Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Leon 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+129
+230
+125
+225
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2½-120
u2½+103
o2½-125
u2½+105
Necaxa
Monterrey 		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+462
-180
+450
-185
1.08
1.50		2.58
o3-122
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
UANL
Mazatlan FC 		51.1%
23.8%		25.0%
-120
+350
-130
+355
1.59
1.01		2.60
o2½-108
u2½-109
o2½-115
u2½-105
Toluca
Cruz Azul 		13.6%
67.8%		18.6%
+252
+104
+280
+100
0.89
2.24		3.13
o3+102
u3-108
o3+100
u3-115
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Queretaro
FC Juarez		31.5%
40.5%		28.0%
+322
-110
+310
-115
3
0		-1.47399-1.45887-1.15455
Toluca
Santos Laguna		16.7%
63.3%		20.0%
+215
+112
+200
+120
1
3		-0.78627-0.83496-0.45747
Mazatlan FC
Necaxa		29.0%
45.8%		25.2%
+168
+155
+175
+151
0
4		-0.97104-0.95933-0.78041
Atlas
UNAM		11.4%
68.3%		20.2%
+340
-115
+320
-120
0
3		-0.65070-0.65514-0.38085
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+205
+145
+200
+140
0
1		-0.93006-0.91864-1.03530
Monterrey
Pachuca		30.4%
41.2%		28.4%
+155
+175
+167
+165
2
0		-0.97061-1.02299-1.19109
Tijuana
America		12.4%
68.7%		18.9%
+750
-275
+800
-300
0
3		-0.34084-0.32211-0.37608
Atletico
UANL		8.9%
74.7%		16.3%
+635
-220
+625
-230
2
2		-1.60336-1.59411-1.81382
Leon
Puebla		64.2%
14.5%		21.3%
-110
+305
-110
+280
4
5		-1.42420-1.37433-1.92971
UANL
Tijuana		65.8%
13.2%		21.0%
+126
+230
+130
+210
0
2		-1.22786-1.17756-2.02768
America
Atletico		63.5%
16.0%		20.5%
-140
+372
-130
+327
1
0		-0.57341-0.61293-0.45382
Santos Laguna
Mazatlan FC		45.5%
29.6%		24.9%
+145
+182
+140
+190
1
3		-1.06575-1.09955-1.21838
Pachuca
Atlas		57.2%
17.4%		25.4%
+210
+145
+220
+145
2
0		-1.16024-1.18656-0.55870
FC Juarez
Cruz Azul		17.2%
60.7%		22.1%
+425
-155
+390
-150
0
2		-0.53253-0.55769-0.49919
Necaxa
Monterrey		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+960
-345
+850
-320
0
3		-0.28884-0.31820-0.75243
UNAM
Leon		20.1%
56.1%		23.8%
+346
-115
+317
-115
1
1		-1.38589-1.37212-1.43443
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.03667 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.04046 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.12204
-0.08538
-0.08159

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.