Napoli at Hellas Verona

Updated

Napoli

54.4%24.3%21.3%
Napoli WinDrawHellas Verona Win
1.67Projected Goals 0.95
2Final Score 1

Hellas Verona

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Milan+115
W 2-1 at Lazio+150
T 1-1 at Cagliari-155
T 1-1 vs Inter+170
W 1-4 vs Salernitana-900
Hellas Verona
Money Line
T 1-1 at Fiorentina+275
T 2-2 at Roma+245
W 0-4 vs Udinese-110
L 0-2 at Juventus+500
W 1-2 vs Bologna-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+110+124+115+115+110+115+124+121.3
Hellas Verona+255+264+245+260+242+260+264+267.5
Draw+235+235+220+240+240+240+240+262.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+105----105+110+110+121.3
Hellas Verona+260---+225+250+250+267.5
Draw+250---+225+245+245+262.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 30.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 20.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +115 to +105
Hellas Verona ML moved from +274 to +262

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 30.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Hellas Verona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
Hellas Verona ML moved from +260 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-104o2½-102o2½+100-o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100
Underu2¾-118u2½-116u2½-118u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-116u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-115--o2½-120o2½-105o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½+100u2½-105--u2½-110u2½-115u2½-105u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.31%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 414.27%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 57.47%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 018.82%
Exactly 131.43%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 314.61%
Exactly 46.10%
Exactly 52.04%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Hellas Verona
Exactly 038.82%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.38%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 046.15%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 213.80%
Exactly 33.56%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hellas Verona
Exactly 064.53%
Exactly 128.27%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals29.61%
Wins by 3+ goals12.87%
Wins by 4+ goals4.57%
Wins by 5+ goals1.35%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 2+ goals7.24%
Wins by 3+ goals1.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Hellas Verona
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal24.75%
Wins by 2 goals16.74%
Wins by 3 goals8.30%
Wins by 4 goals3.22%
Wins by 5 goals1.02%
Hellas Verona
Wins by 1 goal14.02%
Wins by 2 goals5.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.69%7.31%
1.573.58%26.42%
2.548.57%51.43%
3.526.76%73.24%
4.512.49%87.51%
5.55.03%94.97%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.18%18.82%
1.549.74%50.26%
2.523.49%76.51%
3.58.88%91.12%
4.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Hellas Verona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.18%38.82%
1.524.45%75.55%
2.57.07%92.93%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.15%65.85%
2.512.30%87.70%
3.53.48%96.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Hellas Verona
Score01234
0
7.31%
6.91%
3.27%
1.03%
0.24%
1
12.20%
11.55%
5.46%
1.72%
0.41%
2
10.19%
9.64%
4.56%
1.44%
0.34%
3
5.67%
5.37%
2.54%
0.80%
0.19%
4
2.37%
2.24%
1.06%
0.33%
0.08%
5
0.79%
0.75%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
Napoli
1-012.20%
2-010.19%
2-19.64%
3-05.67%
3-15.37%
3-22.54%
4-02.37%
4-12.24%
4-21.06%
4-30.33%
5-00.79%
5-10.75%
5-20.35%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.31%
1-111.55%
2-24.56%
3-30.80%
Hellas Verona
0-16.91%
0-23.27%
1-25.46%
0-31.03%
1-31.72%
2-31.44%
0-40.24%
1-40.41%
2-40.34%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Hellas Verona
Score0123
0
29.78%
13.05%
2.86%
0.42%
1
23.03%
10.09%
2.21%
0.32%
2
8.90%
3.90%
0.85%
0.12%
3
2.30%
1.01%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.44%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Napoli
1-023.03%
2-08.90%
2-13.90%
3-02.30%
3-11.01%
3-20.22%
4-00.44%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-029.78%
1-110.09%
2-20.85%
Hellas Verona
0-113.05%
0-22.86%
1-22.21%
0-30.42%
1-30.32%
2-30.12%