German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 2, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Augsburg
Werder Bremen 		32.0%
42.8%		25.2%
+265
-103

1.27
1.51		2.78
o3-101
u3-118

VfB Stuttgart
Hoffenheim 		30.6%
44.9%		24.4%
+174
+133

1.29
1.61		2.90
o3½-102
u3½-115

FC Koln
Union Berlin 		26.1%
50.7%		23.2%
+197
+147

1.21
1.79		3.00
o2½-112
u2½-108

RB Leipzig
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		38.2%
35.7%		26.1%
+210
+115

1.35
1.29		2.64
o3½-105
u3½-112

Games for May 1, 2026
Games for May 3, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wolfsburg		44.4%
30.0%		25.5%
+104
+257
-103
+270
3
1		-0.74587-0.71198-0.81112
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05		50.6%
26.2%		23.2%
+176
+155
+160
+160
1
1		-1.30859-1.32689-1.45912
Mainz 05
Eint Frankfurt		16.5%
65.0%		18.5%
+310
-116
+280
-115
0
1		-0.65709-0.67264-0.43128
Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart		23.2%
54.3%		22.4%
+495
-188
+525
-190
2
3		-0.45958-0.45264-0.60996
FC Koln
Borussia Monchengladbach		11.7%
72.9%		15.4%
+255
+106
+255
+115
1
3		-0.75732-0.79356-0.31611
Bayern Munich
Union Berlin		82.3%
6.3%		11.4%
-465
+1275
-480
+1120
2
2		-2.00211-2.03930-2.16954
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim		59.9%
19.3%		20.7%
+141
+173
+140
+170
1
3		-1.03753-1.04222-1.64284
Wolfsburg
Werder Bremen		54.9%
22.2%		22.8%
+228
+118
+215
+120
1
2		-0.81405-0.82986-1.50341
Hoffenheim
Wolfsburg		26.1%
50.1%		23.9%
+144
+176
+135
+180
3
2		-0.92669-0.90057-1.34465
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayern Munich		12.8%
70.1%		17.0%
+900
-365
+950
-410
0
3		-0.27686-0.25467-0.35461
Freiburg
Union Berlin		38.0%
35.2%		26.8%
+187
+173
+180
+167
0
0		-1.17247-1.19538-1.31837
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05		36.0%
38.0%		25.9%
+295
-110
+293
-110
1
1		-1.39574-1.37362-1.35031
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig		12.5%
70.7%		16.8%
+227
+114
+225
+115
1
3		-0.79509-0.80625-0.34655
Dortmund
Augsburg		67.3%
14.7%		18.0%
-176
+490
-179
+450
1
0		-0.48033-0.49083-0.39607
Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart		21.7%
56.6%		21.7%
+241
+112
+290
+110
1
2		-0.78603-0.74480-0.56853
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		16.6%
63.5%		19.9%
+295
+100
+290
+100
0
2		-0.71775-0.72307-0.45487
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.