MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 2, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Blake Snell
Drew Rasmussen
52.0%
48.0%
-133
+122
-124
+122
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+122
+1½-139
4.37
4.16
8.53
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tomoyuki Sugano
Matthew Boyd
40.9%
59.1%
+180
-198
+180
-195
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+106
4.27
5.22
9.49
o8-110
u8-110
o8-115
u8-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Noah Cameron
Max Scherzer
37.0%
63.0%
+138
-152
+137
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+138
4.16
5.53
9.69
o8½+105
u8½-110
o8-110
u8½-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Paul Skenes
Austin Gomber
40.9%
59.1%
-199
+179
-193
+190
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-125
+1½+120
4.59
5.54
10.13
o10-110
u10-105
o10-115
u10+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Brandon Woodruff
Jake Irvin
57.6%
42.4%
-175
+158
-170
+160
-1½-107
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-110
4.75
3.96
8.71
o8½-107
u8½-110
o8½+100
u8½-105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Tarik Skubal
Zack Wheeler
38.1%
61.9%
-113
+103
-106
+102
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-183
3.81
5.06
8.87
o6½-122
u6½+105
o6½-107
u6½+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
New York Mets (60-60)
Kai-Wei Teng
Kodai Senga
51.4%
48.6%

+183
-202

+1½-118
-1½+105
4.15
4.01
8.16

o8-110
u8-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Colton Gordon
Walker Buehler
50.0%
50.0%
-105
-105
+105
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+170
4.73
4.72
9.45
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Tanner Bibee
57.1%
42.9%

+152
-170

+1½-145
-1½+125
6.47
5.73
12.20

o7-125
u7+105
Overall Bet Value Active
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Merrill Kelly
Luis Castillo
41.4%
58.6%
+103
-123
+110
-115
-1½+165
+1½-195
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.69
5.59
10.28
o7½-110
u7½-110
o7-120
u7+100
New York Yankees (69-52)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cam Schlittler
Eury Perez
56.1%
43.9%
-113
+103
-114
+108
-1½+142
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.98
4.34
9.32
o8½+105
u8-105
o8½+100
u8½-120
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Spencer Strider
Chase Burns
52.3%
47.7%
-118
+107
-118
+115
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-150
4.52
4.29
8.81
o8½-115
u8½-105
o9-105
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Zac Gallen
J.T. Ginn
40.0%
60.0%
+100
-110
+100
-108
-1½+145
+1½-170

3.59
4.65
8.24
o10½+100
u10+100
o10-115
u10+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Aaron Civale
Kyle Hendricks
53.7%
46.3%
+129
-142
+133
-140
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-154
-1½+135
5.04
4.64
9.68
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Michael McGreevy
Randy Vasquez
40.2%
59.8%
+122
-135
+122
-132
+1½-175
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+170
3.67
4.70
8.37
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 1, 2025
Games for Aug 3, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
-126
+114
-125
+115
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-150
2
3
-0.78531-0.78592-0.59046
Washington Nationals
Minnesota Twins
45.9%
54.1%
+142
-157
+145
-155
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+145
0
1
-0.51666-0.51371-0.61397
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+114
-126
+116
-120
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+160
15
3
-0.78531-0.77849-0.83000
Atlanta Braves
Texas Rangers
58.0%
42.0%
+129
-142
+134
-145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
2
8
-0.55629-0.54352-0.86836
Chicago Cubs
Chicago White Sox
38.7%
61.3%
-173
+156
-170
+160
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½-110
+1½+100
5
12
-0.96404-0.96964-0.48915
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
53.5%
46.5%
-127
+115
-125
+118
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-143
0
3
-0.78975-0.79350-0.76662
Tampa Bay Rays
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
-101
-109
-102
-105

-1½+150
+1½-170
2
7
-0.67472-0.68605-0.71282
Los Angeles Dodgers
Boston Red Sox
53.8%
46.2%
+103
-113
+101
-109

-1½+155
+1½-170
5
2
-0.73091-0.71701-0.62075
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
57.6%
42.4%
-102
-108
+100
-107


6
2
-0.70719-0.70991-0.55078
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
42.4%
57.6%
+147
-163
+150
-160
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
12
5
-0.92854-0.93156-0.85776
Colorado Rockies
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
+171
-190
+177
-188
+1½-115
-1½+103
+1½-120
-1½+114
6
5
-1.02085-1.03254-0.63792
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
48.0%
52.0%
+101
-111
-104
-105

-1½+150
+1½-170
1
0
-0.72144-0.69549-0.73422
Miami Marlins
Milwaukee Brewers
42.8%
57.2%
+195
-218
+205
-215
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½+100
-1½-110
5
1
-1.10603-1.12550-0.84926
Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels
44.6%
55.4%
+122
-135
+125
-134
+1½-164
-1½+150
+1½-160
-1½+145
4
2
-0.82212-0.82789-0.80759
Oakland Athletics
Houston Astros
43.6%
56.4%
+140
-148
+130
-140
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-170
-1½+165
5
2
-0.88882-0.85085-0.83000
San Diego Padres
St. Louis Cardinals
57.4%
42.6%
+135
-149
+137
-150
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
9
-0.53715-0.53253-0.85259
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-6 (0.567)1-0.67215 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.66376 
DRatings1512-3 (0.800)0-0.64281
0.02935
0.02096

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.