MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Davis Martin
Reese Olson
57.8%
42.2%
+210
-230
+210
-235
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
5.32
4.51
9.83
o7½-105
u7½-110
o7½+100
u7½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Spencer Arrighetti
Bailey Ober
55.3%
44.7%
+113
-124
+116
-125
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
5.13
4.57
9.70
o8+100
u7½+100
o7½-110
u7½+100
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Nick Pivetta
Matthew Boyd
55.5%
44.5%
+104
-114
+106
-115
+1½-215
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+200
4.50
3.91
8.41
o7+105
u7-120
o7+100
u7-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Mitchell Parker
41.1%
58.9%
-128
+116
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+122
+1½-138
4.19
5.11
9.30
o9-110
u9-110
o9-105
u9-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Roki Sasaki
Aaron Nola
50.7%
49.3%
-104
-106
-105
+100


4.14
4.07
8.21
o8½-115
u8½-104
o8½-110
u8½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Marcus Stroman
Bailey Falter
61.8%
38.2%
-146
+137
-145
+145
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
5.59
4.35
9.94
o9½-120
u9½+110
o9½-115
u9½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Tomoyuki Sugano
Michael Wacha
42.4%
57.6%
+103
-113
+104
-113
+1½-199
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+190
3.81
4.60
8.41
o8-109
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Andre Pallante
Richard Fitts
41.7%
58.3%
+111
-122
+112
-114
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.41
5.27
9.68
o9-103
u9-115
o9+100
u9-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Taj Bradley
Jacob deGrom
59.9%
40.1%
+151
-167
+155
-170
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-145
-1½+125
5.56
4.52
10.08
o7½-110
u7½-108
o7½-110
u7½-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Brady Singer
Elvin Rodriguez
43.4%
56.6%
+102
-112
+103
-111


4.05
4.74
8.79
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Chris Bassitt
Griffin Canning
51.1%
48.9%
+112
-123
+115
-122
+1½-194
-1½+169
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.72
4.60
9.32
o7½-120
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cal Quantrill
AJ Smith-Shawver
39.8%
60.2%
+217
-243
+210
-235
+1½+110
-1½-130
+1½+110
-1½-115
3.71
4.77
8.48
o8½-113
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
JP Sears
German Marquez
50.7%
49.3%
-116
+105
-115
+105
-1½+133
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-160
5.02
4.96
9.98
o9½-105
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-115
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Bryce Miller
Robbie Ray
39.2%
60.8%
+114
-126
+116
-125
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-190
-1½+175
3.91
5.04
8.95
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Tanner Bibee
Jack Kochanowicz
44.3%
55.7%
-151
+137
-143
+135
-1½+113
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-135
4.44
5.05
9.49
o8-119
u8½-115
o8-115
u8+100
Games for Apr 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
39.2%
60.8%
+161
-176
+165
-177
+1½-129
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
2
1
-0.97995-0.99077-0.93606
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
49.3%
50.7%
+100
-110
+100
-110
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
3
4
-0.67015-0.67015-0.67828
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
41.0%
59.0%
-117
+107
-120
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-155
4
5
-0.74957-0.76336-0.52801
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
+101
-111
+105
-112
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+178
2
3
-0.66563-0.65406-0.71351
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-144
+132
-150
+135
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
11
6
-0.54834-0.53604-0.68009
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
32.6%
67.4%
+104
-114
+110
-119
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
5
-0.73560-0.76132-1.12129
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
46.6%
53.4%
-113
+103
-110
+100
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
1
5
-0.73091-0.71668-0.62815
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
-160
+147
-160
+148
-1½+100
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
1
0
-0.50556-0.50395-0.86872
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
45.9%
54.1%
+147
-160
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
9
20
-0.50556-0.50078-0.61356
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.0%
69.0%
+192
-213
+200
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½+110
-1½+100
5
8
-0.40764-0.40546-0.37072
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
51.2%
48.8%
+121
-132
+126
-135
+1½-177
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
0
-0.81423-0.83218-0.66986
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
45.1%
54.9%
+120
-130
+123
-120
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.59012-0.60000-0.59968
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.2%
49.8%
+131
-143
+131
-125
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+150
1
8
-0.55137-0.57616-0.69732
New York Mets
Houston Astros
40.9%
59.1%
+101
-111
+115
-112
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
1
-0.72144-0.75886-0.89468
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
59.4%
40.6%
-110
+100
-107
-102
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
4
-0.71668-0.70492-0.90162
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
39.7%
60.3%
-126
+116
-126
+125
-1½+130
+1½-149

4
3
-0.60453-0.58621-0.92326
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.58333 
Sportsbooks1412-2 (0.857)0-0.58026 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.68311
-0.09978
-0.10284

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.