MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 29, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Charlie Morton
61.2%
38.8%

+115
-135

+1½-165
-1½+140
5.67
4.49
10.16

o10½-110
u10½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Eric Lauer
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
61.2%
38.8%
+113
-135

+1½-165
-1½+135

5.67
4.49
10.16
o10½-110
u10½-110

Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Tanner Gordon
Logan Allen
55.3%
44.7%
+193
-215
+205
-210
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-109
6.56
6.00
12.56
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Brandon Pfaadt
Casey Mize
46.2%
53.8%
+120
-132
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.05
4.45
8.50
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Boyle
Max Fried
46.5%
53.5%
+162
-180
+180
-173
+1½-125
-1½+108
+1½-115
-1½+115
4.50
4.87
9.37
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Tyler Glasnow
Nick Lodolo
56.9%
43.1%
-153
+143
-150
+139
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
4.81
4.09
8.90
o9-108
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Colin Rea
Quinn Priester
38.8%
61.2%
+103
-113
+100
-109
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+175
3.85
5.02
8.87
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Lucas Giolito
Pierson Ohl
56.4%
43.6%
-117
+106
-120
+100
-1½+135
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-165
5.41
4.73
10.14
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Erick Fedde
Seth Lugo
55.2%
44.8%
+111
-122
+111
-119
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+160
5.04
4.49
9.53
o9½-105
u9½-102
o9½-110
u9½-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jesus Luzardo
Jonathan Cannon
43.3%
56.7%
-185
+167
-195
+185
-1½-125
+1½+108
-1½-122
+1½+110
4.36
5.05
9.41
o9+100
u8½+105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Miami Marlins (51-70)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Sandy Alcantara
Sonny Gray
47.2%
52.8%
+149
-165
+150
-160
+1½-148
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
3.98
4.27
8.25
o7½-115
u8-118
o8+100
u8-120
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Michael Soroka
Jason Alexander
37.6%
62.4%
+123
-136
+125
-134
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.89
5.20
9.09
o8½-107
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Patrick Corbin
Yusei Kikuchi
41.5%
58.5%
+100
-110
+110
-120
+1½-197
-1½+172
+1½-180
-1½+170
4.77
5.66
10.43
o8½-120
u8½+105
o8½-115
u8½+105
New York Mets (60-60)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Sean Manaea
Ryan Bergert
38.7%
61.3%
-119
+108
-110
+108
-1½+140
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-160
3.65
4.83
8.48
o8-120
u8+100
o8-120
u8+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Bailey Falter
Justin Verlander
32.6%
67.4%
+133
-147
+135
-147
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
3.55
5.34
8.89
o8-105
u8-108
o8-110
u8-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Logan Evans
Luis Severino
40.9%
59.1%
-110
+100
-110
+100
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.38
5.33
9.71
o10½-110
u10½-102
o10½-110
u10½-105
Games for Jul 28, 2025
Games for Jul 30, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
42.5%
57.5%
-128
+116
-119
+115
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
1
-0.60139-0.61841-0.85560
Pittsburgh Pirates
San Francisco Giants
31.4%
68.6%
+117
-129
+118
-128
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+175
6
5
-0.79860-0.79924-1.15849
New York Mets
San Diego Padres
42.4%
57.6%
+115
-127
+113
-120
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
7
-0.60506-0.62096-0.55248
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-205
+185
-205
+190
-1½-135
+1½+117
-1½-125
+1½+120
4
6
-1.07005-1.08152-0.49937
Colorado Rockies
Cleveland Indians
55.3%
44.7%
+233
-262
+235
-265
+1½+120
-1½-138
+1½+120
-1½-135
8
6
-1.22676-1.23320-0.59305
Washington Nationals
Houston Astros
37.8%
62.2%
+214
-240
+220
-230
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+110
-1½-112
2
1
-1.16828-1.17257-0.97339
Miami Marlins
St. Louis Cardinals
44.7%
55.3%
+109
-119
+106
-113
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+180
1
7
-0.63156-0.64972-0.59171
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
55.4%
44.6%
-160
+145
-164
+150
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
10
7
-0.50878-0.49707-0.59137
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago White Sox
43.3%
56.7%
-211
+195
-220
+205
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+130
2
6
-1.09910-1.13038-0.56669
Boston Red Sox
Minnesota Twins
52.2%
47.8%
-102
-108
-103
-105
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-200
-1½+180
4
5
-0.67930-0.68844-0.73752
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
38.8%
61.2%
-106
-104
-110
+101
-1½+155
+1½-177
-1½+150
+1½-170
4
8
-0.69780-0.71924-0.49065
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds
56.2%
43.8%
-141
+128
-137
+127
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
5
2
-0.55942-0.56650-0.57689
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees
46.5%
53.5%
+113
-125
+114
-124
+1½-180
-1½+177
+1½-180
-1½+170
4
2
-0.78086-0.78145-0.76486
Arizona Diamondbacks
Detroit Tigers
44.7%
55.3%
+116
-128
+120
-126
+1½-175
-1½+174
+1½-175
-1½+165
1
5
-0.60139-0.59626-0.59164
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles
61.2%
38.8%
-108
-102
-107
+100
-1½+157
+1½-170

4
11
-0.70719-0.70991-0.94616
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
42.2%
57.8%
-117
+106
-118
+112
-1½+138
+1½-158
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
3
-0.64204-0.62672-0.86171
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.78237 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.79099 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.69932
0.08304
0.09167

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.