Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toluca
Cruz Azul 		13.6%
67.8%		18.6%
+223
+120
+235
+105
0.89
2.24		3.13
o3-112
u3-108
o3+100
u3-120
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Leon		6.4%
79.1%		14.5%
+400
-118
+360
-125
1
1		-1.31186-1.36653-1.93441
Necaxa
Atletico		56.1%
20.7%		23.1%
+367
-130
+340
-135
0
4		-0.59238-0.60008-1.57277
Monterrey
UNAM		27.8%
45.3%		26.8%
+203
+137
+195
+130
1
0		-1.13417-1.13206-1.28024
Cruz Azul
UANL		30.9%
40.8%		28.3%
+505
-160
+440
-170
1
2		-0.48840-0.51420-0.89744
Tijuana
Queretaro		21.1%
54.7%		24.2%
+277
+110
+250
+125
0
1		-0.76482-0.83076-0.60259
Santos Laguna
America		33.2%
40.0%		26.7%
+685
-262
+625
-235
3
4		-0.34895-0.37886-0.91537
Toluca
Leon		7.9%
78.1%		14.0%
+275
+100
+270
-108
0
1		-0.71988-0.70029-0.24723
Guadalajara
Puebla		45.3%
26.6%		28.1%
+104
+283
+100
+263
2
0		-0.73216-0.74874-0.79288
Pachuca
FC Juarez		45.6%
26.6%		27.8%
+200
+148
+200
+135
1
0		-1.12883-1.15024-0.78487
Mazatlan FC
Atlas		47.1%
26.4%		26.5%
+418
-138
+420
-153
3
1		-1.66147-1.68881-0.75383
Atletico
Tijuana		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+290
+100
+265
+100
1
2		-0.70917-0.72960-0.87500
Leon
Santos Laguna		52.2%
23.6%		24.1%
+199
+122
+190
+125
2
0		-1.12896-1.11581-0.64932
Puebla
Necaxa		27.0%
45.7%		27.3%
+225
+125
+235
+120
2
1		-1.19869-1.23564-1.30800
Queretaro
Toluca		37.5%
35.4%		27.1%
+440
-155
+400
-165
1
3		-0.51793-0.52498-1.03976
UNAM
Cruz Azul		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+200
+136
+190
+135
4
1		-1.12209-1.10452-1.17490
Atlas
Guadalajara		12.7%
66.0%		21.3%
+219
+157
+210
+145
1
4		-0.97918-0.93565-0.41621
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.03408 
Sportsbooks31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.03313 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.19797
-0.16389
-0.16485

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.