MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
41.8%
58.2%
-102
-106
-110
+104
-1½+163
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
3
7
-0.68377-0.72685-0.54044
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
45.3%
54.7%
+131
-143
+137
-138
+1½-156
-1½+136
+1½-155
-1½+140
0
2
-0.55137-0.54678-0.60340
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
62.6%
37.4%
-148
+136
-147
+137
-1½+109
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-126
3
1
-0.53652-0.53589-0.46900
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
-121
+111
-115
+110
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
5
4
-0.62358-0.63673-0.68508
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
54.8%
45.2%
+118
-128
+123
-127
+1½-174
-1½+160
+1½-172
-1½+160
8
0
-0.79924-0.80986-0.60195
New York Yankees
Kansas City Royals
55.2%
44.8%
-118
+108
-112
+105
-1½+145
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
2
-0.63563-0.65406-0.59379
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
+106
-116
+107
-115
+1½-205
-1½+175

1
4
-0.64392-0.64352-0.63923
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
50.4%
49.6%
-111
+101
-110
+100
-1½+155
+1½-171

0
3
-0.72144-0.71668-0.70128
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
54.8%
45.2%
+132
-144
+132
-137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+143
5
6
-0.54834-0.55713-0.79361
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
52.0%
48.0%
-109
-101
-102
-105
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-185
2
7
-0.71192-0.68605-0.73497
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
36.4%
63.6%
+137
-149
+135
-143
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
2
-0.88303-0.86833-1.01013
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
41.8%
58.2%
-123
+113
-120
+115
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
3
0
-0.61582-0.61667-0.87345
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
42.2%
57.8%
+133
-145
+138
-142
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+150
10
2
-0.86669-0.87402-0.86308
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
46.4%
53.6%
+126
-137
+132
-135
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-165
-1½+150
6
7
-0.56840-0.55979-0.62370
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
36.0%
64.0%
+121
-132
+126
-131
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-175
-1½+163
5
7
-0.58515-0.57675-0.44701
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
31.7%
68.3%
+184
-203
+180
-189
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+112
5
6
-0.42236-0.43573-0.38097
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.