MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 5, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedSt. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Andre Pallante
Richard Fitts
41.7%
58.3%
+118
-130
+117
-124
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.40
5.27
9.67
o8½-115
u8½-102
o8½-120
u8½+100
Games for Apr 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
41.0%
59.0%
-117
+107
-120
+110
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+135
+1½-155
4
5
-0.74957-0.76336-0.52801
San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds
51.0%
49.0%
+101
-111
+105
-112
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-200
-1½+178
2
3
-0.66563-0.65406-0.71351
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.7%
49.3%
-144
+132
-150
+135
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
11
6
-0.54834-0.53604-0.68009
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
32.6%
67.4%
+104
-114
+110
-119
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
9
5
-0.73560-0.76132-1.12129
Minnesota Twins
St. Louis Cardinals
46.6%
53.4%
-113
+103
-110
+100
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
1
5
-0.73091-0.71668-0.62815
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
-160
+147
-160
+148
-1½+100
+1½-117
-1½+100
+1½-120
1
0
-0.50556-0.50395-0.86872
Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
45.9%
54.1%
+147
-160
+150
-160
+1½-143
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
9
20
-0.50556-0.50078-0.61356
Detroit Tigers
Los Angeles Dodgers
31.0%
69.0%
+192
-213
+200
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½+110
-1½+100
5
8
-0.40764-0.40546-0.37072
Oakland Athletics
Seattle Mariners
51.2%
48.8%
+121
-132
+126
-135
+1½-177
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+160
7
0
-0.81423-0.83218-0.66986
Atlanta Braves
San Diego Padres
45.1%
54.9%
+120
-130
+123
-120
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
4
-0.59012-0.60000-0.59968
Chicago Cubs
Arizona Diamondbacks
50.2%
49.8%
+131
-143
+131
-125
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+150
1
8
-0.55137-0.57616-0.69732
New York Mets
Houston Astros
40.9%
59.1%
+101
-111
+115
-112
+1½-205
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+175
3
1
-0.72144-0.75886-0.89468
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
59.4%
40.6%
-110
+100
-107
-102
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-160
1
4
-0.71668-0.70492-0.90162
Pittsburgh Pirates
Miami Marlins
39.7%
60.3%
-126
+116
-126
+125
-1½+130
+1½-149

4
3
-0.60453-0.58621-0.92326
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
33.0%
67.0%
+112
-122
+115
-123
+1½-184
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
2
8
-0.61967-0.61153-0.39996
Colorado Rockies
Tampa Bay Rays
37.8%
62.2%
+186
-205
+190
-205
+1½-114
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½+105
2
3
-0.41885-0.41412-0.47435
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-6 (0.536)1-0.68217 
Sportsbooks148-6 (0.571)0-0.68594 
DRatings146-8 (0.429)0-0.72665
-0.04448
-0.04071

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.