Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
America
Pachuca 		31.2%
40.5%		28.2%
+187
+150
+185
+155
1.06
1.24		2.30
o2½-118
u2½-102
o2½-120
u2½+100
FC Juarez
Atlas 		42.9%
27.6%		29.5%
+244
+128
+225
+130
1.20
0.90		2.10
o2½+100
u2½-115
o2½+100
u2½-120
Mazatlan FC
Atletico 		52.3%
24.2%		23.6%
+250
+120
+240
+120
1.75
1.12		2.87
o2½-113
u2½+100
o2½-115
u2½-105
Guadalajara
Monterrey 		34.0%
37.4%		28.6%
+285
+110
+270
+110
1.09
1.17		2.26
o2½+103
u2½-118
o2½+105
u2½-125
UNAM
Cruz Azul 		30.9%
41.7%		27.4%
+490
-159
+480
-165
1.09
1.31		2.40
o2¼-122
u2¼+110
o2½+105
u2½-125
Games for Apr 4, 2025
Games for Apr 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Juarez
Tijuana		45.8%
26.8%		27.4%
+315
-118
+310
-120
2
1		-1.45792-1.45573-0.78041
Santos Laguna
Mazatlan FC		45.5%
29.6%		24.9%
+410
-133
+375
-135
1
1		-1.35476-1.37215-1.39107
Tijuana
Guadalajara		11.8%
69.1%		19.1%
+435
-145
+435
-155
1
2		-0.55909-0.54775-0.37006
Mazatlan FC
UNAM		19.8%
57.8%		22.4%
+675
-190
+650
-170
0
1		-0.46587-0.49182-0.54832
Pachuca
Cruz Azul		27.9%
45.0%		27.1%
+455
-145
+350
-130
1
2		-0.55448-0.61665-0.79926
Monterrey
FC Juarez		44.6%
28.2%		27.2%
-115
+342
-105
+285
1
2		-1.52065-1.39659-1.26649
Atlas
UANL		10.4%
69.3%		20.3%
+655
-210
+575
-205
1
2		-0.42494-0.44626-0.36716
Toluca
Leon		7.9%
78.1%		14.0%
+120
+238
+120
+215
3
3		-1.31882-1.32950-1.96876
America
Puebla		44.3%
28.0%		27.7%
-154
+458
-145
+400
2
1		-0.53527-0.57481-0.81351
Santos Laguna
Necaxa		40.1%
33.2%		26.7%
+565
-200
+550
-215
2
3		-0.44024-0.43209-1.10404
Atletico
Queretaro		20.0%
57.2%		22.8%
+183
+165
+165
+160
0
1		-1.00953-1.00605-0.55923
Leon
Pachuca		50.3%
23.5%		26.1%
+320
-105
+290
+105
2
1		-1.46655-1.39449-0.68685
UNAM
Atletico		66.9%
13.6%		19.5%
+147
+220
+155
+185
3
2		-0.92895-0.98556-0.40264
Puebla
Santos Laguna		21.2%
54.4%		24.4%
+172
+182
+190
+155
2
0		-1.03386-1.11301-1.55060
UANL
Toluca		59.4%
18.0%		22.7%
+240
+120
+285
+125
0
1		-0.82225-0.80497-1.71719
Necaxa
Monterrey		27.1%
47.1%		25.8%
+430
-155
+410
-160
0
1		-0.53188-0.53389-0.75243
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-1-2 (0.333)0-1.18673 
Sportsbooks30-1-2 (0.333)0-1.20118 
DRatings31-0-2 (0.667)0-1.18618
0.00055
0.01500

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.