MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 4, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jonathan Cannon
Jack Flaherty
57.8%
42.2%
+202
-226
+212
-230
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
4.96
4.14
9.10
o7-110
u7-107
o7-115
u7+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Erick Fedde
Walker Buehler
41.7%
58.3%
+118
-130
+126
-135
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.40
5.26
9.66
o9-104
u9-105
o9-105
u9-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Randy Vasquez
Shota Imanaga
55.5%
44.5%
+154
-170
+150
-163

+1½-155
-1½+135
4.42
3.84
8.26

o6½-125
u6½+105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Kevin Gausman
Tylor Megill
51.1%
48.9%
+113
-125
+123
-125
+1½-186
-1½+166
+1½-175
-1½+165
4.70
4.59
9.29
o7½+100
u7½-113
o7½-105
u8-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Osvaldo Bido
Ryan Feltner
53.9%
46.1%
-120
+109
-116
+108
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-150
5.38
4.98
10.36
o9½+100
u9½-118
o9½-110
u9½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Max Fried
Mitch Keller
63.1%
36.9%
-156
+141
-155
+140
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
5.45
4.07
9.52
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Bryce Miller
Justin Verlander
39.2%
60.8%
+127
-140
+132
-141
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.85
4.98
8.83
o7½-112
u8-115
o7½-110
u7½+100
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Brandon Pfaadt
Jake Irvin
41.1%
58.9%
-137
+124
-133
+125
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-140
4.05
4.98
9.03
o8½-102
u8½-115
o8-115
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Jesus Luzardo
56.2%
43.8%
-138
+127
-136
+126
-1½+115
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-140
4.80
4.14
8.94
o8-114
u8½-120
o8-110
u8-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Max Meyer
Spencer Schwellenbach
39.8%
60.2%
+213
-230
+204
-220
+1½-108
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
3.73
4.81
8.54
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-110
u8-120
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Dean Kremer
Seth Lugo
42.0%
58.0%
-104
-106
+108
-112
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
4.43
5.26
9.69
o8½+100
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Zack Littell
Tyler Mahle
59.9%
40.1%
+111
-122
+115
-122
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.55
4.51
10.06
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Nick Martinez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
43.4%
56.6%




4.05
4.74
8.79


Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Gavin Williams
Jose Soriano
44.3%
55.7%
-110
+100
-112
+105
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-155
4.45
5.06
9.51
o7½-110
u8-125
o7½-115
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Apr 3, 2025
Games for Apr 5, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Angels
St. Louis Cardinals
48.2%
51.8%
+131
-143
+131
-142
+1½-165
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+145
5
12
-0.55137-0.55259-0.65778
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
41.4%
58.6%
+109
-118
+108
-115
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
3
-0.63337-0.64124-0.53481
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
32.6%
67.4%
-110
+100
-110
+101
-1½+158
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-170
4
2
-0.67015-0.66771-1.12083
Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds
38.0%
62.0%
+126
-137
+126
-135
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+165
1
0
-0.83570-0.83218-0.96714
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.7%
60.3%
+110
-120
+120
-122
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+165
1
3
-0.62755-0.60274-0.50657
Chicago Cubs
Oakland Athletics
39.8%
60.2%
-134
+123
-125
+118
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
7
4
-0.57834-0.60195-0.92032
Cleveland Indians
San Diego Padres
41.8%
58.2%
+154
-168
+160
-168
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
0
7
-0.48737-0.47844-0.54180
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
41.5%
58.5%
+157
-172
+155
-170
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
4
1
-0.96511-0.95763-0.87962
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
43.8%
56.2%
-133
+122
-129
+125
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+125
+1½-145
3
1
-0.58173-0.58164-0.82650
Los Angeles Angels
St. Louis Cardinals
48.2%
51.8%
+123
-134
+125
-129
+1½-169
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
9
7
-0.82287-0.81867-0.72981
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
37.3%
62.7%
+111
-121
+111
-120
+1½-183
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
0
5
-0.62358-0.62534-0.46705
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
40.4%
59.6%
-153
+140
-150
+140
-1½+110
+1½-124
-1½+110
+1½-125
8
3
-0.52415-0.52736-0.90547
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
39.7%
60.3%
+141
-154
+142
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
3
5
-0.52140-0.52396-0.50516
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
36.7%
63.3%
-122
+112
-115
+117
-1½+135
+1½-150

7
5
-0.61967-0.62142-1.00223
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
32.6%
67.4%
+145
-158
+150
-157
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
0
7
-0.51073-0.50367-0.39454
Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds
38.0%
62.0%
-148
+136
-145
+133
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
1
0
-0.53652-0.54531-0.96714
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.65155 
Sportsbooks53-2 (0.600)0-0.65166 
DRatings55-0 (1.000)0-0.52957
0.12198
0.12209

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.