Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Atletico 		62.9%
15.6%		21.5%
+140
+206
+160
+203
1.91
0.83		2.74
o2½-107
u2½-108
o2½-105
u2½-105
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		31.7%
41.2%		27.1%
+1050
-409
+1050
-425
1.13
1.33		2.46
o3½-102
u3½-115
o3½-105
u3½-115
Atlas
Toluca 		26.2%
46.8%		27.0%
+675
-258
+705
-275
0.98
1.40		2.38
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o3+120
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tijuana
Leon 		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+298
-110
+288
-110
0.61
2.71		3.32
o3+102
u3-120
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		33.5%
38.4%		28.0%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.12
1.22		2.34
o2¾+105
u2¾-120
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Guadalajara
Toluca		54.3%
21.9%		23.8%
+380
-130
+375
-140
1
2		-0.59689-0.58805-1.51964
Cruz Azul
UANL		30.9%
40.8%		28.3%
+225
+140
+205
+155
1
2		-0.90887-0.98288-0.89744
Puebla
Atlas		43.1%
26.8%		30.0%
+318
+105
+325
-110
2
3		-0.74568-0.69443-1.31621
Necaxa
America		26.4%
48.1%		25.5%
+640
-215
+550
-210
3
2		-2.03592-1.91930-1.33237
FC Juarez
Tijuana		45.8%
26.8%		27.4%
+315
-118
+310
-120
2
1		-1.45792-1.45573-0.78041
Santos Laguna
Mazatlan FC		45.5%
29.6%		24.9%
+410
-133
+375
-135
1
1		-1.35476-1.37215-1.39107
Tijuana
Guadalajara		11.8%
69.1%		19.1%
+435
-145
+435
-155
1
2		-0.55909-0.54775-0.37006
Mazatlan FC
UNAM		19.8%
57.8%		22.4%
+675
-190
+650
-170
0
1		-0.46587-0.49182-0.54832
Pachuca
Cruz Azul		27.9%
45.0%		27.1%
+455
-145
+350
-130
1
2		-0.55448-0.61665-0.79926
Monterrey
FC Juarez		44.6%
28.2%		27.2%
-115
+342
-105
+285
1
2		-1.52065-1.39659-1.26649
Atlas
UANL		10.4%
69.3%		20.3%
+655
-210
+575
-205
1
2		-0.42494-0.44626-0.36716
Toluca
Leon		7.9%
78.1%		14.0%
+120
+238
+120
+215
3
3		-1.31882-1.32950-1.96876
America
Puebla		44.3%
28.0%		27.7%
-154
+458
-145
+400
2
1		-0.53527-0.57481-0.81351
Santos Laguna
Necaxa		40.1%
33.2%		26.7%
+565
-200
+550
-215
2
3		-0.44024-0.43209-1.10404
Atletico
Queretaro		20.0%
57.2%		22.8%
+183
+165
+165
+160
0
1		-1.00953-1.00605-0.55923
Leon
Pachuca		50.3%
23.5%		26.1%
+320
-105
+290
+105
2
1		-1.46655-1.39449-0.68685
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.26672
0.03659
0.04040

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.