Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 26, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedSassuolo
Torino 		43.8%
32.2%		24.0%
+116
+248
+125
+240
1.69
1.23		2.92
o2½-128
u2½+108
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Feb 25, 2021
Games for Nov 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Juventus
Lazio		46.6%
27.6%		25.8%
+185
+198
+190
+175
1
2		-1.11703-1.06352-1.28656
Sassuolo
Hellas Verona		35.4%
37.7%		26.9%
+213
+148
+195
+145
1
2		-0.92925-0.94505-0.97601
Roma
Torino		64.9%
16.2%		18.9%
+155
+242
+145
+245
1
0		-0.95711-0.94384-0.43163
Bologna
Atalanta		8.8%
78.0%		13.1%
+470
-146
+440
-155
2
0		-1.75921-1.73778-2.42554
Spezia
Fiorentina		18.9%
58.5%		22.6%
+750
-230
+650
-235
1
1		-1.60779-1.57692-1.48514
Inter
Salernitana		86.3%
4.2%		9.4%
-180
+561
-190
+525
1
1		-1.48497-1.50521-2.35990
Torino
Sassuolo		22.1%
56.1%		21.8%
+210
+156
+200
+145
1
1		-1.21217-1.22670-1.52436
Milan
Napoli		34.6%
37.9%		27.4%
+345
+100
+320
+100
4
0		-1.50738-1.48444-1.06028
Sampdoria
Roma		13.9%
68.3%		17.7%
+1016
-275
+950
-290
0
3		-0.32862-0.33827-0.38104
Salernitana
Spezia		18.3%
59.7%		22.0%
+229
+147
+220
+135
1
1		-1.19505-1.21244-1.51331
Udinese
Bologna		36.0%
36.1%		27.9%
+250
+130
+240
+120
0
3		-0.85174-0.83884-1.01954
Hellas Verona
Juventus		9.5%
73.7%		16.8%
+665
-175
+625
-185
0
1		-0.46954-0.48112-0.30557
Fiorentina
Inter		11.8%
70.5%		17.7%
+384
-118
+350
-120
1
0		-1.58792-1.55225-2.13902
Juventus
Inter		34.5%
37.9%		27.6%
+325
+106
+300
+100
1
0		-1.46599-1.43368-1.06441
Roma
Lazio		31.7%
43.2%		25.1%
+183
+216
+170
+215
0
1		-1.17105-1.19759-0.83824
Napoli
Torino		65.8%
14.9%		19.3%
-122
+425
-125
+380
4
0		-0.62014-0.64014-0.41898
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.