Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tijuana
UNAM 		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+500
-160
+450
-175
0.70
2.18		2.88
o3+102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-180
+460
0.99
2.12		3.11
o3-115
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-110
+320
-110
+295
1.49
0.86		2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-130
u2½+110
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico
Leon		5.4%
83.2%		11.3%
+460
-158
+490
-175
0
2		-0.52180-0.49774-0.18336
Atlas
Tijuana		32.5%
36.9%		30.6%
+300
+105
+265
+115
1
1		-1.27604-1.25642-1.18270
Cruz Azul
Mazatlan FC		51.0%
25.0%		24.0%
+108
+275
+110
+275
1
3		-1.33930-1.34992-1.38625
UANL
Necaxa		45.6%
27.1%		27.4%
-130
+405
-130
+380
1
0		-0.60351-0.62060-0.78614
Monterrey
Leon		16.7%
61.8%		21.5%
+158
+180
+165
+160
1
1		-1.28280-1.33003-1.53842
Pachuca
Tijuana		60.5%
16.5%		23.0%
+172
+165
+170
+162
0
2		-1.00482-1.00830-1.80199
Puebla
Santos Laguna		21.2%
54.4%		24.4%
+475
-181
+460
-180
2
3		-0.47020-0.48695-0.60864
Atletico
Toluca		24.1%
52.0%		23.9%
+415
-127
+400
-150
0
2		-0.56687-0.55379-0.65368
America
Atlas		57.8%
18.0%		24.1%
-104
+288
-105
+280
2
2		-1.36129-1.33884-1.42188
Guadalajara
UANL		27.1%
44.7%		28.3%
+463
-135
+420
-120
2
1		-1.75753-1.65737-1.30741
FC Juarez
Cruz Azul		17.2%
60.7%		22.1%
+420
-132
+440
-149
0
1		-0.59856-0.56186-0.49919
UNAM
Mazatlan FC		48.8%
26.2%		25.1%
+190
+140
+175
+145
2
1		-1.09955-1.05636-0.71834
Queretaro
Necaxa		26.2%
48.3%		25.5%
+230
+140
+214
+145
1
1		-1.18607-1.21241-1.36661
Toluca
Santos Laguna		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
+242
+104
+230
+105
5
0		-1.26171-1.24327-1.79234
Atlas
Cruz Azul		10.7%
70.6%		18.7%
+215
+142
+205
+140
0
1		-0.91694-0.91762-0.34882
Toluca
Pachuca		16.6%
61.8%		21.6%
+360
-128
+320
-120
2
1		-1.55751-1.48338-1.79541
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06168 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.06493 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.93170
0.12998
0.13323

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.