MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Trey Yesavage
Joe Ryan
53.6%
46.4%
-107
-103
-104
-105


5.34
4.97
10.31
o8-115
u8-104
o8-110
u8-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Chase Burns
Braxton Ashcraft
57.6%
42.4%
+103
-113
+105
-114
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
5.12
4.32
9.44
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-105
u7½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Chad Patrick
Zack Littell
54.1%
45.9%
-131
+119
-134
+125
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.81
4.39
9.20
o8½-107
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Cody Bolton
Ranger Suarez
50.0%
50.0%
+139
-154
+150
-155
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+130
4.68
4.69
9.37
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Trey Gibson
Max Fried
32.4%
67.6%
+197
-220
+200
-210
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½+100
4.20
6.02
10.22
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Jesus Luzardo
Chris Paddack
52.6%
47.4%
-138
+125
-140
+130
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-135
4.67
4.40
9.07
o8-115
u8-103
o8-110
u8-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Tyler Mahle
Steven Matz
46.9%
53.1%
+112
-123
+110
-115
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.84
4.16
8.00
o8-118
u8½-115
o8-110
u8+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Justin Wrobleski
Dustin May
58.8%
41.2%
-143
+130
-140
+135
-1½+110
+1½-128
-1½+115
+1½-125
5.14
4.21
9.35
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9-115
u9½-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Merrill Kelly
Matthew Boyd
43.5%
56.5%
+137
-151
+145
-150
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
4.81
5.50
10.31
o12-103
u11½-105
o12+100
u12-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Spencer Strider
Kyle Freeland
53.8%
46.2%
-160
+145
-154
+145
-1½-112
+1½-105
-1½-104
+1½-110
5.07
4.67
9.74
o10½-107
u10½-110
o10½+105
u10½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Parker Messick
Aaron Civale
38.9%
61.1%
-115
+104
-114
+108
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.87
5.03
8.90
o9-120
u9½-115
o9-120
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Clay Holmes
Jack Kochanowicz
47.7%
52.3%
-130
+118
-120
+115
-1½+125
+1½-142
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.71
4.94
9.65
o9-105
u9-113
o9-105
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Kris Bubic
Luis Castillo
42.6%
57.4%
+107
-118
+110
-118
+1½-193
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+175
4.32
5.10
9.42
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Anthony Kay
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
46.4%
53.6%
+159
-176
+165
-179
+1½-131
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
4.27
4.65
8.92
o8½+100
u8½-117
o8-120
u8½-110
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Leiter
Tyler Holton
45.3%
54.7%
+105
-116
+105
-112
+1½-205
-1½+177
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.69
5.19
9.88
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Games for May 2, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
34.9%
65.1%
+230
-255
+221
-225
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½+100
3
2
-1.21503-1.17009-1.05383
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.4%
54.6%
-101
-109
+115
-106
+1½-198
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+180
1
8
-0.67472-0.64392-0.60580
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
60.1%
39.9%
-112
+102
-109
+106
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-160
0
3
-0.72619-0.72965-0.91987
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Indians
54.8%
45.2%
-101
-109
+105
-113
+1½-228
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+195
1
3
-0.67472-0.65204-0.79465
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.1%
53.9%
-130
+119
-130
+121
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+122
+1½-132
5
3
-0.59214-0.58810-0.77345
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
42.1%
57.9%
-112
+102
-110
+105
-1½+145
+1½-161
-1½+142
+1½-145
2
3
-0.72619-0.72940-0.54569
Miami Marlins
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.2%
66.8%
+235
-252
+245
-265
+1½+115
-1½-124
+1½+115
-1½-120
2
1
-1.22326-1.25411-1.10292
Kansas City Royals
Oakland Athletics
36.6%
63.4%
-106
-104
-107
+100

-1½+145
+1½-157
4
1
-0.68852-0.67666-1.00622
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres
38.3%
61.7%
-113
+103
-114
+111
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-155
8
3
-0.65676-0.63639-0.95990
New York Yankees
Texas Rangers
51.7%
48.3%
-115
+104
-112
+109
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+163
+1½-165
3
2
-0.65049-0.64483-0.65884
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
46.1%
53.9%
-122
+111
-118
+113
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+145
+1½-150
7
1
-0.62187-0.62452-0.77345
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
-125
+113
-124
+118
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-145
2
5
-0.78086-0.79153-0.54385
Arizona Diamondbacks
Milwaukee Brewers
35.6%
64.4%
+119
-131
+119
-115
+1½-180
-1½+157

2
13
-0.59066-0.61717-0.44015
Detroit Tigers
Atlanta Braves
35.9%
64.1%
+102
-112
+109
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+170
2
5
-0.66116-0.63337-0.44530
Washington Nationals
New York Mets
43.4%
56.6%
+153
-169
+161
-172
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+125
0
8
-0.48805-0.47369-0.56951
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.4%
54.6%
-102
-108
+101
-108
+1½-220
-1½+186
+1½-220
-1½+190
0
3
-0.67930-0.67201-0.60580
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.66707 
Sportsbooks158-7 (0.533)0-0.67066 
DRatings158-7 (0.533)0-0.68468
-0.01761
-0.01402

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.