German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Eint Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
37.7%
37.4%
25.0%
+129
+190
+125
+185
1.43
1.43
2.86
o3¼-102
u3¼-117
o3-130
u3+110
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
67.3%
14.4%
18.3%
-108
+275
-110
+275
2.31
0.98
3.29
o3-108
u3-104
o3-110
u3-110
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
51.8%
25.3%
22.9%
+380
-163
+375
-160
1.82
1.21
3.03
o3¼-111
u3¼-105
o3½+120
u3½-140
Bayern Munich
Augsburg
86.0%
4.7%
9.3%
-405
+910
-415
+935
3.32
0.72
4.04
o3½-115
u3½-104
o3½-115
u3½-105
Games for Aug 29, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
FC Koln
Wolfsburg
22.7%
59.1%
18.2%
+240
+120
+230
+120
3
2
-1.24988-1.23629-1.48483
Hertha BSC
Mainz 05
38.7%
37.9%
23.4%
+325
-105
+325
-105
0
4
-0.70409-0.70981-0.96951
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart
73.1%
14.5%
12.4%
-325
+894
-340
+825
5
0
-0.29225-0.30162-0.31299
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Eint Frankfurt
46.6%
31.5%
21.9%
+125
+225
+133
+215
2
5
-1.20011-1.17154-1.15442
VfB Stuttgart
Wolfsburg
28.7%
49.0%
22.3%
+315
-105
+310
+105
2
0
-1.45509-1.43818-1.24799
Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
7.7%
84.1%
8.2%
+1200
-420
+1125
-465
1
2
-0.23403-0.24119-0.17264
Borussia Monchengladbach
RB Leipzig
29.1%
49.2%
21.7%
+317
-115
+321
-115
1
4
-0.65633-0.65160-0.71029
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
36.0%
40.2%
23.8%
+230
+125
+225
+120
2
1
-1.22268-1.22166-1.02193
Arminia Bielefeld
Hertha BSC
33.3%
42.6%
24.0%
+325
+100
+310
+100
0
2
-0.73075-0.73639-0.85242
Augsburg
FC Koln
35.9%
41.0%
23.1%
+415
-135
+400
-139
2
0
-1.65089-1.64052-1.02474
Freiburg
Borussia Monchengladbach
26.2%
53.2%
20.6%
+336
-120
+346
-125
6
0
-1.50319-1.53716-1.33872
Hertha BSC
VfB Stuttgart
30.3%
48.0%
21.7%
+265
+120
+270
+115
2
2
-1.26691-1.28388-1.52597
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
57.5%
23.9%
18.5%
-110
+265
-109
+260
3
2
-0.67651-0.68500-0.55262
Eint Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
38.7%
38.5%
22.8%
+290
-105
+290
-107
2
3
-0.68748-0.68294-0.95407
Wolfsburg
Mainz 05
53.0%
25.9%
21.1%
+240
+125
+234
+120
0
3
-0.83896-0.83540-1.34904
FC Koln
Arminia Bielefeld
34.8%
41.2%
24.0%
+135
+210
+133
+220
1
1
-1.27561-1.25896-1.42595
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.