Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Pachuca
Leon 		17.8%
58.9%		23.3%
+133
+218
+130
+210
0.84
1.75		2.59
o2½-123
u2½+105
o2½-125
u2½+105
Necaxa
Monterrey 		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+462
-180
+450
-185
1.08
1.50		2.58
o3-122
u3+102
o3-120
u3+100
UANL
Mazatlan FC 		51.1%
23.8%		25.0%
-120
+350
-130
+355
1.59
1.01		2.60
o2½-111
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
Toluca
Cruz Azul 		13.6%
67.8%		18.6%
+245
+108
+250
+100
0.89
2.24		3.13
o3-106
u3+100
o3+100
u3-120
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Puebla
Toluca		38.2%
33.5%		28.2%
+547
-213
+525
-210
1
0		-1.90086-1.87941-0.96139
Guadalajara
Queretaro		47.9%
25.9%		26.2%
+167
+183
+150
+195
2
1		-1.01253-0.95745-0.73570
Atlas
Tijuana		32.5%
36.9%		30.6%
+315
+121
+265
+110
0
2		-0.78047-0.79376-0.99788
FC Juarez
Santos Laguna		20.7%
55.7%		23.6%
+388
-144
+340
-140
1
5		-0.55203-0.58927-0.58533
Atletico
Toluca		24.1%
52.0%		23.9%
+365
-130
+350
-140
1
3		-0.56819-0.57745-0.65368
America
Monterrey		33.1%
39.3%		27.7%
+200
+152
+190
+135
3
0		-1.09617-1.10809-1.10709
UANL
Guadalajara		36.2%
33.7%		30.1%
+158
+208
+155
+184
4
0		-0.96388-0.97798-1.01534
Puebla
Pachuca		20.9%
52.7%		26.4%
+555
-147
+450
-175
1
1		-1.45637-1.52606-1.33287
Leon
Cruz Azul		46.2%
27.8%		26.0%
+225
+156
+240
+120
0
1		-0.92143-0.81083-1.28053
Queretaro
Mazatlan FC		30.2%
44.2%		25.6%
+236
+130
+210
+130
0
3		-0.84770-0.88312-0.81642
UNAM
Necaxa		43.3%
29.6%		27.2%
-116
+311
-125
+326
0
1		-1.43738-1.48877-1.21902
Atletico
FC Juarez		19.5%
57.2%		23.2%
+190
+155
+175
+155
2
3		-0.95774-0.97289-0.55828
Tijuana
Monterrey		12.8%
67.8%		19.4%
+463
-173
+490
-192
1
3		-0.49012-0.46501-0.38862
Atlas
Leon		6.4%
79.1%		14.5%
+400
-118
+360
-125
1
1		-1.31186-1.36653-1.93441
Necaxa
Atletico		56.1%
20.7%		23.1%
+367
-130
+340
-135
0
4		-0.59238-0.60008-1.57277
Monterrey
UNAM		27.8%
45.3%		26.8%
+203
+137
+195
+130
1
0		-1.13417-1.13206-1.28024
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.03667 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.04046 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.12204
-0.08538
-0.08159

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.