Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Leon 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+117
+247
+115
+245
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2½-122
u2½+102
o2½-125
u2½+105
Necaxa
Monterrey 		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+475
-178
+450
-185
1.08
1.50		2.58
o3-110
u3-105
o3-110
u3-110
UANL
Mazatlan FC 		51.1%
23.8%		25.0%
-120
+350
-130
+355
1.59
1.01		2.60
o2½-108
u2½-109
o2½-115
u2½-105
Toluca
Cruz Azul 		13.6%
67.8%		18.6%
+260
+104
+280
-110
0.89
2.24		3.13
o3+102
u3-118
o3+105
u3-115
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
UNAM
Guadalajara		34.2%
36.6%		29.1%
+253
+162
+230
+125
0
1		-0.93351-0.86022-1.00468
UANL
Puebla		50.2%
22.3%		27.4%
-106
+315
-110
+290
2
2		-1.37283-1.38725-1.29302
America
Leon		17.2%
61.1%		21.6%
+130
+230
+130
+215
2
2		-1.29839-1.29000-1.53067
Santos Laguna
Leon		17.6%
61.1%		21.3%
+350
-140
+325
-138
2
3		-0.57384-0.59160-0.49302
Mazatlan FC
Santos Laguna		22.5%
54.9%		22.5%
+435
-155
+425
-170
1
2		-0.51228-0.50408-0.59946
Leon
Atletico		78.8%
7.4%		13.7%
+150
+200
+140
+190
2
3		-1.10591-1.10322-2.59964
FC Juarez
Leon		10.2%
72.5%		17.3%
+745
-225
+650
-260
1
2		-0.35851-0.37395-0.32223
Puebla
Cruz Azul		17.7%
59.4%		22.9%
+290
-110
+270
-115
2
1		-1.37528-1.35623-1.73296
America
UANL		26.1%
46.8%		27.1%
+160
+166
+175
+154
0
0		-1.32867-1.33556-1.30708
Guadalajara
UNAM		29.5%
42.5%		28.0%
+315
-110
+305
+105
0
1		-0.67019-0.71853-0.85621
Monterrey
Queretaro		45.9%
27.9%		26.2%
+156
+175
+155
+255
0
0		-1.30841-1.22149-1.33903
Santos Laguna
Atletico		64.6%
15.6%		19.8%
+181
+131
+175
+140
2
0		-1.06708-1.05085-0.43751
Pachuca
Tijuana		60.5%
16.5%		23.0%
+240
+126
+240
+115
3
2		-1.23429-1.26386-0.50301
Toluca
Mazatlan FC		25.7%
50.6%		23.6%
+112
+222
+115
+205
0
1		-1.19122-1.16334-0.68078
Necaxa
Atlas		50.7%
22.9%		26.5%
+366
-115
+330
-120
0
0		-1.35143-1.34542-1.32935
Santos Laguna
Monterrey		33.9%
39.0%		27.2%
+355
-136
+315
-128
0
3		-0.57939-0.62254-0.94246
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.03667 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.04046 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.12204
-0.08538
-0.08159

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.