Mexico Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Mazatlan FC
America 		23.0%
53.7%		23.3%
+1000
-340
+950
-360
1.09
1.78		2.87
o2¾-126
u3-122
o3+105
u3-125
Queretaro
FC Juarez 		31.5%
40.5%		28.0%
+385
-138
+400
-140
1.07
1.26		2.33
o2¼-115
u2¼-102
o2½+110
u2½-130
Cruz Azul
Toluca 		59.6%
18.7%		21.6%
+255
+120
+235
+120
1.95
0.99		2.94
o3+100
u3-120
o2½-130
u2½+110
Overall Bet Value Active
UNAM
UANL 		29.3%
41.8%		28.9%
+290
+100
+290
+100
0.97
1.22		2.19
o2¼-125
u2½-124
o2½+105
u2½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Guadalajara
Atlas 		58.4%
17.1%		24.5%
+133
+245
+130
+230
1.63
0.76		2.39
o2¼-126
u2½-125
o2½+110
u2½-130
Games for Apr 18, 2025
Games for Apr 20, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Pachuca
Queretaro		46.9%
26.2%		26.9%
-107
+323
-105
+305
1
0		-0.69051-0.71685-0.75762
Monterrey
Atlas		56.9%
18.6%		24.6%
+115
+277
+125
+240
3
3		-1.23529-1.21295-1.40381
Cruz Azul
Necaxa		45.5%
28.5%		26.1%
+126
+248
+120
+255
3
1		-0.85039-0.82698-0.78814
Guadalajara
Leon		18.2%
59.0%		22.8%
+172
+180
+165
+175
1
2		-1.06158-1.05912-0.52790
Tijuana
UANL		9.6%
72.4%		18.0%
+585
-210
+510
-210
0
4		-0.42413-0.44004-0.32284
Mazatlan FC
Puebla		33.7%
38.6%		27.8%
+226
+140
+200
+145
1
0		-1.21237-1.14662-1.08910
Atletico
America		11.6%
71.0%		17.4%
+675
-220
+600
-230
0
3		-0.40804-0.41228-0.34194
Atlas
UNAM		11.4%
68.3%		20.2%
+477
-140
+465
-145
0
0		-1.31476-1.31625-1.59746
Pachuca
Monterrey		33.3%
37.7%		29.0%
+345
-122
+355
-135
3
2		-1.52634-1.56456-1.10069
UANL
Guadalajara		36.2%
33.7%		30.1%
+170
+201
+165
+185
1
1		-1.13392-1.18097-1.20078
America
Santos Laguna		32.0%
41.3%		26.7%
-160
+500
-155
+450
4
1		-0.52012-0.53977-1.13881
FC Juarez
Leon		10.2%
72.5%		17.3%
+368
-128
+360
-135
0
1		-0.61155-0.60462-0.32223
Puebla
Cruz Azul		17.7%
59.4%		22.9%
+1120
-350
+840
-305
1
1		-1.77502-1.69909-1.47290
Queretaro
Tijuana		45.8%
27.5%		26.7%
+510
-173
+540
-185
1
2		-0.48965-0.47742-1.29091
Toluca
Mazatlan FC		25.7%
50.6%		23.6%
+126
+215
+120
+220
1
2		-1.18293-1.21456-0.68078
Necaxa
Atletico		56.1%
20.7%		23.1%
+172
+172
+215
+150
3
0		-1.02963-1.15471-0.57770
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.70241 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61990 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.99371
-0.29130
-0.37381

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Liga MX soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.