MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 12, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Shane Baz
Matthew Boyd
55.7%
44.3%
+141
-155
+148
-160
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+130
4.63
4.04
8.67
o7½+100
u7½-120
o7½+100
u7½-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Mitch Keller
Brad Lord
38.7%
61.3%
-103
-107
+100
-107
+1½-225
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+190
4.30
5.49
9.79
o8+100
u8-113
o8-105
u8-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Michael Lorenzen
Walker Buehler
40.6%
59.4%
+117
-129
+116
-126
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-173
-1½+155
4.19
5.17
9.36
o9-115
u9-103
o9-115
u9-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Trevor Rogers
Chris Bassitt
33.0%
67.0%
+119
-131
+120
-129
+1½-177
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+158
4.20
5.96
10.16
o7½-115
u8-118
o8-105
u8-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Martin Perez
Tanner Bibee
54.2%
45.8%
+145
-160
+148
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
4.77
4.33
9.10
o8+105
u7½-105
o8+100
u8-120
New York Yankees (69-52)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Luis Gil
Lucas Giolito
45.5%
54.5%
-117
+106
-117
+111
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
4.65
5.12
9.77
o9+100
u8½+105
o9+100
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
New York Mets (60-60)
Jacob deGrom
Jonah Tong
38.4%
61.6%
-101
-109
-102
-105
+1½-225
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+190
4.65
5.87
10.52
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Tarik Skubal
Sandy Alcantara
40.3%
59.7%
-200
+180
-200
+181
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
3.75
4.76
8.51
o7+100
u7-120
o7+100
u7-120
Houston Astros (70-50)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Hurston Waldrep
50.2%
49.8%
-136
+114
-135
+115
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-155
4.23
4.21
8.44
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8½+100
u8½-120
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Andre Pallante
Quinn Priester
40.7%
59.3%
+162
-180
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
3.81
4.78
8.59
o8½+100
u8+100
o8-115
u8½-120
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Brandon Pfaadt
Pablo Lopez
41.0%
59.0%
+113
-125
+113
-123
+1½-185
-1½+164
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.36
5.31
9.67
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-110
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Tanner Gordon
JP Sears
38.3%
61.7%
+254
-287
+250
-272
+1½+116
-1½-125
+1½+120
-1½-132
4.19
5.43
9.62
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Brady Singer
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
44.5%
55.5%
+100
-120
+100
-120
+1½-185
-1½+160
-1½+150
+1½-178
4.38
4.95
9.33
o10-115
u10-105
o10-115
u10-105
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Yusei Kikuchi
Luis Castillo
47.5%
52.5%
+151
-167
+155
-165
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+130
4.67
4.92
9.59
o7½-120
u8-110
o7½-120
u7½+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Justin Verlander
52.0%
48.0%
-154
+139
-150
+136
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-123
4.41
4.19
8.60
o7½-120
u8-115
o7½-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Sep 11, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners
49.1%
50.9%
+135
-149
+145
-155
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-150
-1½+130
6
7
-0.53715-0.51371-0.67440
Colorado Rockies
San Diego Padres
38.3%
61.7%
+225
-250
+230
-245
+1½+110
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-130
0
2
-0.35820-0.35538-0.48251
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
44.4%
55.6%
+120
-132
+124
-134
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+158
2
3
-0.58717-0.57638-0.58695
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+103
-113
+105
-112
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4
6
-0.65676-0.65406-0.62323
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
35.4%
64.6%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3
9
-0.50878-0.50078-0.43626
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
47.9%
52.1%
+116
-128
+118
-125
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
0
5
-0.60139-0.60195-0.65137
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
50.0%
50.0%
+149
-165
+156
-157
+1½-150
-1½+138
+1½-142
-1½+130
0
6
-0.49774-0.49436-0.69305
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-122
+111
-122
+116
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-145
1
5
-0.76990-0.78255-0.64253
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
44.4%
55.6%
+110
-121
+108
-115
+1½-184
-1½+161
+1½-195
-1½+175
2
3
-0.62581-0.64124-0.58620
Colorado Rockies
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.0%
67.0%
+308
-352
+290
-321
+1½+145
-1½-162
+1½+140
-1½-155
0
9
-0.27363-0.28990-0.40048
St. Louis Cardinals
Seattle Mariners
47.7%
52.3%
+189
-210
+194
-210
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-105
2
4
-0.41264-0.40687-0.64758
Cincinnati Reds
San Diego Padres
42.9%
57.1%
+123
-136
+130
-137
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+165
2
1
-0.82640-0.84567-0.84690
Tampa Bay Rays
Chicago White Sox
47.4%
52.6%
-125
+113
-126
+117
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
5
6
-0.78086-0.79290-0.64253
Chicago Cubs
Atlanta Braves
39.9%
60.1%
+149
-165
+150
-158
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
2
-0.93624-0.92862-0.91784
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays
49.0%
51.0%
+138
-152
+139
-146
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
2
-0.89016-0.88312-0.71376
Detroit Tigers
New York Yankees
38.3%
61.7%
+147
-162
+150
-165
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+125
11
1
-0.92712-0.93869-0.95962
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks98-1 (0.889)0-0.57143 
Sportsbooks98-1 (0.889)0-0.56893 
DRatings99-0 (1.000)0-0.59739
-0.02596
-0.02845

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.