Upcoming Games for December 25, 2024
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies | 46.4% 53.6% | +151 -165 +160 -173 | +1½-145 -1½+130 +1½-140 -1½+129 | 6 2 | -0.94110-0.97366 | -0.76778 | |
| Detroit Tigers Cleveland Indians | 43.3% 56.7% | +123 -129 +122 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-185 -1½+172 | 0 7 | -0.58559-0.58609 | -0.56671 | |
| New York Mets Milwaukee Brewers | 42.9% 57.1% | +109 -119 +115 -120 | +1½-192 -1½+170 +1½-190 -1½+180 | 4 2 | -0.75877-0.77596 | -0.84518 | |
| Atlanta Braves San Diego Padres | 53.2% 46.8% | +106 -116 +110 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+185 +1½-200 -1½+186 | 4 5 | -0.64392-0.63673 | -0.75899 | |
| New York Mets Milwaukee Brewers | 42.9% 57.1% | +121 -132 +120 -128 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 3 5 | -0.58515-0.59314 | -0.56112 | |
| Kansas City Royals Baltimore Orioles | 51.2% 48.8% | +129 -140 +138 -142 | +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-170 -1½+155 | 2 1 | -0.84838-0.87402 | -0.66865 | |
| Detroit Tigers Houston Astros | 34.3% 65.7% | +161 -176 +162 -165 | +1½-138 -1½+120 +1½-140 -1½+128 | 5 2 | -0.97995-0.96748 | -1.07011 | |
| Atlanta Braves San Diego Padres | 47.9% 52.1% | +172 -188 +175 -182 | +1½-126 -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 0 4 | -0.44674-0.44690 | -0.65170 | |
| New York Mets Milwaukee Brewers | 47.2% 52.8% | +130 -142 +134 -141 | +1½-171 -1½+151 +1½-173 -1½+155 | 8 4 | -0.85426-0.86249 | -0.75059 | |
| Kansas City Royals Baltimore Orioles | 47.6% 52.4% | +129 -140 +133 -140 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-175 -1½+165 | 1 0 | -0.84838-0.85830 | -0.74230 | |
| Detroit Tigers Houston Astros | 33.1% 66.9% | +124 -135 +126 -135 | +1½-185 -1½+167 +1½-190 -1½+175 | 3 1 | -0.82716-0.83218 | -1.10612 | |
| New York Mets Atlanta Braves | 44.1% 55.9% | +266 -305 +250 -280 | +1½+152 -1½-172 +1½+150 -1½-143 | 0 3 | -0.30955-0.32768 | -0.58239 | |
| New York Mets Atlanta Braves | 44.1% 55.9% | +128 -139 +130 -138 | +1½-165 -1½+150 +1½-165 -1½+155 | 8 7 | -0.84416-0.84742 | -0.81771 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates New York Yankees | 35.9% 64.1% | +165 -180 +160 -170 | +1½-132 -1½+112 +1½-135 -1½+125 | 4 6 | -0.46185-0.47678 | -0.44432 | |
| Kansas City Royals Atlanta Braves | 38.5% 61.5% | +186 -205 +181 -200 | +1½-110 -1½-110 +1½-120 -1½+102 | 4 2 | -1.07236-1.05547 | -0.95558 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Chicago Cubs | 51.6% 48.4% | -112 +102 -107 +101 | -1½+147 +1½-167 -1½+155 +1½-170 | 3 0 | -0.66116-0.67421 | -0.66231 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| DRatings | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.