German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Eint Frankfurt
Hoffenheim 		37.7%
37.4%		25.0%
+133
+185
+125
+185
1.43
1.43		2.86
o3-120
u3¼-122
o3-130
u3+110
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen 		67.3%
14.4%		18.3%
-108
+275
-110
+275
2.31
0.98		3.29
o3-108
u3-104
o3-110
u3-110
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart 		51.8%
25.3%		22.9%
+380
-163
+375
-160
1.82
1.21		3.03
o3¼-111
u3¼-108
o3½+120
u3½-140
Bayern Munich
Augsburg 		86.0%
4.7%		9.3%
-405
+910
-415
+935
3.32
0.72		4.04
o3½-115
u3½-104
o3½-115
u3½-105
Games for Aug 29, 2025
Games for Aug 31, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayern Munich
Hertha BSC		78.6%
11.4%		10.0%
-500
+1300
-575
+1375
4
1		-0.20796-0.20039-0.24129
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		25.2%
53.9%		20.9%
+562
-180
+550
-188
0
2		-0.46796-0.47028-0.61876
Augsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		17.4%
67.7%		14.9%
+654
-230
+615
-240
1
5		-0.39019-0.39693-0.39008
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach		23.3%
57.9%		18.8%
+300
+100
+276
+105
2
1		-1.41750-1.36000-1.45522
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg		34.1%
42.2%		23.7%
+350
-120
+355
-115
0
2		-0.65059-0.66142-0.86315
Dortmund
Hoffenheim		48.6%
29.9%		21.6%
-105
+257
-105
+250
3
2		-0.70461-0.70550-0.72241
Arminia Bielefeld
Eint Frankfurt		24.6%
55.5%		19.8%
+456
-140
+430
-139
2
0		-1.73824-1.70397-1.40104
Eint Frankfurt
Augsburg		49.4%
29.5%		21.1%
+160
+180
+138
+210
1
1		-1.25903-1.23870-1.55794
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		38.7%
37.7%		23.6%
+120
+215
+130
+221
2
1		-0.81331-0.84234-0.94817
Hertha BSC
Wolfsburg		24.2%
56.3%		19.5%
+330
-105
+340
-105
0
0		-1.28276-1.26727-1.63414
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		39.8%
36.4%		23.8%
+150
+196
+145
+195
1
2		-1.11663-1.12224-1.01145
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart		56.4%
24.3%		19.3%
-165
+509
-160
+485
2
0		-0.50407-0.51529-0.57270
Bayern Munich
FC Koln		80.4%
10.4%		9.1%
-235
+562
-255
+585
4
0		-0.38066-0.36691-0.21772
Freiburg
Dortmund		24.5%
55.9%		19.6%
+565
-225
+550
-230
1
5		-0.40392-0.40758-0.58170
FC Koln
Hertha BSC		33.7%
44.0%		22.3%
+160
+175
+155
+170
3
1		-0.98892-0.98714-1.08684
Dortmund
Eint Frankfurt		45.4%
32.6%		21.9%
-135
+345
-125
+320
3
2		-0.58557-0.63051-0.78884
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.