MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Ryan Pepiot
Marcus Stroman
46.5%
53.5%
+104
-115
+103
-110
+1½-197
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.08
4.45
8.53
o8½-113
u8½-105
o8½-115
u9-105
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Carlos Carrasco
Andrew Abbott
49.1%
50.9%
+136
-150
+145
-147
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
4.37
4.46
8.83
o9½+100
u9½-112
o9½+100
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Kumar Rocker
George Kirby
41.5%
58.5%
+142
-153
+137
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+140
4.79
5.69
10.48
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Games for Jul 30, 2025
Games for Aug 1, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
39.3%
60.7%
-117
+106
-121
+115
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-150
10.99
o8-115
u8-105
o8-105
u8½-115
8th
TOP
2
1
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
40.9%
59.1%
-141
+128
-138
+131
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
9.71
o9½-117
u10-115
o9½-105
u9½-105
6th
TOP
1
4

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
53.5%
46.5%
+111
-122
+115
-123
+1½-180
-1½+159
+1½-175
-1½+160
9
2
-0.76990-0.78202-0.62470
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
38.7%
61.3%
-173
+156
-170
+156
-1½-110
+1½-109
-1½-105
+1½-115
5
4
-0.48022-0.48268-0.94972
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
+152
-168
+150
-160
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-140
-1½+120
7
2
-0.94768-0.93156-0.77914
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+122
-135
+126
-136
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+158
7
1
-0.82212-0.83393-0.83000
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
40.0%
60.0%
+120
-132
+116
-126
+1½-173
-1½+155
+1½-180
-1½+160
1
4
-0.58717-0.60453-0.51103
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
35.4%
64.6%
+132
-146
+135
-150
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
3
-0.54595-0.53604-0.43696
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
-129
+117
-128
+120
-1½+128
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
3
4
-0.79860-0.80428-0.55184
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
+183
-204
+185
-200
+1½-105
-1½-114
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
5
-0.42303-0.42286-0.75018
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
-105
-105
-105
-105
+1½-205
-1½+177
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
2
-0.69315-0.69315-0.71282
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
54.9%
45.1%
+104
-115
+100
-110
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+185
4
10
-0.65049-0.67015-0.79651
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.1%
46.9%
+133
-147
+135
-150
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+145
0
6
-0.54299-0.53604-0.75630
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
-135
+123
-126
+118
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
7
2
-0.57695-0.60037-0.80759
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
42.2%
57.8%
-102
-108
-101
-105
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+195
2
1
-0.70719-0.70275-0.86230
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.5%
50.5%
-139
+126
-135
+127
-1½+116
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
0
2
-0.83914-0.83466-0.68264
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
57.7%
42.3%
+141
-156
+141
-154
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
2
4
-0.51935-0.52140-0.86142
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
40.0%
60.0%
+124
-137
+126
-135
+1½-177
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
6
4
-0.83066-0.83218-0.91599
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks135-8 (0.385)0-0.73190 
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.73308 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.69687
0.03503
0.03620

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.