MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 29, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Eric Lauer
Brandon Young
61.2%
38.8%
-121
+110
-124
+115
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+122
+1½-140
5.67
4.49
10.16
o10-110
u10-104
o10-115
u10-105
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Tanner Gordon
Logan Allen
55.3%
44.7%
+175
-195
+190
-187
+1½-115
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+108
6.37
5.82
12.19
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Brandon Pfaadt
Casey Mize
46.2%
53.8%
+125
-138
+129
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.10
4.51
8.61
o8½-116
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Joe Boyle
Max Fried
46.5%
53.5%
+167
-185
+167
-184
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
4.59
4.96
9.55
o8½-115
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Tyler Glasnow
Nick Lodolo
56.9%
43.1%
-150
+136
-149
+137
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+100
+1½-120
4.81
4.09
8.90
o9-110
u9-110
o9+100
u9-105
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Colin Rea
Quinn Priester
38.8%
61.2%
+111
-122
+112
-120
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.85
5.02
8.87
o8-116
u8+100
o8-120
u8+100
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Lucas Giolito
Pierson Ohl
56.4%
43.6%
-116
+105
-115
+107
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
5.42
4.75
10.17
o9-105
u8½+105
o9+100
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Erick Fedde
Seth Lugo
55.2%
44.8%
+112
-123
+112
-122
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
5.04
4.49
9.53
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9½-105
u9½-110
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Jesus Luzardo
Jonathan Cannon
43.3%
56.7%
-168
+152
-165
+156
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-107
+1½-105
4.36
5.05
9.41
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9+100
Miami Marlins (51-70)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Sandy Alcantara
Sonny Gray
47.2%
52.8%
+145
-160
+146
-160
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
3.99
4.29
8.28
o7½-115
u7½-104
o7½-115
u8-120
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Michael Soroka
Jason Alexander
37.6%
62.4%
+119
-131
+123
-132
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
3.89
5.20
9.09
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8½-105
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Patrick Corbin
Yusei Kikuchi
41.5%
58.5%
+113
-125
+112
-121
+1½-183
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.77
5.66
10.43
o9-105
u9-113
o8½-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Sean Manaea
Ryan Bergert
38.7%
61.3%
-121
+110
-124
+114
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
3.65
4.84
8.49
o8-120
u8+100
o8½+100
u8+100
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Bailey Falter
Justin Verlander
32.6%
67.4%
+147
-163
+152
-155
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-142
-1½+135
3.52
5.32
8.84
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Logan Evans
Luis Severino
40.9%
59.1%
-112
+102
-110
+101
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.38
5.33
9.71
o10½-110
u10½-105
o10½-105
u10½-105
Games for Jul 28, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
61.2%
38.8%
+112
-123
+110
-118
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+160
10.18
o10+102
u10-122
o10+100
u10-120
3rd
BOT
1
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
-171
+154
-173
+160
-1½+100
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-105
1
4
-0.95657-0.97366-0.59046
Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers
58.0%
42.0%
+109
-120
+110
-117
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+180
1
8
-0.62978-0.63297-0.86836
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
53.8%
46.2%
-105
-105
-108
-101
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+140
+1½-155
3
4
-0.69315-0.70966-0.77319
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
53.5%
46.5%
+111
-122
+115
-123
+1½-180
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+160
9
2
-0.76990-0.78202-0.62470
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
38.7%
61.3%
-173
+156
-170
+156
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-115
5
4
-0.48022-0.48268-0.94972
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
+152
-168
+150
-160
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
7
2
-0.94768-0.93156-0.77914
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+122
-135
+126
-136
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+158
7
1
-0.82212-0.83393-0.83000
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
40.0%
60.0%
+120
-132
+116
-126
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+160
1
4
-0.58717-0.60453-0.51103
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
35.4%
64.6%
+132
-146
+135
-150
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
3
-0.54595-0.53604-0.43696
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
-129
+117
-128
+120
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
3
4
-0.79860-0.80428-0.55184
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
+183
-204
+185
-200
+1½-105
-1½-114
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
5
-0.42303-0.42286-0.75018
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
-105
-105
-105
-105
+1½-205
-1½+177
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
2
-0.69315-0.69315-0.71282
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
54.9%
45.1%
+104
-115
+100
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+185
4
10
-0.65049-0.67015-0.79651
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.1%
46.9%
+133
-147
+135
-150
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
6
-0.54299-0.53604-0.75630
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
-135
+123
-126
+118
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
7
2
-0.57695-0.60037-0.80759
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
42.2%
57.8%
-102
-108
-101
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
1
-0.70719-0.70275-0.86230
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.78237 
Sportsbooks157-8 (0.467)0-0.79099 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.69932
0.08304
0.09167

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.