MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 4, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Brandon Pfaadt
Jake Irvin
41.1%
58.9%
-154
+139
-150
+142
-1½+106
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
3.94
4.88
8.82
o8½-104
u8½-115
o8-120
u8½-115
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Jesus Luzardo
56.2%
43.8%
-127
+115
-128
+121
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+127
+1½-140
4.81
4.16
8.97
o8-105
u8-110
o8-105
u8-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Max Meyer
Spencer Schwellenbach
39.8%
60.2%
+206
-230
+210
-235
+1½-106
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
3.71
4.78
8.49
o7½-104
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Dean Kremer
Seth Lugo
42.0%
58.0%
-109
-101
-110
+100


4.24
5.08
9.32
o7½-110
u8-122
o7½-115
u8-120
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Zack Littell
Tyler Mahle
59.9%
40.1%
+112
-123
+116
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
5.57
4.53
10.10
o8½-108
u8½-110
o8-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Nick Martinez
Tyler Alexander
43.4%
56.6%
+113
-125
+114
-123
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+175
4.05
4.74
8.79
o8½+102
u8+100
o8½+100
u8½-120
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Gavin Williams
Jose Soriano
44.3%
55.7%
-111
+101
-110
+102
-1½+148
+1½-168
-1½+148
+1½-160
4.44
5.05
9.49
o8+100
u7½+105
o8-105
u8-115
Games for Apr 3, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
53.9%
46.1%
-108
-102
-105
+106
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+150
+1½-155
10.35
o9-105
u9-115
o9-110
u9-105
8th
TOP
3
2
New York Yankees (69-52)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
63.1%
36.9%
-175
+158
-160
+155
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
+1½-115
9.52
o7½-116
u8-120
o7½-115
u7½+100
6th
BOT
7
1
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
39.2%
60.8%
+136
-150
+145
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-140
-1½+145
8.86
o8+100
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
5th
TOP
5
5

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
39.7%
60.3%
+141
-154
+142
-150
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
3
5
-0.52140-0.52396-0.50516
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
36.7%
63.3%
-122
+112
-115
+117
-1½+135
+1½-150

7
5
-0.61967-0.62142-1.00223
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
32.6%
67.4%
+145
-158
+150
-157
+1½-144
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
0
7
-0.51073-0.50367-0.39454
Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds
38.0%
62.0%
-148
+136
-145
+133
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
1
0
-0.53652-0.54531-0.96714
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
48.7%
51.3%
-148
+136
-150
+140
-1½+120
+1½-136
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
4
-0.87895-0.89199-0.66804
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.2%
60.8%
+195
-212
+192
-210
+1½+100
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-115
1
6
-0.40471-0.40916-0.49686
Chicago Cubs
Oakland Athletics
39.8%
60.2%
-152
+139
-144
+170
-1½+110
+1½-125

18
3
-0.52690-0.48709-0.92032
Cleveland Indians
San Diego Padres
39.1%
60.9%
+124
-133
+120
-126
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
7
-0.57778-0.59626-0.49651
Detroit Tigers
Seattle Mariners
43.0%
57.0%
+107
-117
+106
-115
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+190
9
6
-0.74957-0.74282-0.84392
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
45.4%
54.6%
+109
-119
+115
-120
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-185
-1½+170
7
2
-0.75877-0.77596-0.78931
Los Angeles Angels
St. Louis Cardinals
48.2%
51.8%
+142
-155
+145
-155
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+135
5
4
-0.90461-0.91198-0.72981
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
39.3%
60.7%
+148
-162
+155
-163
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
2
5
-0.50206-0.49027-0.49908
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
32.6%
67.4%
+158
-173
+160
-175
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
6
-0.47726-0.47276-0.39454
Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds
38.0%
62.0%
-124
+114
-120
+115
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
14
-0.78145-0.77596-0.47831
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
51.3%
48.7%
-185
+169
-182
+168
-1½-115
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+100
10
4
-0.45279-0.45626-0.66804
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
45.4%
54.6%
+270
-300
+280
-288
+1½+130
-1½-144
+1½+130
-1½-135
1
6
-0.30775-0.30346-0.60439
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks66-0 (1.000)0-0.55982 
Sportsbooks66-0 (1.000)0-0.55759 
DRatings63-3 (0.500)0-0.65375
-0.09393
-0.09616

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.