Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queretaro
Leon 		9.9%
73.8%		16.3%
+460
-160
+455
-166
0.75
2.40		3.15
o2½-115
u2½-103
o2½-120
u2½+100
UANL
Santos Laguna 		37.8%
33.7%		28.5%
-173
+485
-180
+465
1.18
1.10		2.28
o2¾-117
u3-136
o2½-145
u3-135
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara 		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+135
+215
+135
+210
1.14
1.14		2.28
o2½-122
u2½+104
o2½-120
u2½+105
Pachuca
America 		32.6%
38.6%		28.8%
+340
-121
+330
-125
1.06
1.18		2.24
o2½-122
u2¾-123
o2½-125
u2½+105
Games for Aug 29, 2025
Games for Aug 31, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlas
Monterrey		13.8%
64.7%		21.5%
+743
-215
+710
-240
0
2		-0.40031-0.39858-0.43499
Toluca
Mazatlan FC		25.7%
50.6%		23.6%
+161
+185
+150
+180
1
1		-1.26404-1.27379-1.44236
UANL
Puebla		50.2%
22.3%		27.4%
+162
+189
+145
+190
1
2		-1.08285-1.10991-1.50049
Leon
Cruz Azul		46.2%
27.8%		26.0%
+186
+157
+180
+158
1
2		-0.95288-0.97777-1.28053
Pachuca
FC Juarez		45.6%
26.6%		27.8%
+150
+210
+145
+225
1
2		-1.15668-1.21143-1.32603
Santos Laguna
America		33.2%
40.0%		26.7%
+540
-187
+540
-210
3
3		-1.54754-1.56719-1.31901
UANL
Guadalajara		36.2%
33.7%		30.1%
+183
+190
+177
+185
4
1		-1.06083-1.05783-1.01534
Tijuana
Pachuca		12.1%
68.0%		19.9%
+700
-214
+610
-220
1
6		-0.40705-0.42402-0.38600
Atletico
Atlas		29.0%
42.4%		28.6%
+208
+150
+215
+150
3
1		-1.15223-1.17691-1.23684
Mazatlan FC
Cruz Azul		18.7%
60.1%		21.2%
+337
-110
+325
-115
0
2		-0.66575-0.67254-0.50939
Puebla
Guadalajara		20.5%
53.9%		25.6%
+268
+118
+275
+115
0
1		-0.80191-0.79105-0.61815
UNAM
Toluca		57.3%
19.8%		22.9%
+199
+139
+190
+135
2
2		-1.34105-1.31770-1.47583
Leon
UANL		43.6%
28.3%		28.0%
+435
-143
+425
-155
1
0		-1.69914-1.70540-0.82901
America
Necaxa		39.1%
33.5%		27.4%
+120
+270
+125
+260
2
1		-0.80136-0.82972-0.93866
Santos Laguna
Queretaro		48.1%
26.8%		25.1%
+135
+218
+125
+215
3
3		-1.30660-1.30963-1.38075
Monterrey
FC Juarez		44.6%
28.2%		27.2%
+117
+277
+110
+290
1
0		-0.79902-0.78143-0.80851
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56541 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.59915 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.88334
-0.31793
-0.28419

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.