MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 1, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Jose Quintana
Mitchell Parker
54.1%
45.9%
-150
+136
-142
+136
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+107
+1½-125
4.80
4.36
9.16
o8½-113
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Jack Flaherty
Ranger Suarez
42.6%
57.4%
+133
-147
+131
-140
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+145
3.63
4.40
8.03
o7½-110
u7½-109
o7½-110
u8-120
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Michael Wacha
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
37.0%
63.0%
+132
-158
+135
-146
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+140
4.16
5.53
9.69
o8-110
u8-110
o8+100
u8-110
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
New York Mets (60-60)
Robbie Ray
David Peterson
51.5%
48.5%
+129
-142
+131
-142
+1½-172
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+150
4.09
3.93
8.02
o7½-101
u7½-115
o7½+105
u7½-115
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Hunter Brown
Cooper Criswell
50.0%
50.0%
-123
+112
-115
+111
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+140
+1½-150
4.61
4.61
9.22
o8-110
u8-110
o8-110
u8½-120
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Joe Ryan
Gavin Williams
57.1%
42.9%
+111
-122
+110
-118
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-205
-1½+185
6.55
5.81
12.36
o7-105
u7-115
o7-105
u7-110
New York Yankees (69-52)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Carlos Rodon
Janson Junk
56.1%
43.9%
-165
+149
-160
+150
-1½+100
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.98
4.34
9.32
o8+100
u7½+100
o7½-120
u7½+100
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Clayton Kershaw
Shane Baz
56.0%
44.0%
-125
+113
-124
+115
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
4.30
3.68
7.98
o9+100
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Andrew Heaney
Antonio Senzatela
39.8%
60.2%
-133
+121
-128
+120
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
4.66
5.73
10.39
o12-105
u11½-105
o11½-115
u11½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Tyler Anderson
51.7%
48.3%
+114
-136
+122
-130
+1½-175
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+160
5.11
4.94
10.05
o9-120
u9+100
o9½+100
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Matthew Liberatore
Nick Pivetta
40.2%
59.8%
+167
-185
+167
-182
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+120
3.67
4.70
8.37
o7½-110
u7½-109
o7½+100
u7½-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
36.6%
63.4%
+103
-123
+112
-122
+1½-195
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
3.79
5.20
8.99
o10-105
u10-115
o9½-115
u9½+105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Jack Leiter
Logan Gilbert
41.5%
58.5%
+167
-185
+165
-175
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
4.84
5.72
10.56
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-110
Games for Jul 31, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
49.1%
50.9%
+123
-136
+126
-135
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-160
-1½+147
8.81
o9-115
u9+101
o9-115
u9+105
8th
TOP
0
3
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
40.9%
59.1%
+126
-135
+140
-148
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-158
-1½+145
9.07
o7+105
u7-120
o7+100
u7-110
1st
TOP
0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
San Francisco Giants
43.9%
56.1%
+127
-140
+125
-135
+1½-175
-1½+154
+1½-178
-1½+160
8
1
-0.84337-0.82968-0.82351
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
-126
+114
-125
+115
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
2
3
-0.78531-0.78592-0.59046
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
+142
-157
+145
-155
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+145
0
1
-0.51666-0.51371-0.61397
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+114
-126
+116
-120
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+160
15
3
-0.78531-0.77849-0.83000
Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers
58.0%
42.0%
+129
-142
+134
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
8
-0.55629-0.54352-0.86836
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
38.7%
61.3%
-173
+156
-170
+160
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½+100
5
12
-0.96404-0.96964-0.48915
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
53.5%
46.5%
-127
+115
-125
+118
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-143
0
3
-0.78975-0.79350-0.76662
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
-101
-109
-102
-105

-1½+150
+1½-170
2
7
-0.67472-0.68605-0.71282
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
53.8%
46.2%
+103
-113
+101
-109

-1½+155
+1½-170
5
2
-0.73091-0.71701-0.62075
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
57.6%
42.4%
-102
-108
+100
-107


6
2
-0.70719-0.70991-0.55078
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
12
5
-0.92854-0.93156-0.85776
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
+171
-190
+177
-188
+1½-115
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+114
6
5
-1.02085-1.03254-0.63792
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.0%
52.0%
+101
-111
-104
-105

-1½+150
+1½-170
1
0
-0.72144-0.69549-0.73422
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
42.8%
57.2%
+195
-218
+205
-215
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-110
5
1
-1.10603-1.12550-0.84926
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
+122
-135
+125
-134
+1½-164
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
2
-0.82212-0.82789-0.80759
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+140
-148
+130
-140
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+165
5
2
-0.88882-0.85085-0.83000
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.68341 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.71294 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.62371
0.05970
0.08923

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.