German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eint Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
37.7%
37.4%
25.0%
+133
+185
+125
+185
1.43
1.43
2.86
o3-120
u3¼-122
o3-130
u3+110
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
67.3%
14.4%
18.3%
-108
+275
-110
+275
2.31
0.98
3.29
o3-108
u3-104
o3-110
u3-110
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
51.8%
25.3%
22.9%
+380
-164
+375
-160
1.82
1.21
3.03
o3¼-111
u3¼-105
o3½+120
u3½-140
Bayern Munich
Augsburg
86.0%
4.7%
9.3%
-405
+910
-415
+935
3.32
0.72
4.04
o3½-115
u3½-104
o3½-115
u3½-105
Games for Aug 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
14.4%
72.8%
12.8%
+385
-135
+365
-132
1
4
-0.58756-0.61002-0.31744
Union Berlin
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
20.8%
61.6%
17.6%
+365
-130
+342
-130
2
2
-1.40662-1.40772-1.73477
Arminia Bielefeld
Freiburg
27.0%
50.1%
22.9%
+415
-125
+400
-115
2
2
-1.33804-1.33302-1.47242
Augsburg
Hoffenheim
27.1%
52.4%
20.6%
+540
-190
+520
-195
1
3
-0.45127-0.45754-0.64642
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayern Munich
18.3%
67.0%
14.7%
+848
-320
+750
-330
2
1
-2.27497-2.18418-1.69811
VfB Stuttgart
FC Koln
44.0%
33.5%
22.5%
+310
-115
+310
-120
0
1
-0.65655-0.64596-1.09464
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg
50.1%
27.9%
22.0%
+170
+160
+165
+159
1
2
-0.98406-0.99282-1.27565
Dortmund
Hertha BSC
58.2%
23.7%
18.1%
-165
+445
-175
+410
2
3
-1.72597-1.67788-1.43910
Arminia Bielefeld
RB Leipzig
14.9%
70.2%
14.9%
+1450
-455
+1300
-455
2
0
-2.76288-2.68311-1.90213
Mainz 05
Eint Frankfurt
23.9%
58.1%
18.0%
+185
+155
+185
+150
0
1
-0.96845-0.96029-0.54276
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hoffenheim
45.9%
31.8%
22.3%
+272
+100
+255
-105
1
1
-1.38589-1.43873-1.50206
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
15.3%
70.8%
13.9%
+1601
-500
+1250
-525
0
4
-0.18704-0.21498-0.34547
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
24.3%
56.6%
19.1%
+270
+100
+285
-107
2
2
-1.38733-1.39352-1.65705
Freiburg
Union Berlin
38.7%
36.8%
24.5%
+195
+160
+200
+155
0
0
-1.19862-1.18945-1.40527
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
65.4%
18.7%
15.8%
-230
+640
-242
+650
1
1
-1.64589-1.63327-1.84251
Eint Frankfurt
Borussia Monchengladbach
29.7%
49.5%
20.8%
+233
+115
+235
+112
3
2
-1.23114-1.25218-1.21497
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.