Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Juarez
Puebla 		30.9%
39.7%		29.4%


0.99
1.16		2.15


Necaxa
Queretaro 		39.3%
33.3%		27.4%
+115
+225

1.27
1.15		2.42
o2½-120
u2½+100

Leon
UANL 		43.6%
28.3%		28.0%


1.29
0.99		2.28


Mazatlan FC
Tijuana 		49.9%
25.3%		24.8%


1.62
1.08		2.70


Games for Sep 26, 2024
Games for Sep 28, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Toluca
Santos Laguna 		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
-175
+465
-180
+460
3.11
o3-115
u3¼-116
o3-120
u3+115
1st H
23:00		0
0
UANL
FC Juarez 		51.8%
21.9%		26.3%
-110
+305
-120
+310
2.35
o2¾-102
u2¾-110
o2½-145
u2½+125
1st H
18:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cruz Azul
Toluca		59.6%
18.7%		21.6%
+188
+155
+185
+150
1
3		-0.96247-0.95703-1.67488
Guadalajara
Pachuca		32.1%
38.6%		29.3%
+325
-106
+330
+101
1
1		-1.28772-1.26844-1.22666
UNAM
UANL		29.3%
41.8%		28.9%
+740
-245
+700
-220
2
4		-0.37707-0.39113-0.87321
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez		46.7%
27.2%		26.1%
+140
+196
+140
+195
1
3		-1.11997-1.11471-1.30376
Necaxa
America		26.4%
48.1%		25.5%
+1050
-371
+1100
-435
1
2		-0.27247-0.25053-0.73131
Atletico
Tijuana		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+244
+118
+290
+110
0
1		-0.80243-0.76250-0.87500
Mazatlan FC
Puebla		33.7%
38.6%		27.8%
+505
-169
+465
-170
1
3		-0.48542-0.51191-0.95272
Monterrey
Atlas		56.9%
18.6%		24.6%
+168
+174
+168
+190
2
0		-1.01096-0.99783-0.56442
Leon
Queretaro		67.0%
13.7%		19.3%
+146
+200
+150
+180
3
0		-0.91762-0.95826-0.40049
Toluca
Monterrey		17.7%
61.1%		21.2%
+550
-179
+525
-190
1
2		-0.47037-0.47209-0.49192
Queretaro
Guadalajara		19.7%
56.8%		23.6%
+351
-111
+425
-120
1
1		-1.32622-1.29452-1.44570
Atlas
UNAM		11.4%
68.3%		20.2%
+174
+178
+165
+165
2
2		-1.24240-1.27147-1.59746
America
Santos Laguna		32.0%
41.3%		26.7%
+122
+205
+120
+195
2
2		-1.41799-1.40973-1.32171
UANL
Cruz Azul		32.8%
38.3%		28.9%
+160
+198
+150
+192
1
0		-0.97228-0.96524-1.11346
Pachuca
Leon		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+142
+203
+130
+205
1
0		-0.90919-0.87707-1.72704
FC Juarez
Mazatlan FC		30.6%
43.1%		26.3%
+182
+197
+175
+175
3
2		-1.04347-1.05829-1.18551
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.55302 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.53316 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.57155
-0.01853
-0.03838

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.