German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eint Frankfurt
Hoffenheim 		37.7%
37.4%		25.0%
+133
+185

1.43
1.43		2.86
o3-120
u3¼-122

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen 		67.3%
14.4%		18.3%
-101
+270

2.31
0.98		3.29
o3-108
u3-104

Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart 		51.8%
25.3%		22.9%
+380
-163

1.82
1.21		3.03
o3¼-111
u3¼-108

Bayern Munich
Augsburg 		86.0%
4.7%		9.3%
-405
+910

3.32
0.72		4.04
o3½-115
u3½-104

Games for Aug 29, 2025
Games for Aug 31, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Union Berlin
Arminia Bielefeld		39.4%
33.2%		27.3%
+150
+210
+143
+205
0
1		-1.16587-1.15233-1.10160
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Mainz 05		70.3%
12.7%		16.9%
+130
+230
+121
+207
2
3		-1.19839-1.16902-2.06278
Arminia Bielefeld
Hoffenheim		26.6%
51.4%		22.0%
+565
-205
+625
-225
0
2		-0.42768-0.40983-0.66538
Dortmund
Union Berlin		53.8%
26.0%		20.2%
+112
+266
+105
+265
3
0		-0.77014-0.75664-0.62029
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		23.1%
59.5%		17.5%
+696
-255
+685
-250
2
4		-0.35469-0.37353-0.51935
Wolfsburg
Eint Frankfurt		36.7%
37.5%		25.8%
+265
+120
+240
+120
2
0		-1.31211-1.26986-1.00337
Augsburg
Borussia Monchengladbach		20.2%
65.5%		14.3%
+475
-163
+455
-169
2
3		-0.49418-0.50602-0.42249
Mainz 05
Freiburg		26.3%
52.6%		21.0%
+275
+110
+257
+110
1
1		-1.26217-1.28349-1.55917
FC Koln
RB Leipzig		15.6%
74.6%		9.8%
+656
-229
+630
-250
1
3		-0.38097-0.38459-0.29241
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund		36.5%
40.0%		23.5%
+239
-105
+260
-105
5
2		-1.26457-1.32013-1.00810
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich		23.1%
58.3%		18.6%
+600
-240
+575
-250
2
3		-0.37526-0.38365-0.53988
Eint Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart		40.7%
36.5%		22.8%
+195
+150
+186
+150
3
2		-1.11024-1.08957-0.89934
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05		47.2%
30.6%		22.2%
+168
+172
+170
+168
0
2		-1.03493-1.02443-1.18270
Union Berlin
Augsburg		40.3%
35.7%		24.0%
+165
+185
+163
+185
0
2		-1.07546-1.08907-1.02968
Borussia Monchengladbach
Arminia Bielefeld		56.5%
23.5%		20.0%
+110
+277
+115
+269
1
1		-1.26919-1.26401-1.60964
Freiburg
FC Koln		45.1%
32.2%		22.7%
+177
+155
+195
+152
0
1		-0.97035-0.94554-1.13383
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.