MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 30, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Jose Berrios
Dean Kremer
61.2%
38.8%
-103
-107
-102
-103
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-185
-1½+175
5.76
4.58
10.34
o10-105
u9½+107
o10+100
u9½+105
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Brayan Bello
Zebby Matthews
52.2%
47.8%




5.19
4.96
10.15


Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Ryne Nelson
Chris Paddack
45.5%
54.5%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
4.03
4.50
8.53
o9+107
u8½+100
o9+100
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Shota Imanaga
Freddy Peralta
42.9%
57.1%
+104
-115
+110
-115
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
4.34
5.08
9.42
o7½-105
u7½-113
o7½-105
u7½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Houston Astros (70-50)
MacKenzie Gore
Ryan Gusto
37.6%
62.4%




3.89
5.20
9.09


Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Joey Wentz
Angel Zerpa
55.4%
44.6%




4.85
4.28
9.13


Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Taijuan Walker
Adrian Houser
43.3%
56.7%
-139
+126
-137
+130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-130
4.36
5.05
9.41
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Mike Burrows
Logan Webb
34.1%
65.9%
+180
-200
+180
-200
+1½-120
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+110
3.69
5.34
9.03
o7½+105
u7½-120
o7½-105
u7½-115
New York Mets (60-60)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Clay Holmes
Yu Darvish
38.7%
61.3%
-110
+102
-112
+110
-1½+139
+1½-159
-1½+140
+1½-160
3.41
4.59
8.00
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kyle Freeland
Kolby Allard
54.9%
45.1%
+171
-190
+167
-184
+1½-133
-1½+113
+1½-134
-1½+115
6.52
6.01
12.53
o8-107
u8-113
o8-105
u8-115
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Zack Littell
Will Warren
46.5%
53.5%
+119
-131
+123
-132
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+150
4.45
4.82
9.27
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u9-115
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Shohei Ohtani
Nick Martinez
56.2%
43.8%
-165
+149
-170
+160
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-103
4.82
4.17
8.99
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Cal Quantrill
Miles Mikolas
44.7%
55.3%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.03
4.59
8.62
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½+100
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Nathan Eovaldi
Jose Soriano
39.3%
60.7%
-130
+118
-125
+116
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.84
5.97
10.81
o8-115
u8-103
o8-115
u8½-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Bryan Woo
Jeffrey Springs
40.9%
59.1%
-147
+133
-140
+133
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
4.38
5.33
9.71
o9½-115
u9½-105
o9½-115
u9½-105
Games for Jul 29, 2025
Games for Jul 31, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
-171
+154
-173
+160
-1½+100
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-105
1
4
-0.95657-0.97366-0.59046
Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers
58.0%
42.0%
+109
-120
+110
-117
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+180
1
8
-0.62978-0.63297-0.86836
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
53.8%
46.2%
-105
-105
-108
-101
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+140
+1½-155
3
4
-0.69315-0.70966-0.77319
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
53.5%
46.5%
+111
-122
+115
-123
+1½-180
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+160
9
2
-0.76990-0.78202-0.62470
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
38.7%
61.3%
-173
+156
-170
+156
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-115
5
4
-0.48022-0.48268-0.94972
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
+152
-168
+150
-160
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
7
2
-0.94768-0.93156-0.77914
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+122
-135
+126
-136
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+158
7
1
-0.82212-0.83393-0.83000
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
40.0%
60.0%
+120
-132
+116
-126
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+160
1
4
-0.58717-0.60453-0.51103
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
35.4%
64.6%
+132
-146
+135
-150
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
3
-0.54595-0.53604-0.43696
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
-129
+117
-128
+120
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
3
4
-0.79860-0.80428-0.55184
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
+183
-204
+185
-200
+1½-105
-1½-114
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
5
-0.42303-0.42286-0.75018
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
-105
-105
-105
-105
+1½-205
-1½+177
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
2
-0.69315-0.69315-0.71282
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
54.9%
45.1%
+104
-115
+100
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+185
4
10
-0.65049-0.67015-0.79651
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.1%
46.9%
+133
-147
+135
-150
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
6
-0.54299-0.53604-0.75630
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
-135
+123
-126
+118
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
7
2
-0.57695-0.60037-0.80759
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
42.2%
57.8%
-102
-108
-101
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
1
-0.70719-0.70275-0.86230
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1612-4 (0.750)0-0.63751 
Sportsbooks1612-4 (0.750)0-0.63880 
DRatings169-7 (0.562)0-0.69437
-0.05686
-0.05557

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.