Milan at Sassuolo

Updated

Milan

56.0%22.1%21.9%
Milan WinDrawSassuolo Win
1.92Projected Goals 1.12
3Final Score 0

Sassuolo

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Atalanta-115
W 3-1 at Hellas Verona-150
W 0-1 vs Fiorentina-160
W 2-1 at Lazio+135
W 0-2 vs Genoa-280
Sassuolo
Money Line
W 3-1 at Bologna+170
T 1-1 vs Udinese+140
L 1-6 at Napoli+620
L 2-1 vs Juventus+310
L 0-1 at Cagliari+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-185-220-245-240-256-240-220-205.4
Sassuolo+440+630+575+670+638+670+670+654.8
Draw+350+401+420+400+387+400+420+413.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-215----265-250-250-205.4
Sassuolo+545---+480+625+625+654.8
Draw+365---+340+375+375+413.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -235 to -245
Sassuolo ML moved from +572 to +562

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Sassuolo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -225 to -250
Sassuolo ML moved from +600 to +580

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3½+125o3¼-105o3¼+100-o3¼+100o3¼+100o3-124
Underu3¼-115u3½-140u3¼-115u3¼-120-u3¼-120u3½-140u3+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3-130--o3½+105o3-140o3-130o3-124
Underu3½-135u3+110--u3½-135u3+120u3½-135u3+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.4%
 
No42.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.81%
Exactly 222.14%
Exactly 417.00%
Exactly 65.22%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.59%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.32%
Exactly 72.26%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 014.69%
Exactly 128.18%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.27%
Exactly 48.28%
Exactly 53.18%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 032.70%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.43%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.53%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 311.35%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 041.15%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.22%
Exactly 34.80%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 059.60%
Exactly 130.84%
Exactly 27.98%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals32.60%
Wins by 3+ goals15.50%
Wins by 4+ goals6.09%
Wins by 5+ goals1.99%
Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals8.17%
Wins by 3+ goals2.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Sassuolo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.32%
Wins by 2 goals17.11%
Wins by 3 goals9.41%
Wins by 4 goals4.10%
Wins by 5 goals1.47%
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal13.59%
Wins by 2 goals5.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.19%4.81%
1.580.61%19.39%
2.558.47%41.53%
3.536.07%63.93%
4.519.07%80.93%
5.58.75%91.25%
6.53.53%96.47%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.31%14.69%
1.557.13%42.87%
2.530.11%69.89%
3.512.83%87.17%
4.54.55%95.45%
5.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.30%32.70%
1.530.74%69.26%
2.510.32%89.68%
3.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.47%24.53%
1.541.00%59.00%
2.516.78%83.22%
3.55.43%94.57%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Sassuolo
Score01234
0
4.81%
5.37%
3.00%
1.12%
0.31%
1
9.22%
10.30%
5.76%
2.14%
0.60%
2
8.84%
9.88%
5.52%
2.06%
0.57%
3
5.65%
6.31%
3.53%
1.31%
0.37%
4
2.71%
3.03%
1.69%
0.63%
0.18%
5
1.04%
1.16%
0.65%
0.24%
0.07%
Milan
1-09.22%
2-08.84%
2-19.88%
3-05.65%
3-16.31%
3-23.53%
4-02.71%
4-13.03%
4-21.69%
4-30.63%
5-01.04%
5-11.16%
5-20.65%
5-30.24%
Draw
0-04.81%
1-110.30%
2-25.52%
3-31.31%
4-40.18%
Sassuolo
0-15.37%
0-23.00%
1-25.76%
0-31.12%
1-32.14%
2-32.06%
0-40.31%
1-40.60%
2-40.57%
3-40.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Sassuolo
Score0123
0
24.53%
12.69%
3.28%
0.57%
1
21.78%
11.27%
2.92%
0.50%
2
9.67%
5.00%
1.29%
0.22%
3
2.86%
1.48%
0.38%
0.07%
4
0.64%
0.33%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-021.78%
2-09.67%
2-15.00%
3-02.86%
3-11.48%
3-20.38%
4-00.64%
4-10.33%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-024.53%
1-111.27%
2-21.29%
Sassuolo
0-112.69%
0-23.28%
1-22.92%
0-30.57%
1-30.50%
2-30.22%