MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 26, 2024

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Games for Dec 25, 2024
Games for Dec 27, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.2%
60.8%
+106
-116
+107
-113
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+175
9
2
-0.74492-0.74108-0.93705
New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers
42.9%
57.1%
-102
-108
+103
-105
-1½+152
+1½-172
+1½-200
-1½+195
0
6
-0.67930-0.67383-0.56121
Houston Astros
Cleveland Indians
63.9%
36.1%
+139
-152
+137
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
3
-0.89265-0.86814-0.44807
Tampa Bay Rays
Boston Red Sox
48.5%
51.5%
+104
-114
+106
-112
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+184
7
2
-0.73560-0.73635-0.72278
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
40.0%
60.0%
+115
-125
+112
-119
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+178
5
6
-0.60825-0.62491-0.51089
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-198
+180
-199
+181
-1½-123
+1½+103
-1½-115
+1½+100
3
6
-1.05097-1.05438-0.70637
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
57.8%
42.2%
+188
-208
+197
-205
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-113
-1½+100
4
0
-1.08008-1.09736-0.54851
Miami Marlins
Toronto Blue Jays
38.3%
61.7%
+151
-165
+158
-159
+1½-140
-1½+120
+1½-134
-1½+125
8
1
-0.94110-0.94928-0.95996
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
48.9%
51.1%
+114
-124
+122
-124
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-195
-1½+180
0
3
-0.61201-0.59539-0.67103
Pittsburgh Pirates
New York Yankees
32.4%
67.6%
+118
-128
+122
-128
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
4
-0.79924-0.80930-1.12834
St. Louis Cardinals
San Francisco Giants
40.0%
60.0%
+123
-131
+128
-127
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
6
3
-0.81742-0.82223-0.91619
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
52.8%
47.2%
+162
-168
+157
-165
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-144
-1½+135
0
2
-0.47552-0.48547-0.75027
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
62.6%
37.4%
+116
-125
+122
-127
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
5
3
-0.78847-0.80737-0.46920
Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels
39.3%
60.7%
-157
+146
-153
+147
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
5
2
-0.51008-0.51251-0.93372
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
39.2%
60.8%
+133
-140
+133
-140
+1½-150
-1½+146
+1½-150
-1½+145
7
2
-0.85830-0.85830-0.93705
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
60.8%
39.2%
-162
+149
-163
+155
-1½-117
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
11
4
-0.50048-0.49027-0.49768
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.