German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 20, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig 		14.0%
68.3%		17.7%
+265
-108

0.99
2.39		3.38
o3¼-120
u3½-118

Games for Mar 19, 2026
Games for Mar 21, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Dortmund
Wolfsburg		41.1%
33.5%		25.4%
+110
+227
+110
+223
2
0		-0.77345-0.77953-0.88992
FC Koln
Augsburg		34.5%
40.7%		24.7%
+155
+195
+155
+194
3
2		-0.96969-0.97530-1.06378
Wolfsburg
VfB Stuttgart		41.7%
33.0%		25.3%
-125
+320
-130
+300
3
1		-0.62409-0.61982-0.87436
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen		32.7%
42.6%		24.7%
+140
+222
+135
+220
1
0		-0.90350-0.89732-1.11780
Borussia Monchengladbach
Hoffenheim		45.3%
31.4%		23.4%
+155
+190
+147
+175
2
3		-1.06485-1.04962-1.15957
Union Berlin
Dortmund		22.0%
61.4%		16.6%
+560
-189
+550
-196
0
2		-0.44730-0.43844-0.48713
Schalke 04
Arminia Bielefeld		31.1%
43.1%		25.7%
+335
-110
+370
-115
0
1		-0.67688-0.65082-0.84056
Augsburg
Eint Frankfurt		25.1%
56.7%		18.3%
+914
-300
+850
-290
0
2		-0.29936-0.31877-0.56812
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		20.8%
63.8%		15.4%
+490
-185
+515
-190
0
2		-0.46304-0.45295-0.44942
RB Leipzig
FC Koln		67.8%
19.1%		13.1%
-167
+535
-175
+480
1
2		-1.85860-1.80369-1.65559
Werder Bremen
Dortmund		19.2%
67.3%		13.5%
+819
-295
+816
-265
1
4		-0.31674-0.33543-0.39589
FC Koln
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		17.8%
70.3%		11.8%
+475
-150
+450
-158
0
3		-0.53144-0.53363-0.35179
Arminia Bielefeld
Augsburg		34.0%
39.4%		26.6%
+219
+140
+210
+135
0
0		-1.04599-1.03764-1.00568
VfB Stuttgart
Union Berlin		36.6%
37.0%		26.3%
+254
+115
+251
+115
1
2		-0.80225-0.80784-0.99296
Schalke 04
Freiburg		24.8%
54.9%		20.2%
+460
-149
+451
-145
0
4		-0.54319-0.55706-0.59887
Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg		66.2%
19.3%		14.5%
-111
+295
-110
+290
3
2		-0.66754-0.67702-0.41213
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.