Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Leon 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+117
+247
+110
+260
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2½-122
u2½+102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Necaxa
Monterrey 		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+475
-178
+450
-185
1.08
1.50		2.58
o3-110
u3-105
o3-110
u3-110
UANL
Mazatlan FC 		51.1%
23.8%		25.0%
-120
+350
-130
+355
1.59
1.01		2.60
o2½-108
u2½-109
o2½-115
u2½-105
Toluca
Cruz Azul 		13.6%
67.8%		18.6%
+280
-107
+305
-125
0.89
2.24		3.13
o3+110
u3-125
o3-105
u3-115
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Necaxa
Puebla		37.0%
33.8%		29.1%
+210
+137
+200
+135
2
1		-1.16520-1.15024-0.99371
UANL
Leon		22.0%
52.4%		25.6%
+193
+152
+195
+150
2
1		-1.10927-1.13202-1.51636
Atlas
Necaxa		17.3%
59.1%		23.6%
+164
+212
+155
+205
1
2		-1.16466-1.16194-0.52577
FC Juarez
UNAM		18.2%
58.3%		23.5%
+452
-164
+450
-170
0
1		-0.51146-0.51099-0.53904
Puebla
Monterrey		22.2%
52.1%		25.6%
+750
-275
+725
-280
0
2		-0.34569-0.35452-0.65112
America
Tijuana		61.0%
17.0%		22.0%
+207
+145
+195
+145
2
0		-1.15356-1.11813-0.49467
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara		31.7%
41.2%		27.1%
+275
+105
+255
+105
1
1		-1.31267-1.31688-1.30516
Pachuca
Cruz Azul		27.9%
45.0%		27.1%
+246
+110
+220
+115
1
0		-1.27611-1.21345-1.27776
Atletico
Mazatlan FC		18.0%
61.3%		20.8%
+164
+183
+155
+175
1
0		-0.99671-0.98481-1.71674
Toluca
Queretaro		28.0%
46.6%		25.4%
+130
+254
+125
+220
2
2		-1.24545-1.27357-1.37137
UANL
America		38.1%
32.8%		29.0%
+475
-147
+475
-150
0
3		-0.55406-0.55760-1.11325
America
UANL		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+187
+180
+177
+179
1
1		-1.15471-1.21615-1.30708
UNAM
UANL		29.3%
41.8%		28.9%
+372
-125
+350
-125
1
1		-1.35530-1.34519-1.24078
Atletico
America		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+700
-230
+535
-220
2
0		-2.08490-1.89839-2.15658
UANL
UNAM		33.7%
36.2%		30.1%
+205
+168
+205
+150
1
0		-1.14889-1.15471-1.08758
America
Atletico		63.5%
16.0%		20.5%
-120
+350
-115
+300
5
0		-0.63059-0.67329-0.45382
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.03667 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.04046 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.12204
-0.08538
-0.08159

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.