MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Trey Yesavage
Joe Ryan
53.6%
46.4%
-108
-102
-103
-105
-1½+154
+1½-175

5.34
4.97
10.31
o8-115
u8-103
o8-105
u8-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chase Burns
Braxton Ashcraft
57.6%
42.4%
+104
-115
+108
-115
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
5.12
4.32
9.44
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Chad Patrick
Zack Littell
54.1%
45.9%
-128
+117
-130
+122
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.81
4.39
9.20
o8½-103
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Cody Bolton
Ranger Suarez
50.0%
50.0%
+139
-154
+145
-155
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+122
4.68
4.69
9.37
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Trey Gibson
Max Fried
32.4%
67.6%
+200
-220
+190
-210
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½+100
4.20
6.02
10.22
o9-105
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Jesus Luzardo
Chris Paddack
52.6%
47.4%
-137
+125
-140
+135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
4.67
4.40
9.07
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Tyler Mahle
Steven Matz
46.9%
53.1%
+112
-123
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.84
4.16
8.00
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8-115
u8+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Justin Wrobleski
Dustin May
58.8%
41.2%
-145
+131
-140
+140
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-130
5.14
4.21
9.35
o9-122
u9½-115
o9-110
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Merrill Kelly
Matthew Boyd
43.5%
56.5%
+140
-155
+140
-150
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
4.81
5.50
10.31
o12+103
u11½+100
o12+100
u12-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Spencer Strider
Kyle Freeland
53.8%
46.2%
-158
+143
-155
+146
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
5.07
4.67
9.74
o10½-110
u10½-106
o10½-110
u10½-105
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Parker Messick
Aaron Civale
38.9%
61.1%
-118
+107
-115
+108
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.87
5.03
8.90
o9-120
u9+100
o9-120
u9+110
New York Mets (60-60)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Clay Holmes
Jack Kochanowicz
47.7%
52.3%
-130
+119
-120
+120
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.71
4.94
9.65
o9-105
u8½+108
o9-115
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Kris Bubic
Luis Castillo
42.6%
57.4%
+110
-121
+110
-120
+1½-200
-1½+174
+1½-180
-1½+175
4.32
5.10
9.42
o8+100
u8-115
o8-105
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Anthony Kay
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
46.4%
53.6%
+155
-188
+165
-175
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+125
4.27
4.65
8.92
o8½+100
u8½-120
o8-120
u8½-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Leiter
Tyler Holton
45.3%
54.7%
+104
-115
+105
-112

+1½-210
-1½+185
4.69
5.19
9.88
o8-115
u8½-115
o8-115
u8-105
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago White Sox
San Diego Padres
46.4%
53.6%
+122
-135
+130
-139
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
2
-0.82212-0.84915-0.76778
Cleveland Indians
Oakland Athletics
40.7%
59.3%
-111
+101
-105
+103

-1½+140
+1½-155
8
5
-0.66563-0.67383-0.89914
New York Mets
Los Angeles Angels
47.7%
52.3%
+102
-112
-101
+105
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-145
4
3
-0.72619-0.67842-0.73940
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
53.8%
46.2%
-167
+151
-160
+165
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+110
8
6
-0.49285-0.47823-0.61923
Los Angeles Dodgers
St. Louis Cardinals
58.8%
41.2%
-168
+152
-165
+152
-1½+100
+1½-116
-1½+100
+1½-110
2
7
-0.94768-0.94353-0.88795
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.9%
41.1%
+118
-130
+118
-127
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
9
-0.59419-0.59878-0.88858
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
55.8%
44.2%
-105
-105
-103
-101


7
3
-0.69315-0.68830-0.58306
San Francisco Giants
Tampa Bay Rays
46.9%
53.1%
+118
-130
+125
-130
+1½-185
-1½+163
+1½-170
-1½+165
0
3
-0.59419-0.58016-0.63207
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
50.0%
50.0%
+105
-116
+110
-115
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
1
3
-0.64623-0.63673-0.69283
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
51.7%
48.3%
-111
+101
-110
+110
-1½+150
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-155
6
5
-0.66563-0.64663-0.65952
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
32.4%
67.6%
+164
-182
+165
-170
+1½-123
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+118
2
7
-0.46180-0.46959-0.39190
Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
54.1%
45.9%
-150
+137
-146
+139
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
6
1
-0.53253-0.53357-0.61350
Texas Rangers
Detroit Tigers
42.1%
57.9%
-102
-108
+105
-104

+1½-205
-1½+190
5
4
-0.70719-0.71545-0.86432
Arizona Diamondbacks
Chicago Cubs
48.2%
51.8%
+130
-140
+131
-140
+1½-175
-1½+162
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
6
-0.55696-0.55511-0.65875
Toronto Blue Jays
Minnesota Twins
53.6%
46.4%
-129
+117
-128
+120
-1½+130
+1½-146
-1½+128
+1½-145
1
7
-0.79860-0.80428-0.76688
San Francisco Giants
Philadelphia Phillies
51.0%
49.0%
+134
-141
+135
-145
+1½-170
-1½+157

5
6
-0.54837-0.54173-0.71396
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.66707 
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.67066 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.68468
-0.01761
-0.01402

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.