Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 26, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedSassuolo
Torino 		43.8%
32.2%		24.0%
+116
+248
+125
+240
1.69
1.23		2.92
o2½-128
u2½+108
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Feb 25, 2021
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lazio
Sassuolo		48.3%
29.1%		22.6%
+307
-133
+300
-135
0
2		-0.59403-0.59995-1.23350
Juventus
Bologna		69.6%
17.1%		13.3%
-380
+1350
-400
+1000
4
1		-0.24412-0.27403-0.36220
Benevento
Torino		33.0%
40.4%		26.6%
+400
-155
+390
-140
1
1		-1.08090-1.08127-1.00721
Udinese
Inter		16.2%
70.1%		13.7%
+575
-210
+600
-245
1
5		-0.42031-0.39393-0.35515
Parma
Sampdoria		29.1%
47.1%		23.8%
+369
-150
+340
-150
0
3		-0.54330-0.55912-0.75201
Genoa
Cagliari		34.6%
39.1%		26.3%
+335
-115
+310
-105
1
0		-1.48483-1.41708-1.06181
Fiorentina
Crotone		54.8%
24.3%		20.9%
-119
+285
-115
+265
0
0		-1.01252-1.00884-1.00771
Torino
Lazio		18.9%
67.0%		14.1%
+245
+131
+260
+130
0
0		-1.06326-1.07696-1.03256
Bologna
Hellas Verona		29.6%
45.8%		24.6%
+225
+115
+235
+120
2
2		-1.00410-1.02907-0.99895
Cagliari
Milan		17.7%
68.9%		13.5%
+875
-300
+800
-325
0
0		-1.30860-1.28126-1.05302
Sassuolo
Parma		47.6%
29.5%		23.0%
-210
+570
-225
+575
3
1		-0.42179-0.40362-0.74337
Sampdoria
Udinese		32.7%
40.0%		27.3%
+200
+140
+185
+140
1
0		-1.13060-1.09539-1.11853
Napoli
Fiorentina		47.0%
28.0%		25.0%
-215
+580
-245
+625
2
0		-0.41033-0.39313-0.75411
Lazio
Roma		35.5%
38.9%		25.6%
+105
+235
+110
+225
0
2		-1.24282-1.22799-0.94382
Inter
Juventus		32.5%
41.1%		26.5%
+240
+116
+230
+110
2
3		-0.79290-0.79025-0.89001
Torino
Spezia		36.5%
36.7%		26.9%
+153
+225
+140
+230
1
4		-1.21429-1.24559-1.00335
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.