Salernitana at Milan

Updated

Salernitana

4.3%9.6%86.1%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.60Projected Goals 3.11
1Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Salernitana
Money Line
T 0-0 at Sampdoria+245
L 2-0 vs Lazio+380
L 0-1 at Hellas Verona+425
L 3-0 vs Juventus+600
L 2-0 vs Napoli+830
Milan
Money Line
L 1-2 at Fiorentina+175
W 0-2 vs Atalanta+120
W 0-1 vs Torino-125
L 0-1 at Inter+300
L 5-2 vs Sassuolo-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+1050+1177+1000+1200-+1200+1200-
Milan-370-400-400-398--398-398-
Draw+520+551+500+530-+530+551-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+990----+1200+1200-
Milan-365-----425-425-
Draw+475----+510+510-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +1205 to +1177
Milan ML moved from -390 to -406

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Milan: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +960 to +940
Milan ML moved from -400 to -425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3+122o2¾-115o2¾-114-o2¾-114o3+122-
Underu2¾+100u3-137u2¾-105u2¾-106-u2¾-106u3-137-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+115--o3+110o2½-150o2½-150-
Underu3-130u3-135--u3-140u2½+130u3-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.45%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 419.32%
Exactly 68.87%
Exactly 82.18%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.08%
Exactly 320.83%
Exactly 514.34%
Exactly 74.70%
Exactly 90.90%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 054.95%
Exactly 132.90%
Exactly 29.85%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 04.45%
Exactly 113.86%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 417.39%
Exactly 510.82%
Exactly 65.61%
Exactly 72.49%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 90.34%
Exactly 100.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.95%
Exactly 226.48%
Exactly 46.51%
Exactly 60.64%
 
Exactly 130.83%
Exactly 315.16%
Exactly 52.24%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 075.79%
Exactly 121.01%
Exactly 22.91%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 023.68%
Exactly 134.11%
Exactly 224.57%
Exactly 311.80%
Exactly 44.25%
Exactly 51.22%
Exactly 60.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals0.92%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals68.78%
Wins by 3+ goals47.64%
Wins by 4+ goals28.44%
Wins by 5+ goals14.72%
Wins by 6+ goals6.66%
Wins by 7+ goals2.65%
Wins by 8+ goals0.93%
Wins by 9+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Salernitana
Milan
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal3.32%
Wins by 2 goals0.77%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal17.28%
Wins by 2 goals21.14%
Wins by 3 goals19.19%
Wins by 4 goals13.72%
Wins by 5 goals8.06%
Wins by 6 goals4.01%
Wins by 7 goals1.73%
Wins by 8 goals0.65%
Wins by 9 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.55%2.45%
1.588.47%11.53%
2.571.63%28.37%
3.550.80%49.20%
4.531.48%68.52%
5.517.14%82.86%
6.58.27%91.73%
7.53.57%96.43%
8.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.05%54.95%
1.512.15%87.85%
2.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.55%4.45%
1.581.69%18.31%
2.560.13%39.87%
3.537.77%62.23%
4.520.38%79.62%
5.59.56%90.44%
6.53.94%96.06%
7.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.05%17.95%
1.551.23%48.77%
2.524.75%75.25%
3.59.59%90.41%
4.53.08%96.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Salernitana
Milan
Score012345
0
2.45%
7.61%
11.85%
12.29%
9.56%
5.95%
1
1.47%
4.56%
7.09%
7.36%
5.72%
3.56%
2
0.44%
1.37%
2.12%
2.20%
1.71%
1.07%
Salernitana
1-01.47%
2-00.44%
2-11.37%
Draw
0-02.45%
1-14.56%
2-22.12%
3-30.44%
Milan
0-17.61%
0-211.85%
1-27.09%
0-312.29%
1-37.36%
2-32.20%
0-49.56%
1-45.72%
2-41.71%
3-40.34%
0-55.95%
1-53.56%
2-51.07%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Salernitana
Milan
Score0123456
0
17.95%
25.85%
18.62%
8.94%
3.22%
0.93%
0.22%
1
4.98%
7.17%
5.16%
2.48%
0.89%
0.26%
0.06%
2
0.69%
0.99%
0.72%
0.34%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Salernitana
1-04.98%
2-00.69%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-017.95%
1-17.17%
2-20.72%
Milan
0-125.85%
0-218.62%
1-25.16%
0-38.94%
1-32.48%
2-30.34%
0-43.22%
1-40.89%
2-40.12%
0-50.93%
1-50.26%
0-60.22%