Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 26, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedSassuolo
Torino 		43.8%
32.2%		24.0%
+116
+248
+125
+240
1.69
1.23		2.92
o2½-128
u2½+108
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Feb 25, 2021
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Napoli
Torino		59.7%
22.2%		18.1%
-102
+275
-105
+270
2
0		-0.71417-0.71701-0.51522
Bologna
Atalanta		17.2%
72.1%		10.6%
+1075
-400
+1100
-450
0
5		-0.25377-0.24914-0.32664
Roma
Cagliari		58.0%
23.8%		18.2%
+117
+240
+110
+240
2
3		-1.25082-1.27075-1.43402
Hellas Verona
Inter		17.8%
67.4%		14.8%
+1000
-312
+950
-310
0
1		-0.30138-0.32964-0.39398
Juventus
Fiorentina		58.6%
21.6%		19.7%
-155
+481
-190
+525
1
1		-1.14116-1.17696-1.03218
Udinese
Benevento		37.4%
33.3%		29.3%
+130
+240
+135
+210
4
2		-0.86434-0.90429-0.98382
Sampdoria
Sassuolo		30.0%
46.9%		23.1%
+270
+100
+270
-105
0
1		-0.72404-0.71701-0.75803
Spezia
Genoa		31.1%
43.8%		25.1%
+240
+145
+235
+140
0
2		-0.92065-0.92284-0.82586
Lazio
Napoli		33.5%
39.9%		26.6%
+251
+108
+255
+105
2
5		-0.76419-0.76776-0.91779
Atalanta
Roma		40.6%
35.3%		24.1%
-132
+341
-135
+345
1
1		-1.05608-1.07163-0.97203
Torino
Bologna		33.4%
41.5%		25.0%
+190
+155
+190
+150
1
1		-1.03702-1.03724-0.98712
Sampdoria
Crotone		47.8%
28.9%		23.3%
+125
+225
+125
+215
1
0		-0.84042-0.85746-0.73863
Parma
Juventus		11.5%
79.8%		8.7%
+1059
-370
+1150
-425
1
3		-0.26623-0.25965-0.22507
Inter
Spezia		72.5%
15.7%		11.7%
-305
+891
-310
+800
1
1		-1.32343-1.28626-1.08528
Cagliari
Udinese		30.5%
43.2%		26.3%
+242
+130
+230
+130
1
0		-1.25762-1.24303-1.18662
Benevento
Genoa		32.2%
41.2%		26.6%
+320
+110
+320
+100
2
2		-1.10298-1.11348-1.00976
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.