German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 41 min ago

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

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Games for Mar 14, 2026

Games for Mar 16, 2026

Games In Progress

Time	Teams	Orig. Win %	Orig. Draw %	Closing ML	Orig. Total Goals	Closing O/U	Period	Current Score
03/15/2026 06:30 PM	RB Leipzig VfB Stuttgart	62.8% 17.4%	19.8%	+165 +145 +160 +150	3.22	o3½-120 u3¾-118 o3½-115 u3½+100	1st H 38:00	0 0

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/23/2022 03:30 PM	Schalke 04 Hertha BSC	26.3% 50.0%	23.6%	+366 -123 +355 -125	1 2	-0.61101-0.62893	-0.69281
10/22/2022 04:30 PM	Eint Frankfurt Borussia Monchengladbach	24.3% 53.8%	21.9%	+159 +173 +155 +166	3 1	-0.97056-0.97729	-1.41284
10/22/2022 01:30 PM	RB Leipzig Augsburg	73.1% 11.1%	15.9%	-147 +415 -160 +460	3 3	-1.48021-1.51140	-1.84124
10/22/2022 01:30 PM	Bayern Munich Hoffenheim	79.0% 8.1%	12.9%	-163 +413 -185 +460	2 0	-0.50246-0.46545	-0.23634
10/22/2022 01:30 PM	Werder Bremen Freiburg	22.7% 54.5%	22.8%	+288 +100 +281 -110	0 2	-0.71048-0.69756	-0.60699
10/22/2022 01:30 PM	Wolfsburg Bayer 04 Leverkusen	23.0% 53.7%	23.3%	+366 -124 +340 -130	2 2	-1.40430-1.40870	-1.45865
10/22/2022 01:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart Dortmund	16.5% 64.5%	19.0%	+469 -163 +465 -175	0 5	-0.50094-0.48695	-0.43823
10/21/2022 06:30 PM	FC Koln Mainz 05	34.8% 40.2%	25.0%	+250 +112 +245 +115	0 5	-0.78231-0.80614	-0.91205
10/16/2022 05:30 PM	Freiburg Bayern Munich	5.7% 83.6%	10.7%	+540 -209 +600 -240	0 5	-0.40866-0.38505	-0.17947
10/16/2022 03:30 PM	Dortmund Union Berlin	59.4% 19.6%	21.0%	+158 +202 +150 +185	0 2	-1.12233-1.09050	-1.62928
10/16/2022 01:30 PM	Augsburg FC Koln	33.8% 41.4%	24.8%	+423 -156 +430 -170	2 3	-0.51931-0.50720	-0.88218
10/15/2022 04:30 PM	Hertha BSC RB Leipzig	8.8% 77.7%	13.6%	+590 -204 +550 -213	2 3	-0.42948-0.43314	-0.25264
10/15/2022 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Werder Bremen	30.2% 45.0%	24.8%	+220 +125 +230 +115	2 0	-1.19287-1.23519	-1.19733
10/15/2022 01:30 PM	Borussia Monchengladbach Wolfsburg	39.3% 34.6%	26.0%	+144 +195 +135 +195	2 2	-1.32723-1.32234	-1.34557
10/15/2022 01:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Eint Frankfurt	49.6% 27.3%	23.1%	+180 +159 +169 +155	1 5	-0.97246-0.98067	-1.29968
10/14/2022 06:30 PM	Hoffenheim Schalke 04	53.5% 23.7%	22.8%	+108 +267 +105 +250	3 0	-0.74198-0.75724	-0.62517

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	2	0-2-0 (0.000)	0	-1.35832
Sportsbooks	2	0-2-0 (0.000)	0	-1.34788
DRatings	2	0-2-0 (0.000)	0	-1.23736	0.12095 0.11052

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Make Champions League	Make Europa League	Relegation Playoff	Relegation
1	Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)	24.8	4.6	4.7	79.0	99.6%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)	21.3	5.8	6.9	70.9	0.4%	99.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
3	RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)	18.4	3.8	11.8	67.0	0.0%	96.7%	3.3%	0.0%	0.0%
4	Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)	18.9	9.1	6.0	62.7	0.0%	43.4%	56.6%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)	19.3	8.7	5.9	63.9	0.0%	60.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)	13.2	10.7	10.1	49.7	0.0%	0.0%	72.9%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)	13.1	13.0	8.0	47.2	0.0%	0.0%	16.6%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)	12.1	12.9	9.1	45.3	0.0%	0.0%	7.3%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)	10.9	14.1	9.0	41.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)	11.9	16.1	6.1	41.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
12	FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)	11.3	16.5	6.1	40.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)	9.4	15.7	9.0	37.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	3.8%	0.3%
14	Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)	10.6	17.2	6.2	38.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	0.0%
15	Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)	10.0	19.0	5.0	34.9	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	14.4%	1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.