14.4%	1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.