Roma at Milan

Updated

Roma

32.3%23.1%44.6%
Roma WinDrawMilan Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.80
1Final Score 3

Milan

Last 5 Games

Roma
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Sampdoria-205
W 4-1 at Atalanta+360
W 0-2 vs Spezia-275
L 3-0 vs Inter+300
L 0-1 at Bologna+150
Milan
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Napoli+115
T 1-1 at Udinese-120
W 0-2 vs Salernitana-475
W 3-0 at Genoa-180
L 3-1 vs Sassuolo-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+255-+220+235+223+235+235+233.1
Milan-115-+125+120+117+120+125+138.8
Draw+260-+245+255+246+255+255+255.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Roma+285---+165+220+220+233.1
Milan-105---+120+120+120+138.8
Draw+260---+240+255+255+255.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +231 to +223
Milan ML moved from +125 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Roma: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Roma ML moved from +225 to +165
Milan ML moved from +135 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¾-108o2¾-115-o2¾-115o2¾+105
Under-u2¾-112u2¾-105-u2¾-105u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+120--o3+105o3+120o2¾+105
Underu3-140--u3-135u3-140u2¾-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.9%
 
No39.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.47%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 417.37%
Exactly 65.59%
Exactly 80.96%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.90%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.79%
Exactly 72.48%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 027.08%
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 310.06%
Exactly 43.29%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 016.52%
Exactly 129.74%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 316.07%
Exactly 47.24%
Exactly 52.61%
Exactly 60.78%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.73%
Exactly 224.55%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 311.77%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 054.62%
Exactly 133.03%
Exactly 29.99%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 043.44%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.10%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Roma
Wins by 2+ goals11.82%
Wins by 3+ goals3.98%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals26.95%
Wins by 3+ goals12.05%
Wins by 4+ goals4.45%
Wins by 5+ goals1.37%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Roma
Milan
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Roma
Wins by 1 goal16.01%
Wins by 2 goals7.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals14.90%
Wins by 3 goals7.60%
Wins by 4 goals3.08%
Wins by 5 goals1.03%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.53%4.47%
1.581.63%18.37%
2.560.04%39.96%
3.537.67%62.33%
4.520.30%79.70%
5.59.51%90.49%
6.53.92%96.08%
7.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.92%27.08%
1.537.54%62.46%
2.514.43%85.57%
3.54.37%95.63%
4.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.48%16.52%
1.553.74%46.26%
2.526.96%73.04%
3.510.88%89.12%
4.53.65%96.35%
5.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.27%23.73%
1.542.14%57.86%
2.517.59%82.41%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.58%98.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Roma
Milan
Score012345
0
4.47%
8.06%
7.25%
4.35%
1.96%
0.71%
1
5.84%
10.52%
9.47%
5.69%
2.56%
0.92%
2
3.82%
6.87%
6.19%
3.71%
1.67%
0.60%
3
1.66%
2.99%
2.69%
1.62%
0.73%
0.26%
4
0.54%
0.98%
0.88%
0.53%
0.24%
0.09%
5
0.14%
0.26%
0.23%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Roma
1-05.84%
2-03.82%
2-16.87%
3-01.66%
3-12.99%
3-22.69%
4-00.54%
4-10.98%
4-20.88%
4-30.53%
5-00.14%
5-10.26%
5-20.23%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-04.47%
1-110.52%
2-26.19%
3-31.62%
4-40.24%
Milan
0-18.06%
0-27.25%
1-29.47%
0-34.35%
1-35.69%
2-33.71%
0-41.96%
1-42.56%
2-41.67%
3-40.73%
0-50.71%
1-50.92%
2-50.60%
3-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Roma
Milan
Score01234
0
23.73%
19.78%
8.25%
2.29%
0.48%
1
14.35%
11.96%
4.99%
1.39%
0.29%
2
4.34%
3.62%
1.51%
0.42%
0.09%
3
0.87%
0.73%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
4
0.13%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Roma
1-014.35%
2-04.34%
2-13.62%
3-00.87%
3-10.73%
3-20.30%
4-00.13%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-023.73%
1-111.96%
2-21.51%
Milan
0-119.78%
0-28.25%
1-24.99%
0-32.29%
1-31.39%
2-30.42%
0-40.48%
1-40.29%