MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 3, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Antonio Senzatela
Taijuan Walker
43.3%
56.7%
+203
-220
+208
-220
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
4.60
5.30
9.90
o9½-110
u9½-105
o9½-105
u9½-105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Tanner Houck
Charlie Morton
61.0%
39.0%
+103
-113
+100
-109
+1½-195
-1½+185

5.83
4.67
10.50
o9-115
u9½-120
o9-115
u9+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Houston Astros (70-50)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Hunter Brown
Joe Ryan
55.3%
44.7%
+108
-118
+108
-118
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
5.23
4.66
9.89
o7½+100
u7+105
o7½+105
u7+100
Overall Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Merrill Kelly
Carlos Carrasco
34.7%
65.3%
+114
-124
+105
-109
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-178
-1½+175
4.19
5.79
9.98
o9½-120
u9½+100
o9½-115
u9½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Nick Lodolo
Nestor Cortes
43.4%
56.6%
+102
-112
+102
-108
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+190
4.05
4.74
8.79
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½-105
Games for Apr 2, 2025
Games for Apr 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.8%
60.2%
+202
-225
+205
-216
+1½+110
-1½-122
+1½+110
-1½-116
5
6
-0.39090-0.39181-0.50805
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
38.1%
61.9%
+129
-140
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
3
-0.84838-0.85085-0.96622
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
38.4%
61.6%
+274
-315
+275
-310
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-130
1
5
-0.30178-0.30209-0.48402
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
59.8%
40.2%
-120
+110
-118
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
3
0
-0.62755-0.62019-0.51333
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
39.7%
60.3%
-182
+166
-180
+168
-1½-110
+1½-106
-1½-105
+1½-110
6
1
-0.45901-0.45770-0.92442
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
51.3%
48.7%
-206
+186
-200
+190
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+115
6
5
-0.41831-0.41690-0.66756
Cleveland Indians
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+166
-182
+171
-179
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+118
2
5
-0.45901-0.45435-0.49651
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
45.6%
54.4%
+147
-160
+152
-163
+1½-149
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
6
3
-0.92425-0.94071-0.78522
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
40.0%
60.0%
-119
+109
-118
+110
-1½+153
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-165
2
3
-0.75877-0.75927-0.50999
Chicago Cubs
Oakland Athletics
39.8%
60.2%
+108
-118
+108
-118
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+175
10
2
-0.75417-0.75417-0.92032
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
39.3%
60.7%
-101
-109
+102
-107

-1½+165
+1½-170
2
4
-0.67472-0.67178-0.49908
Los Angeles Angels
St. Louis Cardinals
48.2%
51.8%
+131
-143
+131
-142
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+145
5
12
-0.55137-0.55259-0.65778
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
41.4%
58.6%
+109
-118
+108
-115
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
3
-0.63337-0.64124-0.53481
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
32.6%
67.4%
-110
+100
-110
+101
-1½+158
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-170
4
2
-0.67015-0.66771-1.12083
Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds
38.0%
62.0%
+126
-137
+126
-135
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
1
0
-0.83570-0.83218-0.96714
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.7%
60.3%
+110
-120
+120
-122
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+165
1
3
-0.62755-0.60274-0.50657
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.62050 
Sportsbooks1510-5 (0.667)0-0.62090 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.70369
-0.08319
-0.08278

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.