Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-180
+460
0.99
2.12		3.11
o3-115
u3-105
o3-115
u3-105
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-110
+320
-120
+310
1.49
0.86		2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-145
u2½+125
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 27, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Tijuana
UNAM 		10.6%
71.4%		18.0%
+500
-160
+500
-200
2.88
o3+102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-115
1st H
27:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tijuana
America		12.4%
68.7%		18.9%
+960
-335
+850
-307
1
2		-0.29267-0.33080-0.37608
Mazatlan FC
Queretaro		35.5%
37.8%		26.7%
+340
-109
+340
-115
1
1		-1.30719-1.33022-1.32054
Guadalajara
UNAM		29.5%
42.5%		28.0%
+224
+134
+205
+140
2
1		-1.20357-1.16162-1.22041
UANL
Atlas		62.5%
14.1%		23.5%
+117
+260
+125
+230
1
0		-0.80692-0.85252-0.47040
Necaxa
Monterrey		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+940
-298
+900
-320
1
2		-0.31101-0.31472-0.75243
Santos Laguna
Atletico		64.6%
15.6%		19.8%
+156
+175
+155
+170
1
1		-1.32460-1.31636-1.61727
Cruz Azul
Puebla		50.8%
23.5%		25.8%
+125
+235
+135
+220
3
1		-0.83450-0.88605-0.67765
Leon
FC Juarez		65.5%
14.1%		20.4%
+159
+191
+150
+185
0
0		-1.24105-1.26567-1.58968
Pachuca
Mazatlan FC		44.6%
28.9%		26.4%
-129
+388
-135
+375
3
2		-0.58895-0.59807-0.80685
UNAM
Necaxa		43.3%
29.6%		27.2%
+155
+191
+150
+185
1
3		-1.08945-1.08726-1.21902
Queretaro
Monterrey		21.3%
54.9%		23.7%
+850
-293
+800
-285
0
2		-0.32415-0.34003-0.59964
Tijuana
Guadalajara		11.8%
69.1%		19.1%
+372
-115
+355
-116
1
2		-0.65375-0.66334-0.37006
America
Atletico		63.5%
16.0%		20.5%
-135
+398
-132
+350
3
1		-0.57805-0.60732-0.45382
Puebla
Leon		10.6%
71.2%		18.2%
+435
-138
+400
-140
0
2		-0.55561-0.57180-0.33919
FC Juarez
UANL		16.5%
60.1%		23.4%
+691
-227
+627
-220
0
0		-1.61199-1.55898-1.45192
Cruz Azul
Toluca		59.6%
18.7%		21.6%
+188
+155
+185
+150
1
3		-0.96247-0.95703-1.67488
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.12461 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.13028 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.18115
-0.05654
-0.05087

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.