Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedQueretaro
FC Juarez 		31.5%
40.5%		28.0%
+435
-155
+400
-140
1.07
1.26		2.33
o2½+100
u2½-116
o2½+105
u2½-115
UNAM
UANL 		29.3%
41.8%		28.9%
+287
+107
+290
+110
0.97
1.22		2.19
o2¼-112
u2¼-107
o2½+110
u2½-130
Guadalajara
Atlas 		58.4%
17.1%		24.5%
+125
+260
+125
+245
1.63
0.76		2.39
o2¼-126
u2½-125
o2½+105
u2½-125
Games for Apr 18, 2025
Games for Apr 20, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Cruz Azul
Toluca 		59.6%
18.7%		21.6%
+290
+100
+275
+105
2.94
o3-115
u3¼-122
o3-115
u3-105
1st H
19:00		1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Tijuana		32.5%
36.9%		30.6%
+328
-106
+310
-110
0
3		-0.69780-0.69485-0.99788
America
Tijuana		61.0%
17.0%		22.0%
+143
+200
+145
+190
3
2		-0.91799-0.93019-0.49467
Atlas
Guadalajara		12.7%
66.0%		21.3%
+385
-115
+370
-120
2
1		-1.61104-1.59450-2.06388
Puebla
Tijuana		46.1%
26.0%		27.8%
+500
-186
+515
-200
1
2		-0.46499-0.45334-1.34538
Leon
Monterrey		53.2%
22.4%		24.4%
+537
-194
+510
-195
1
2		-0.45031-0.46245-1.49633
Atlas
Necaxa		17.3%
59.1%		23.6%
+202
+160
+210
+160
0
0		-1.13277-1.11544-1.44392
UANL
Cruz Azul		32.8%
38.3%		28.9%
+345
-117
+335
-110
1
1		-1.33991-1.32204-1.24167
America
Toluca		53.3%
23.0%		23.7%
+138
+197
+140
+190
0
4		-1.12264-1.11085-1.46789
FC Juarez
Pachuca		20.4%
54.3%		25.3%
+590
-200
+560
-210
1
0		-1.94708-1.92573-1.58758
Atletico
Guadalajara		11.0%
71.5%		17.5%
+363
-138
+380
-150
1
0		-1.56700-1.61954-2.20582
UNAM
Mazatlan FC		48.8%
26.2%		25.1%
+112
+274
+115
+250
1
0		-0.78575-0.81362-0.71834
Santos Laguna
Queretaro		48.1%
26.8%		25.1%
+312
-104
+280
-105
2
3		-0.70814-0.71719-1.31688
Cruz Azul
Atlas		63.5%
14.6%		21.9%
-129
+392
-135
+400
2
2		-1.34850-1.35212-1.52037
Tijuana
FC Juarez		20.6%
54.6%		24.8%
+143
+185
+135
+185
1
1		-1.35043-1.34389-1.39280
Pachuca
America		32.6%
38.6%		28.8%
+380
-138
+400
-150
1
2		-0.57950-0.55961-0.95083
Atletico
Necaxa		15.3%
64.6%		20.1%
+163
+163
+195
+165
1
1		-1.32652-1.26496-1.60331
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.25103 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.26334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.62153
-0.37050
-0.35819

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.