MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 4, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Gavin Williams
Jose Soriano
44.3%
55.7%
-109
-101
-110
+102
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+148
+1½-160
4.44
5.05
9.49
o7½-115
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Games for Apr 3, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
39.8%
60.2%
+211
-236
+210
-235
+1½+100
-1½-117
+1½+105
-1½-110
8.49
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+110
9th
TOP
0
10
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
42.0%
58.0%
-115
+104
-110
+105


9.32
o8+103
u8-122
o7½-115
u8-120
7th
BOT
2
3
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
59.9%
40.1%
+112
-123
+116
-124
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+170
10.10
o8½-105
u8½-113
o8-115
u8½-105
7th
TOP
0
4
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
43.4%
56.6%
+112
-123
+115
-124
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+175
8.79
o8-110
u8½-120
o8½+105
u8½-120
6th
TOP
0
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Toronto Blue Jays
39.3%
60.7%
+148
-162
+155
-163
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
2
5
-0.50206-0.49027-0.49908
Pittsburgh Pirates
Tampa Bay Rays
32.6%
67.4%
+158
-173
+160
-175
+1½-134
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
1
6
-0.47726-0.47276-0.39454
Texas Rangers
Cincinnati Reds
38.0%
62.0%
-124
+114
-120
+115
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
3
14
-0.78145-0.77596-0.47831
New York Mets
Miami Marlins
51.3%
48.7%
-185
+169
-182
+168
-1½-115
+1½-102
-1½-115
+1½+100
10
4
-0.45279-0.45626-0.66804
Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
45.4%
54.6%
+270
-300
+280
-288
+1½+130
-1½-144
+1½+130
-1½-135
1
6
-0.30775-0.30346-0.60439
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
59.8%
40.2%
+132
-144
+128
-138
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
5
8
-0.54834-0.56328-0.91255
Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers
37.3%
62.7%
+104
-114
+105
-114
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-198
-1½+175
11
1
-0.73560-0.73814-0.98577
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
39.6%
60.4%
-187
+171
-188
+170
-1½-115
+1½-104
-1½-112
+1½-105
0
9
-1.01733-1.01614-0.50385
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
45.1%
54.9%
+116
-126
+125
-127
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-170
-1½+168
0
5
-0.60453-0.58467-0.59968
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+157
-172
+163
-175
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+125
1
2
-0.47955-0.46844-0.75027
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
51.7%
48.3%
-106
+101
-105
-103

+1½-200
-1½+190
6
10
-0.71013-0.69788-0.72757
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
58.2%
41.8%
+135
-147
+140
-153
+1½-160
-1½+144
+1½-155
-1½+137
2
3
-0.53941-0.52415-0.87242
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
46.6%
53.4%
-110
+100
-105
+100
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+155
+1½-170
2
9
-0.71668-0.70528-0.62815
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
-119
+109
-124
+114
-1½+130
+1½-148
-1½+135
+1½-150
3
2
-0.63156-0.61201-0.86872
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
49.3%
50.7%
-101
-109
+102
-112
+1½-212
-1½+182
+1½-210
-1½+190
6
2
-0.71192-0.72619-0.70824
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
38.1%
61.9%
+160
-175
+160
-173
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-140
-1½+122
4
6
-0.47276-0.47433-0.47984
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks98-1 (0.889)0-0.57126 
Sportsbooks98-1 (0.889)0-0.57033 
DRatings94-5 (0.444)0-0.69064
-0.11939
-0.12032

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.