Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 26, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedSassuolo
Torino 		43.8%
32.2%		24.0%
+116
+248
+125
+240
1.69
1.23		2.92
o2½-128
u2½+108
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Feb 25, 2021
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Milan
Torino		68.6%
13.5%		17.9%
-152
+494
-145
+460
3
2		-0.54032-0.56370-0.37627
Genoa
Udinese		28.3%
45.1%		26.6%
+250
+146
+229
+151
2
1		-1.28688-1.23701-1.26277
Juventus
Napoli		45.3%
28.1%		26.6%
+220
+170
+220
+159
1
2		-1.02644-0.98854-1.27043
Bologna
Lazio		11.8%
71.7%		16.5%
+260
+133
+242
+145
1
1		-1.14936-1.14319-1.79927
Roma
Cagliari		64.1%
16.5%		19.3%
-144
+525
-154
+480
0
1		-1.86704-1.79890-1.80072
Atalanta
Hellas Verona		62.5%
17.3%		20.1%
-155
+500
-150
+467
1
3		-1.82542-1.77526-1.75423
Fiorentina
Sassuolo		33.1%
40.6%		26.2%
+168
+198
+165
+190
1
3		-1.11773-1.09880-0.90079
Napoli
Roma		35.0%
38.6%		26.4%
+218
+190
+210
+165
1
0		-1.18345-1.17633-1.05119
Fiorentina
Atalanta		14.2%
67.7%		18.1%
+495
-157
+480
-150
0
2		-0.52760-0.54578-0.39078
Lazio
Milan		30.0%
44.4%		25.7%
+490
-148
+445
-150
0
1		-0.55071-0.55977-0.81263
Cagliari
Juventus		6.5%
80.8%		12.7%
+1300
-425
+1150
-400
1
2		-0.24552-0.26237-0.21326
Hellas Verona
Genoa		40.5%
32.3%		27.2%
+390
+106
+345
+105
1
2		-0.75647-0.75745-1.13016
Milan
Inter		25.4%
50.3%		24.3%
+315
+108
+280
+110
1
0		-1.45775-1.37650-1.36912
Atalanta
Napoli		38.7%
35.4%		25.9%
+252
+136
+220
+140
1
3		-0.89372-0.92591-1.03719
Juventus
Fiorentina		64.3%
14.9%		20.8%
+102
+320
+105
+287
1
1		-1.22946-1.26330-1.56950
Bologna
Udinese		28.9%
44.8%		26.3%
+162
+205
+160
+205
3
0		-0.99785-0.99506-1.24185
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.