Milan at Sampdoria

Updated

Milan

57.4%19.6%23.0%
Milan WinDrawSampdoria Win
2.10Projected Goals 0.84
1Final Score 0

Sampdoria

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 2-0 at Atalanta+170
T 0-0 vs Cagliari-325
W 7-0 at Torino-140
W 3-0 at Juventus+350
W 0-2 vs Benevento-300
Sampdoria
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Parma-150
W 1-0 at Udinese+185
T 2-2 vs Spezia+150
L 1-5 at Inter+550
W 0-2 vs Roma+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-137-+110+110+104+110+110-
Sampdoria+340-+245+270+267+270+270-
Draw+265-+250+245+236+245+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-110----130+110+110-
Sampdoria+325---+290+260+290-
Draw+245---+225+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +120 to +110
Sampdoria ML moved from +240 to +230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +100 to -105
Sampdoria ML moved from +290 to +260

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2¾-105o2¾-101-o2¾-101-
Under-u2¾-115u2¾-119-u2¾-119-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130--o2½-140o2½-125-
Underu2½+110--u2½+110u2½+105-

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.27%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 416.48%
Exactly 64.76%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.50%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.70%
Exactly 72.00%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 012.22%
Exactly 125.69%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 318.92%
Exactly 49.94%
Exactly 54.18%
Exactly 61.46%
Exactly 70.44%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 043.09%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.27%
Exactly 34.29%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.59%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 310.80%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 037.78%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 067.72%
Exactly 126.40%
Exactly 25.14%
Exactly 30.67%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals42.21%
Wins by 3+ goals22.00%
Wins by 4+ goals9.54%
Wins by 5+ goals3.49%
Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals4.20%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Sampdoria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal24.22%
Wins by 2 goals20.21%
Wins by 3 goals12.46%
Wins by 4 goals6.04%
Wins by 5 goals2.40%
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal9.70%
Wins by 2 goals3.24%
Wins by 3 goals0.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.73%5.27%
1.579.23%20.77%
2.556.41%43.59%
3.534.02%65.98%
4.517.54%82.46%
5.57.84%92.16%
6.53.08%96.92%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.78%12.22%
1.562.09%37.91%
2.535.09%64.91%
3.516.18%83.82%
4.56.23%93.77%
5.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.91%43.09%
1.520.63%79.37%
2.55.36%94.64%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.41%25.59%
1.539.54%60.46%
2.515.77%84.23%
3.54.96%95.04%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Sampdoria
Score01234
0
5.27%
4.43%
1.87%
0.52%
0.11%
1
11.07%
9.32%
3.92%
1.10%
0.23%
2
11.63%
9.79%
4.12%
1.16%
0.24%
3
8.15%
6.86%
2.89%
0.81%
0.17%
4
4.28%
3.61%
1.52%
0.43%
0.09%
5
1.80%
1.52%
0.64%
0.18%
0.04%
Milan
1-011.07%
2-011.63%
2-19.79%
3-08.15%
3-16.86%
3-22.89%
4-04.28%
4-13.61%
4-21.52%
4-30.43%
5-01.80%
5-11.52%
5-20.64%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.27%
1-19.32%
2-24.12%
3-30.81%
Sampdoria
0-14.43%
0-21.87%
1-23.92%
0-30.52%
1-31.10%
2-31.16%
0-40.11%
1-40.23%
2-40.24%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Sampdoria
Score0123
0
25.59%
9.97%
1.94%
0.25%
1
24.90%
9.71%
1.89%
0.25%
2
12.12%
4.72%
0.92%
0.12%
3
3.93%
1.53%
0.30%
0.04%
4
0.96%
0.37%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-024.90%
2-012.12%
2-14.72%
3-03.93%
3-11.53%
3-20.30%
4-00.96%
4-10.37%
5-00.19%
Draw
0-025.59%
1-19.71%
2-20.92%
Sampdoria
0-19.97%
0-21.94%
1-21.89%
0-30.25%
1-30.25%
2-30.12%