MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 24, 2024
Games for Dec 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.2%
60.8%
+112
-122
+115
-119
+1½-183
-1½+163
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
2
-0.77245-0.77392-0.93705
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+202
-225
+210
-229
+1½-106
-1½-114
+1½+100
-1½-113
9
5
-1.12840-1.14986-0.54851
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+168
-184
+164
-175
+1½-134
-1½+114
+1½-144
-1½+126
4
6
-0.45484-0.46703-0.75027
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
60.8%
39.2%
-149
+137
-151
+141
-1½-107
+1½-113
-1½-109
+1½-109
2
1
-0.53363-0.52457-0.49768
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
42.9%
57.1%
-142
+130
-140
+132
-1½+119
+1½-139
-1½+120
+1½-130
5
0
-0.55443-0.55326-0.84574
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.3%
39.7%
+191
-212
+190
-200
+1½-113
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½-103
2
11
-0.40928-0.41690-0.92344
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
38.3%
61.7%
+103
-113
+106
-114
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+180
3
1
-0.73091-0.74068-0.95996
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-150
+138
-142
+137
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
8
0
-0.53079-0.54178-0.93372
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
51.5%
-105
-105
-102
-103
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
1
3
-0.69315-0.69073-0.66437
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
56.1%
43.9%
-137
+126
-132
+126
-1½+122
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-140
6
3
-0.56840-0.57531-0.57770
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
40.0%
60.0%
+111
-121
+110
-115
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
6
1
-0.76791-0.75294-0.91619
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+133
-145
+137
-140
+1½-164
-1½+144
+1½-164
-1½+160
6
7
-0.54531-0.54426-0.75027
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
40.5%
59.5%
-138
+127
-136
+129
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+122
+1½-135
9
8
-0.56518-0.56405-0.90488
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
59.7%
40.3%
-238
+212
-230
+220
-1½-160
+1½+140
-1½-150
+1½+140
13
2
-0.37513-0.37044-0.51621
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.3%
39.7%
+198
-220
+190
-198
+1½-102
-1½-118
+1½-110
-1½-105
5
0
-1.11474-1.07391-0.50609
Kansas City Royals
Atlanta Braves
42.3%
57.7%
+210
-235
+200
-210
+1½+103
-1½-123
+1½-110
-1½+100
1
2
-0.37834-0.40015-0.54964
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.