Napoli at Milan

Updated

Napoli

30.4%26.4%43.2%
Napoli WinDrawMilan Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.41
2Final Score 0

Milan

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
T 0-0 at Juventus+240
W 4-0 at Cagliari-115
W 0-3 vs Bologna-102
L 0-3 at Hellas Verona-140
T 2-2 at Fiorentina+246
Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Udinese-300
L 1-2 at Fiorentina+100
W 2-1 at Inter+410
T 2-2 at Lazio+160
T 2-2 vs Torino-205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+195-+160+168-+168+168-
Milan+125-+175+187-+187+187-
Draw+270-+230+218-+218+230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+187-+160-+175+160+175-
Milan+138-+175-+125+180+180-
Draw+245-+222-+215+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Napoli: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Napoli: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
Milan ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2½-102o2½-106-o2½-106o2½-102-
Underu2¾-112-u2½-118u2½-114-u2½-114u2½-114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-110o2½-110-
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-115u2½-110u2½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.80%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 413.76%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.90%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 57.02%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 031.99%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 024.39%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 311.42%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.69%
Exactly 221.41%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.43%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 058.99%
Exactly 131.13%
Exactly 28.22%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 052.03%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 211.11%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals12.06%
Wins by 3+ goals3.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals20.55%
Wins by 3+ goals7.69%
Wins by 4+ goals2.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Milan
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal18.24%
Wins by 2 goals8.39%
Wins by 3 goals2.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal22.58%
Wins by 2 goals12.86%
Wins by 3 goals5.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.20%7.80%
1.572.30%27.70%
2.546.92%53.08%
3.525.34%74.66%
4.511.58%88.42%
5.54.55%95.45%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.01%31.99%
1.531.55%68.45%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.61%24.39%
1.541.20%58.80%
2.516.92%83.08%
3.55.50%94.50%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.31%30.69%
1.533.06%66.94%
2.511.65%88.35%
3.53.22%96.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Milan
Score012345
0
7.80%
11.01%
7.77%
3.65%
1.29%
0.36%
1
8.89%
12.55%
8.85%
4.16%
1.47%
0.41%
2
5.07%
7.15%
5.05%
2.37%
0.84%
0.24%
3
1.93%
2.72%
1.92%
0.90%
0.32%
0.09%
4
0.55%
0.77%
0.55%
0.26%
0.09%
0.03%
5
0.13%
0.18%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Napoli
1-08.89%
2-05.07%
2-17.15%
3-01.93%
3-12.72%
3-21.92%
4-00.55%
4-10.77%
4-20.55%
4-30.26%
5-00.13%
5-10.18%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-07.80%
1-112.55%
2-25.05%
3-30.90%
Milan
0-111.01%
0-27.77%
1-28.85%
0-33.65%
1-34.16%
2-32.37%
0-41.29%
1-41.47%
2-40.84%
3-40.32%
0-50.36%
1-50.41%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Milan
Score01234
0
30.69%
20.05%
6.55%
1.43%
0.23%
1
16.20%
10.58%
3.46%
0.75%
0.12%
2
4.27%
2.79%
0.91%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.75%
0.49%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
Napoli
1-016.20%
2-04.27%
2-12.79%
3-00.75%
3-10.49%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.69%
1-110.58%
2-20.91%
Milan
0-120.05%
0-26.55%
1-23.46%
0-31.43%
1-30.75%
2-30.20%
0-40.23%
1-40.12%
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