Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Leon 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+117
+247
+110
+260
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2½-122
u2½+102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Necaxa
Monterrey 		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+475
-178
+450
-185
1.08
1.50		2.58
o3-110
u3-105
o3-110
u3-110
UANL
Mazatlan FC 		51.1%
23.8%		25.0%
-120
+350
-130
+355
1.59
1.01		2.60
o2½-108
u2½-109
o2½-115
u2½-105
Toluca
Cruz Azul 		13.6%
67.8%		18.6%
+305
-115
+305
-125
0.89
2.24		3.13
o3+110
u3-118
o3-105
u3-115
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Guadalajara
Tijuana 		61.6%
16.1%		22.2%
+128
+215
+125
+225
2.66
o2¾-112
u2¾-108
o2½-140
u2½+120
2nd H
90:00		3
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico
Monterrey		12.0%
70.1%		17.9%
+540
-185
+500
-200
1
3		-0.46679-0.45495-0.35595
Santos Laguna
Leon		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+332
-125
+310
-125
2
3		-0.62235-0.63605-0.49302
Mazatlan FC
Cruz Azul		18.7%
60.1%		21.2%
+482
-192
+490
-200
1
2		-0.46631-0.45541-0.50939
Guadalajara
Tijuana		61.6%
16.1%		22.2%
+205
+145
+190
+150
1
1		-1.24289-1.22984-1.50314
Toluca
Puebla		26.6%
47.1%		26.3%
+100
+258
+105
+235
1
1		-1.41898-1.38330-1.33492
America
FC Juarez		45.7%
27.6%		26.7%
-140
+420
-160
+415
2
0		-0.55720-0.53479-0.78338
Queretaro
Monterrey		21.3%
54.9%		23.7%
+735
-240
+625
-230
1
1		-1.59870-1.58562-1.43767
UANL
Atletico		68.4%
12.3%		19.3%
+142
+205
+135
+220
2
1		-0.91837-0.89465-0.38050
Monterrey
Santos Laguna		31.2%
42.2%		26.6%
+135
+220
+135
+205
2
0		-0.88775-0.90503-1.16379
Guadalajara
UANL		27.1%
44.7%		28.3%
+415
-130
+375
-125
0
1		-0.60556-0.63828-0.80553
Tijuana
Atlas		29.9%
40.1%		30.0%
+216
+146
+230
+150
0
0		-1.19799-1.16771-1.20321
Queretaro
America		20.7%
55.9%		23.4%
+750
-258
+590
-240
0
2		-0.36140-0.39787-0.58166
Mazatlan FC
Toluca		41.3%
33.1%		25.6%
+572
-218
+550
-220
1
4		-0.41133-0.42318-1.10527
Cruz Azul
FC Juarez		52.1%
23.0%		25.0%
+143
+218
+145
+200
0
0		-1.21177-1.21574-1.38774
UNAM
Atletico		66.9%
13.6%		19.5%
+163
+186
+155
+175
1
3		-1.07881-1.06447-1.99370
Necaxa
Puebla		37.0%
33.8%		29.1%
+210
+137
+200
+135
2
1		-1.16520-1.15024-0.99371
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.88984 
Sportsbooks21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.90550 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.93150
-0.04166
-0.02600

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.