MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
49.6%
50.4%
+128
-139
+135
-140
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+140
7
6
-0.84416-0.86325-0.70023
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
51.8%
48.2%
+119
-129
+124
-125
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
11
-0.59365-0.58976-0.72890
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Yankees
53.9%
46.1%
+133
-145
+134
-139
+1½-150
-1½+132
+1½-145
-1½+140
4
2
-0.86669-0.85906-0.61895
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.9%
58.1%
+121
-132
+124
-129
+1½-161
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
2
4
-0.58515-0.58361-0.54368
New York Yankees
Los Angeles Dodgers
44.0%
56.0%
+104
-114
+110
-110
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+175
3
6
-0.65243-0.64663-0.57994
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.9%
62.1%
+131
-143
+140
-144
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+131
5
10
-0.55137-0.53416-0.47654
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
55.1%
44.9%
-126
+116
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
5
2
-0.60453-0.60195-0.59600
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
55.1%
44.9%
-118
+108
-115
+110
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-146
8
6
-0.63563-0.63673-0.59600
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
59.7%
40.3%
-126
+116
-123
+120
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
6
12
-0.79039-0.79454-0.90887
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
56.6%
43.4%
-128
+118
-127
+120
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-150
10
2
-0.59724-0.59470-0.56928
New York Yankees
Cleveland Indians
52.8%
47.2%
-104
-106
-105
-102

-1½+160
+1½-175
5
7
-0.68852-0.70029-0.75080
Los Angeles Dodgers
New York Mets
56.4%
43.6%
-109
-101
-105
+102
-1½+153
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-170
8
0
-0.67472-0.67627-0.57298
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
33.8%
66.2%
+147
-160
+151
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-154
-1½+135
3
6
-0.50556-0.49921-0.41291
Cleveland Indians
New York Yankees
38.7%
61.3%
+148
-162
+151
-160
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-150
-1½+135
2
5
-0.50206-0.49921-0.48946
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
37.9%
62.1%
+138
-150
+140
-148
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-160
-1½+147
7
3
-0.88707-0.88882-0.97003
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.4%
65.6%
+142
-155
+142
-147
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
0
9
-0.51869-0.52728-0.42106
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.