Fiorentina at Sampdoria

Updated

Fiorentina

40.7%27.1%32.3%
Fiorentina WinDrawSampdoria Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 4

Sampdoria

Last 5 Games

Fiorentina
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Roma+175
L 0-1 at Milan+480
L 4-0 vs Udinese-165
L 1-2 at Salernitana-155
W 3-2 at Napoli+350
Sampdoria
Money Line
L 0-2 at Lazio+625
W 0-1 vs Genoa+195
T 1-1 at Hellas Verona+425
L 2-1 vs Salernitana-125
L 0-2 at Bologna+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina-125-177-190-185-200-185-177-166.9
Sampdoria+320+561+500+530+537+530+561+554.8
Draw+270+330+340+340+331+340+340+350.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fiorentina-105----200-180-180-166.9
Sampdoria+285---+390+475+475+554.8
Draw+260---+290+330+330+350.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from -169 to -176
Sampdoria ML moved from +489 to +481

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fiorentina: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fiorentina ML moved from -175 to -185
Sampdoria ML moved from +280 to +270

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3+120o2¾-108o2¾-108-o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾+100
Underu2¾-105u3-135u2¾-112u2¾-112-u2¾-112u3-135u2¾+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3+125--o3+110o2½-135o2½-135o2¾+100
Underu2½+110u3-145--u3-140u2½+115u3-140u2¾+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-149 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3-115
The Under moved from u3-115 to u3-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.47%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 413.11%
Exactly 62.66%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.91%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 56.47%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 026.66%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 310.27%
Exactly 43.39%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 031.77%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.52%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.89%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 054.22%
Exactly 133.19%
Exactly 210.16%
Exactly 32.07%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 058.81%
Exactly 131.22%
Exactly 28.29%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals18.49%
Wins by 3+ goals6.57%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals13.06%
Wins by 3+ goals4.09%
Wins by 4+ goals1.02%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Fiorentina
Sampdoria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal22.12%
Wins by 2 goals11.93%
Wins by 3 goals4.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal19.19%
Wins by 2 goals8.97%
Wins by 3 goals3.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.53%8.47%
1.570.62%29.38%
2.544.81%55.19%
3.523.58%76.42%
4.510.47%89.53%
5.54.00%96.00%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.34%26.66%
1.538.10%61.90%
2.514.80%85.20%
3.54.53%95.47%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.23%31.77%
1.531.80%68.20%
2.510.92%89.08%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.11%31.89%
1.531.67%68.33%
2.510.84%89.16%
3.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fiorentina
Sampdoria
Score012345
0
8.47%
9.71%
5.57%
2.13%
0.61%
0.14%
1
11.20%
12.84%
7.36%
2.81%
0.81%
0.18%
2
7.40%
8.49%
4.87%
1.86%
0.53%
0.12%
3
3.26%
3.74%
2.14%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
4
1.08%
1.24%
0.71%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.29%
0.33%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-011.20%
2-07.40%
2-18.49%
3-03.26%
3-13.74%
3-22.14%
4-01.08%
4-11.24%
4-20.71%
4-30.27%
5-00.29%
5-10.33%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.47%
1-112.84%
2-24.87%
3-30.82%
Sampdoria
0-19.71%
0-25.57%
1-27.36%
0-32.13%
1-32.81%
2-31.86%
0-40.61%
1-40.81%
2-40.53%
3-40.23%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Fiorentina
Sampdoria
Score01234
0
31.89%
16.93%
4.49%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.52%
10.36%
2.75%
0.49%
0.06%
2
5.97%
3.17%
0.84%
0.15%
0.02%
3
1.22%
0.65%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Fiorentina
1-019.52%
2-05.97%
2-13.17%
3-01.22%
3-10.65%
3-20.17%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-031.89%
1-110.36%
2-20.84%
Sampdoria
0-116.93%
0-24.49%
1-22.75%
0-30.80%
1-30.49%
2-30.15%
0-40.11%