Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 30, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Queretaro
Leon 		9.9%
73.8%		16.3%
+500
-170
+460
-165
0.75
2.40		3.15
o2½-117
u2½-102
o2½-115
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
UANL
Santos Laguna 		37.8%
33.7%		28.5%
-185
+505
-185
+510
1.18
1.10		2.28
o3+105
u3-123
o2½-150
u3-125
Cruz Azul
Guadalajara 		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+150
+195
+150
+185
1.14
1.14		2.28
o2½-122
u2½+104
o2½-120
u2½+100
Pachuca
America 		32.6%
38.6%		28.8%
+315
-110
+310
-115
1.06
1.18		2.24
o2½-118
u2½+100
o2½-120
u2½+105
Games for Aug 29, 2025
Games for Aug 31, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Puebla
Queretaro		33.0%
38.0%		29.0%
+167
+181
+175
+161
1
1		-1.25839-1.24897-1.23743
Tijuana
Atletico		33.6%
38.4%		28.0%
+256
+121
+240
+125
0
0		-1.26135-1.28699-1.27343
Monterrey
Tijuana		60.0%
17.5%		22.4%
+105
+287
+105
+260
3
0		-0.74537-0.76404-0.51051
Atlas
Leon		6.4%
79.1%		14.5%
+169
+181
+200
+175
2
4		-1.06337-1.02101-0.23417
Atletico
Santos Laguna		11.2%
72.0%		16.8%
+325
-113
+300
-110
1
4		-0.65587-0.67641-0.32845
Pachuca
Toluca		53.2%
22.3%		24.5%
+163
+185
+150
+181
4
1		-0.98366-0.96506-0.63068
UNAM
Guadalajara		34.2%
36.6%		29.1%
+425
-131
+395
-135
1
3		-0.59328-0.58990-1.00468
Necaxa
UANL		20.8%
54.3%		24.8%
+607
-183
+575
-190
0
0		-1.45175-1.43822-1.39296
Queretaro
Cruz Azul		16.8%
62.2%		21.1%
+275
+105
+320
+105
1
2		-0.74589-0.72540-0.47533
America
Mazatlan FC		44.5%
30.0%		25.6%
-106
+351
-120
+340
3
1		-0.67615-0.65541-0.81076
FC Juarez
Puebla		30.9%
39.7%		29.4%
+235
+137
+200
+145
2
2		-1.20858-1.23746-1.22533
Santos Laguna
Tijuana		62.2%
16.6%		21.2%
+175
+180
+170
+160
2
0		-1.02638-1.04537-0.47443
Atlas
Pachuca		13.0%
64.7%		22.2%
+411
-120
+385
-125
1
3		-0.62338-0.63030-0.43482
UANL
UNAM		33.7%
36.2%		30.1%
+126
+246
+125
+225
1
1		-1.24486-1.25836-1.20174
America
Queretaro		46.9%
27.2%		25.9%
-141
+430
-145
+410
1
0		-0.55649-0.56789-0.75732
Monterrey
Guadalajara		30.2%
42.3%		27.5%
+195
+177
+185
+165
0
1		-1.03125-1.01830-0.86083
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.56541 
Sportsbooks33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.59915 
DRatings33-0-0 (1.000)0-0.88334
-0.31793
-0.28419

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.