Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Genoa
Hellas Verona 		25.3%
49.5%		25.2%
+145
+234
+140
+230
1.05
1.58		2.63
o2-112
u2-107
o2-110
u2-105
Bologna
Sassuolo 		23.6%
54.2%		22.2%
+190
+162
+175
+165
1.19
1.91		3.10
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+100
u2½-120
Milan
Lazio 		35.6%
37.6%		26.8%
+105
+295
+105
+289
1.24
1.29		2.53
o2¼-105
u2¼-115
o2-145
u2½-145
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sassuolo
Lazio		18.1%
61.7%		20.2%
+255
+125
+241
+130
1
1		-1.21190-1.19191-1.59840
Inter
Milan		41.0%
32.6%		26.3%
+139
+227
+147
+230
0
1		-1.21439-1.22095-1.11997
Roma
Genoa		63.4%
17.0%		19.6%
+102
+362
+100
+340
1
2		-1.54943-1.51873-1.77078
Hellas Verona
Bologna		40.2%
33.0%		26.8%
+550
-163
+480
-153
2
1		-1.90589-1.79216-0.91118
Udinese
Atalanta		10.8%
73.2%		16.0%
+458
-135
+480
-145
2
2		-1.30173-1.33222-1.83214
Torino
Napoli		10.7%
73.0%		16.3%
+580
-172
+570
-175
1
2		-0.49351-0.50296-0.31446
Fiorentina
Udinese		38.2%
32.8%		29.0%
+142
+240
+140
+230
0
3		-1.25836-1.23533-1.11471
Juventus
Roma		49.0%
26.5%		24.5%
+200
+165
+196
+161
3
3		-1.15967-1.17406-1.40609
Lazio
Torino		65.7%
15.3%		19.1%
+193
+195
+198
+190
0
2		-1.11249-1.10157-1.87895
Atalanta
Sassuolo		61.0%
19.3%		19.7%
+127
+245
+122
+275
1
2		-1.27122-1.33724-1.64356
Genoa
Inter		7.2%
80.0%		12.8%
+990
-300
+925
-325
0
2		-0.30472-0.31862-0.22319
Napoli
Hellas Verona		54.4%
21.3%		24.3%
-154
+585
-160
+565
2
1		-0.52629-0.52592-0.60903
Udinese
Bologna		36.0%
36.1%		27.9%
+357
-111
+350
-115
0
1		-0.67649-0.67160-1.01954
Napoli
Atalanta		27.9%
47.9%		24.2%
+228
+150
+222
+150
1
2		-0.95060-0.95925-0.73509
Torino
Genoa		31.8%
42.7%		25.5%
+275
+133
+265
+129
0
3		-0.88013-0.87160-0.85142
Lazio
Cagliari		64.8%
15.6%		19.5%
+154
+250
+150
+240
0
0		-1.08409-1.14797-1.63250
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/08/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Juventus (20-3-3, 63 pts)26.05.86.284.155.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lazio (19-2-5, 62 pts)24.75.08.382.440.1%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Inter (16-3-6, 54 pts)22.06.49.675.74.0%97.5%2.5%0.0%
4Atalanta (14-5-6, 48 pts)19.58.89.768.20.0%80.7%18.1%0.0%
5Roma (13-7-6, 45 pts)17.810.89.462.70.0%18.4%74.2%0.0%
6Napoli (11-9-6, 39 pts)15.612.99.556.30.0%1.9%46.3%0.0%
7Milan (10-10-6, 36 pts)14.214.49.452.10.0%0.3%10.3%0.0%
8Hellas Verona (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.412.811.752.10.0%0.7%12.8%0.1%
10Bologna (9-10-7, 34 pts)12.615.010.448.20.0%0.0%2.8%0.8%
11Sassuolo (9-11-5, 32 pts)13.116.28.748.00.0%0.0%4.1%0.6%
12Cagliari (8-9-8, 32 pts)12.813.611.750.00.0%0.0%7.7%0.5%
13Fiorentina (7-10-9, 30 pts)11.514.012.547.10.0%0.0%1.3%1.0%
14Udinese (7-12-7, 28 pts)11.016.610.543.40.0%0.0%0.0%8.7%
15Torino (8-14-3, 27 pts)11.919.46.742.30.0%0.0%0.1%15.3%
16Sampdoria (7-13-5, 26 pts)11.118.18.842.20.0%0.0%0.2%15.2%
17Genoa (6-13-7, 25 pts)9.817.810.439.70.0%0.0%0.0%31.4%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.