Milan at Genoa

Updated

Milan

67.1%18.6%14.2%
Milan WinDrawWin
2.25Projected Goals 0.93
1Final Score 0

Genoa

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Lazio-136
W 3-1 at Cagliari-110
W 0-1 vs Hellas Verona-260
L 1-5 at Inter+245
W 2-1 at Roma+165
Genoa
Money Line
T 2-2 at Udinese+255
W 1-4 vs Roma+305
T 2-2 vs Napoli+445
L 0-1 at Torino+295
W 1-0 at Lazio+385

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-102-104-110-108--108-104-
Genoa+250+349+320+350-+350+350-
Draw+223+238+240+240-+240+240-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-120--107--130-110-107-
Genoa+250-+325-+300+315+325-
Draw+240-+233-+220+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Genoa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Genoa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +100 to -104
Genoa ML moved from +352 to +346

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Genoa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Genoa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -110 to -125
Genoa ML moved from +360 to +325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+134o2¼+100o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+100-
Underu2½-125u2½-149u2¼-120u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2½-149-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+125o2½+123-o2½+115o2½+125o2½+125-
Underu2½-125u2½-145u2½-143-u2½-145u2½-145u2½-143-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.2%
 
No45.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.15%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 417.73%
Exactly 65.98%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.21%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.28%
Exactly 72.72%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 010.54%
Exactly 123.72%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 320.01%
Exactly 411.25%
Exactly 55.06%
Exactly 61.90%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Genoa
Exactly 039.38%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.10%
Exactly 35.31%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.92%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 312.21%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 035.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Genoa
Exactly 064.95%
Exactly 128.03%
Exactly 26.05%
Exactly 30.87%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals43.88%
Wins by 3+ goals23.81%
Wins by 4+ goals10.83%
Wins by 5+ goals4.18%
Genoa
Wins by 2+ goals4.56%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Genoa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.22%
Wins by 2 goals20.07%
Wins by 3 goals12.98%
Wins by 4 goals6.65%
Wins by 5 goals2.80%
Genoa
Wins by 1 goal9.62%
Wins by 2 goals3.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.85%4.15%
1.582.64%17.36%
2.561.63%38.37%
3.539.34%60.66%
4.521.61%78.39%
5.510.33%89.67%
6.54.35%95.65%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.46%10.54%
1.565.74%34.26%
2.539.06%60.94%
3.519.05%80.95%
4.57.80%92.20%
5.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Genoa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.62%39.38%
1.523.92%76.08%
2.56.82%93.18%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.08%22.92%
1.543.31%56.69%
2.518.44%81.56%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Genoa
Score01234
0
4.15%
3.87%
1.80%
0.56%
0.13%
1
9.34%
8.70%
4.06%
1.26%
0.29%
2
10.51%
9.79%
4.56%
1.42%
0.33%
3
7.88%
7.34%
3.42%
1.06%
0.25%
4
4.43%
4.13%
1.92%
0.60%
0.14%
5
1.99%
1.86%
0.87%
0.27%
0.06%
Milan
1-09.34%
2-010.51%
2-19.79%
3-07.88%
3-17.34%
3-23.42%
4-04.43%
4-14.13%
4-21.92%
4-30.60%
5-01.99%
5-11.86%
5-20.87%
5-30.27%
Draw
0-04.15%
1-18.70%
2-24.56%
3-31.06%
4-40.14%
Genoa
0-13.87%
0-21.80%
1-24.06%
0-30.56%
1-31.26%
2-31.42%
0-40.13%
1-40.29%
2-40.33%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Genoa
Score0123
0
22.92%
9.89%
2.13%
0.31%
1
23.88%
10.30%
2.22%
0.32%
2
12.44%
5.37%
1.16%
0.17%
3
4.32%
1.86%
0.40%
0.06%
4
1.12%
0.49%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.23%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Milan
1-023.88%
2-012.44%
2-15.37%
3-04.32%
3-11.86%
3-20.40%
4-01.12%
4-10.49%
4-20.10%
5-00.23%
5-10.10%
Draw
0-022.92%
1-110.30%
2-21.16%
Genoa
0-19.89%
0-22.13%
1-22.22%
0-30.31%
1-30.32%
2-30.17%