Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queretaro
Leon 		9.9%
73.8%		16.3%
+525
-180
+475
-170
0.75
2.40		3.15
o2½-120
u2½+102
o2½-120
u2½+100
UANL
Santos Laguna 		37.8%
33.7%		28.5%
-173
+485
-178
+465
1.18
1.10		2.28
o2¾-117
u3-130
o2½-145
u3-130
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara 		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+147
+195
+139
+210
1.14
1.14		2.28
o2½-122
u2½+104
o2½-120
u2½+105
Pachuca
America 		32.6%
38.6%		28.8%
+340
-121
+330
-124
1.06
1.18		2.24
o2½-122
u2¾-123
o2½-125
u2½+105
Games for Aug 29, 2025
Games for Aug 31, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Guadalajara
Tijuana		61.6%
16.1%		22.2%
+204
+160
+190
+165
2
1		-1.13383-1.10358-0.48431
Queretaro
UNAM		17.8%
59.7%		22.5%
+322
-104
+330
-110
1
4		-0.69353-0.67651-0.51592
Atlas
Mazatlan FC		20.1%
55.9%		23.9%
+198
+167
+190
+160
0
1		-1.00065-1.00523-0.58177
Toluca
UANL		13.2%
67.2%		19.6%
+560
-182
+500
-175
1
3		-0.46436-0.49068-0.39689
Pachuca
Puebla		44.2%
26.9%		28.9%
+127
+245
+120
+260
2
2		-1.26047-1.24988-1.24192
Cruz Azul
Monterrey		38.6%
33.8%		27.6%
+655
-206
+630
-225
2
3		-0.41849-0.41564-1.08492
Atletico
America		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+720
-226
+725
-250
0
3		-0.39220-0.38232-0.34194
Necaxa
Santos Laguna		26.0%
49.3%		24.7%
+330
-110
+330
-115
1
3		-0.66596-0.66629-0.70745
FC Juarez
Leon		10.2%
72.5%		17.3%
+276
+110
+255
+110
0
1		-0.76550-0.78858-0.32223
Guadalajara
Toluca		54.3%
21.9%		23.8%
+160
+192
+160
+184
0
0		-1.24476-1.23292-1.43431
UANL
America		38.1%
32.8%		29.0%
+285
+110
+255
+115
1
2		-0.76740-0.80979-1.11325
Mazatlan FC
Monterrey		23.7%
52.7%		23.6%
+728
-222
+700
-240
0
0		-1.54985-1.56451-1.44367
UNAM
Atlas		61.1%
15.5%		23.4%
+283
+104
+275
+104
0
0		-1.31766-1.29448-1.45265
Santos Laguna
Pachuca		31.9%
40.1%		27.9%
+440
-130
+400
-136
0
2		-0.57864-0.58656-0.91297
Cruz Azul
FC Juarez		52.1%
23.0%		25.0%
+263
+127
+265
+125
2
2		-1.20852-1.19359-1.38774
Leon
Necaxa		60.0%
18.0%		22.0%
+164
+192
+153
+180
2
3		-1.08684-1.07102-1.71563
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56541 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.59915 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.88334
-0.31793
-0.28419

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.