Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 26, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedSassuolo
Torino 		43.8%
32.2%		24.0%
+116
+248
+125
+240
1.69
1.23		2.92
o2½-128
u2½+108
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Feb 25, 2021
Games for Mar 14, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hellas Verona
Sassuolo		30.1%
44.1%		25.8%
+440
-130
+450
-130
0
3		-0.60602-0.61508-0.81801
Roma
Napoli		30.8%
43.7%		25.4%
+242
+158
+235
+155
2
2		-1.07075-1.09497-1.36928
Bologna
Torino		34.8%
39.5%		25.7%
+146
+220
+140
+220
2
1		-0.93308-0.91722-1.05512
Sassuolo
Udinese		39.0%
34.0%		27.0%
+205
+167
+220
+155
2
1		-1.15024-1.20477-0.94192
Juventus
Inter		34.5%
37.9%		27.6%
+313
+104
+303
+105
2
3		-0.74769-0.75173-0.96982
Atalanta
Lazio		39.8%
35.1%		25.1%
+126
+252
+130
+238
2
0		-0.84996-0.87515-0.92120
Cagliari
Roma		11.8%
71.9%		16.3%
+725
-209
+700
-213
0
2		-0.42607-0.43314-0.33016
Lazio
Juventus		21.0%
55.6%		23.3%
+850
-250
+815
-250
2
2		-1.56232-1.53123-1.45685
Inter
Sassuolo		64.9%
15.9%		19.1%
-223
+665
-245
+685
5
0		-0.40513-0.39137-0.43157
Torino
Fiorentina		21.7%
55.0%		23.3%
+435
-140
+440
-138
2
2		-1.36787-1.35294-1.45758
Napoli
Genoa		64.2%
15.7%		20.1%
+109
+338
+110
+325
3
2		-0.77122-0.79116-0.44298
Milan
Bologna		66.9%
14.5%		18.6%
+152
+215
+155
+206
3
0		-0.95847-0.97479-0.40182
Roma
Udinese		57.1%
20.3%		22.6%
-104
+365
+103
+330
0
1		-1.57833-1.49094-1.59475
Hellas Verona
Cagliari		41.3%
31.6%		27.0%
+294
+125
+290
+123
0
4		-0.84639-0.84490-1.15125
Fiorentina
Napoli		17.9%
59.6%		22.5%
+375
-107
+340
+100
1
2		-0.69259-0.73029-0.51673
Genoa
Lazio		11.6%
71.7%		16.7%
+278
+131
+275
+130
2
3		-0.87084-0.87815-0.33290
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.