Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlas
Toluca 		26.2%
46.8%		27.0%
+675
-258
+675
-275
0.98
1.40		2.38
o2¾-108
u2¾-108
o2½-130
u2½+115
Tijuana
Leon 		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+325
-122
+310
-115
0.61
2.71		3.32
o3-102
u3-118
o3+100
u3-120
Cruz Azul
UNAM 		33.5%
38.4%		28.0%
+118
+245
+115
+238
1.12
1.22		2.34
o2¾+100
u2¾-115
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Mar 13, 2026
Games for Mar 15, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Pachuca
Atletico 		62.9%
15.6%		21.5%
+135
+213
+135
+205
2.74
o2½-115
u2½+102
o2½-115
u2½-105
TIME
HALF		0
1
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara 		31.7%
41.2%		27.1%
+895
-352
+915
-415
2.46
o3½+100
u3½-120
o3½-105
u3½-115
TIME
HALF		0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UANL
Queretaro		53.1%
21.5%		25.3%
-174
+480
-175
+475
0
1		-1.79300-1.79921-1.53596
Atlas
America		13.3%
65.6%		21.0%
+534
-175
+395
-140
0
3		-0.48644-0.58971-0.42115
Cruz Azul
Atletico		69.0%
12.7%		18.2%
-140
+384
-140
+360
1
3		-1.61134-1.57552-2.05980
Toluca
Pachuca		16.6%
61.8%		21.6%
+160
+165
+150
+175
2
2		-1.33003-1.30096-1.53262
Monterrey
Santos Laguna		31.2%
42.2%		26.6%
-190
+520
-170
+450
2
0		-0.45754-0.51099-1.16379
Cruz Azul
Leon		21.2%
55.2%		23.6%
-112
+320
-110
+295
2
1		-0.67270-0.69631-1.55013
Guadalajara
America		33.4%
38.4%		28.2%
+325
+100
+280
+105
0
1		-0.71799-0.76613-0.95597
Tijuana
Toluca		25.2%
49.6%		25.2%
+645
-255
+575
-230
0
4		-0.36625-0.41106-0.70029
UNAM
Necaxa		43.3%
29.6%		27.2%
+125
+252
+130
+225
0
2		-1.27261-1.21049-1.21902
Mazatlan FC
FC Juarez		34.5%
38.1%		27.4%
+200
+173
+200
+150
0
1		-1.00789-0.94338-0.96543
Atletico
UANL		8.9%
74.7%		16.3%
+516
-210
+550
-220
0
1		-0.42356-0.41521-0.29109
Pachuca
Atlas		57.2%
17.4%		25.4%
+199
+166
+190
+160
0
2		-1.00581-0.99661-1.74583
Queretaro
Puebla		30.7%
40.9%		28.4%
+294
+100
+265
+100
1
2		-0.72726-0.74360-0.89475
Necaxa
Santos Laguna		26.0%
49.3%		24.7%
+126
+216
+120
+215
2
3		-1.18662-1.19600-0.70745
UANL
UNAM		33.7%
36.2%		30.1%
+270
+106
+260
+105
3
1		-1.34431-1.33094-1.08758
America
Cruz Azul		27.4%
46.8%		25.8%
+203
+146
+220
+140
1
4		-0.93374-0.90276-0.76014
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30332 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.30713 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.26672
0.03659
0.04040

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.