Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 29, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Udinese 		27.3%
46.7%		25.9%
+266
+128

1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-114
u2-105

Fiorentina
Juventus 		10.8%
71.4%		17.7%
+356
-106

0.74
2.24		2.98
o2¼-118
u2¼-102

Roma
Milan 		28.8%
46.7%		24.5%
+245
+120

1.22
1.62		2.84
o2½-112
u2½-107

Games for Dec 28, 2024
Games for Dec 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Udinese
Fiorentina		26.1%
46.9%		27.0%
+500
-165
+525
-175
2
1		-1.81880-1.87791-1.34423
Napoli
Genoa		64.2%
15.7%		20.1%
-145
+495
-140
+480
2
1		-0.55426-0.57197-0.44298
Bologna
Torino		34.8%
39.5%		25.7%
+145
+270
+145
+265
2
0		-0.92498-0.92857-1.05512
Milan
Hellas Verona		57.6%
19.6%		22.8%
-165
+475
-165
+455
1
0		-0.50894-0.50856-0.55224
Inter
Lazio		44.6%
29.9%		25.6%
+124
+245
+120
+255
6
0		-0.84067-0.82963-0.80822
Genoa
Milan		10.2%
74.2%		15.6%
+660
-190
+600
-200
0
0		-1.47775-1.49077-1.85758
Fiorentina
Bologna		43.9%
30.1%		26.0%
+192
+173
+175
+181
0
1		-1.03516-1.07441-1.20104
Napoli
Udinese		57.8%
18.7%		23.5%
-132
+455
-140
+435
3
1		-0.59050-0.58591-0.54875
Atalanta
Cagliari		72.2%
11.9%		15.9%
-167
+502
-185
+540
1
0		-0.49310-0.45697-0.32513
Lazio
Napoli		32.0%
41.4%		26.6%
+402
-122
+360
-120
1
0		-1.63964-1.57349-1.14056
Cagliari
Fiorentina		22.1%
54.1%		23.8%
+560
-180
+532
-205
0
1		-0.46840-0.44622-0.61432
Bologna
Juventus		6.8%
80.5%		12.6%
+460
-122
+450
-125
2
2		-1.23526-1.25477-2.06838
Torino
Genoa		31.8%
42.7%		25.5%
+242
+150
+230
+140
0
0		-1.13519-1.16162-1.36688
Milan
Atalanta		30.2%
45.5%		24.3%
+260
+115
+235
+115
1
2		-0.78975-0.81676-0.78774
Atalanta
Roma		42.0%
33.8%		24.2%
+109
+268
+115
+255
2
0		-0.77245-0.80558-0.86783
Napoli
Torino		65.8%
14.9%		19.3%
-145
+520
-130
+418
1
0		-0.55127-0.61836-0.41898
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.