German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Augsburg
Dortmund 		10.4%
74.5%		15.0%
+577
-226
+570
-235
0.91
2.67		3.58
o3-119
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 		62.1%
17.8%		20.1%
-179
+429
-160
+415
2.14
1.06		3.20
o3½-105
u3½-115
o3½+100
u3½-115
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim 		40.7%
33.4%		25.8%
+555
-216
+500
-205
1.42
1.26		2.68
o3¼-112
u3¼-105
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich		3.7%
88.5%		7.8%
+2200
-1000
+2350
-1200
0
4		-0.13059-0.12619-0.12168
Wolfsburg
Dortmund		24.4%
52.2%		23.4%
+445
-175
+425
-180
0
1		-0.48540-0.49132-0.64949
Borussia Monchengladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		28.7%
47.2%		24.1%
+475
-173
+475
-192
1
1		-1.53693-1.58231-1.42454
Union Berlin
Eint Frankfurt		23.5%
54.4%		22.1%
+420
-157
+420
-165
4
3		-1.68325-1.69097-1.44757
FC Koln
RB Leipzig		7.7%
79.9%		12.4%
+290
-112
+290
-110
1
3		-0.67342-0.68134-0.22387
Bayern Munich
Hoffenheim		79.0%
8.1%		12.9%
-265
+685
-285
+650
4
1		-0.34862-0.34023-0.23634
Freiburg
Werder Bremen		45.2%
29.8%		25.1%
+187
+145
+170
+145
3
0		-1.08960-1.04441-0.79509
Mainz 05
Augsburg		31.3%
43.6%		25.1%
+165
+170
+160
+170
4
1		-1.00745-1.00261-1.16229
Werder Bremen
Borussia Monchengladbach		12.6%
70.8%		16.6%
+225
+112
+225
+105
4
0		-1.21258-1.22316-2.07497
FC Koln
Wolfsburg		15.3%
66.0%		18.7%
+303
-107
+290
-105
3
3		-1.34304-1.34646-1.67788
VfB Stuttgart
Freiburg		31.4%
43.2%		25.4%
+170
+164
+160
+175
1
3		-1.00504-1.04109-0.83982
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05		74.6%
10.2%		15.2%
+190
+136
+175
+145
1
0		-1.09661-1.05999-0.29362
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin		39.6%
34.6%		25.8%
+155
+186
+155
+170
4
2		-0.97056-0.98011-0.92584
Eint Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		20.4%
59.1%		20.6%
+238
+114
+215
+115
1
3		-0.79019-0.81353-0.52631
Freiburg
FC Koln		47.5%
28.5%		24.0%
+177
+164
+176
+155
1
4		-1.00581-0.98355-1.25664
Union Berlin
Dortmund		14.2%
67.8%		18.0%
+630
-227
+600
-233
0
3		-0.39966-0.40072-0.38904
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (22-4-4, 70 pts)24.84.64.779.099.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (19-5-6, 63 pts)21.35.86.970.90.4%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3RB Leipzig (16-3-11, 59 pts)18.43.811.867.00.0%96.7%3.3%0.0%0.0%
4Borussia Monchengladbach (17-8-5, 56 pts)18.99.16.062.70.0%43.4%56.6%0.0%0.0%
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen (17-8-5, 56 pts)19.38.75.963.90.0%60.0%40.0%0.0%0.0%
6Wolfsburg (12-9-9, 45 pts)13.210.710.149.70.0%0.0%72.9%0.0%0.0%
7Hoffenheim (12-11-7, 43 pts)13.113.08.047.20.0%0.0%16.6%0.0%0.0%
8Freiburg (11-11-8, 41 pts)12.112.99.145.30.0%0.0%7.3%0.0%0.0%
9Hertha BSC (10-12-8, 38 pts)10.914.19.041.70.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.916.16.141.70.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
12FC Koln (10-15-5, 35 pts)11.316.56.140.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (8-14-8, 32 pts)9.415.79.037.00.0%0.0%0.0%3.8%0.3%
14Union Berlin (9-16-5, 32 pts)10.617.26.238.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
15Mainz 05 (9-17-4, 31 pts)10.019.05.034.90.0%0.0%0.0%14.4%1.9%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.