MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Justin Wrobleski
Dustin May
58.8%
41.2%
-127
+115
-127
+130
-1½+118
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
5.14
4.21
9.35
o9½-115
u9½+101
o9-120
u9½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Merrill Kelly
Matthew Boyd
43.5%
56.5%
+139
-154
+140
-150
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
4.88
5.56
10.44
o12+100
u11½+103
o12+100
u11½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Spencer Strider
Kyle Freeland
53.8%
46.2%
-137
+124
-134
+140
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-110
5.10
4.69
9.79
o10+100
u10-110
o10½+100
u10½-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Parker Messick
Aaron Civale
38.9%
61.1%
-128
+116
-120
+112
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-145
3.87
5.03
8.90
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9-120
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Clay Holmes
Jack Kochanowicz
47.7%
52.3%
-123
+112
-123
+117
-1½+125
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-140
4.71
4.94
9.65
o9-103
u9-115
o9+100
u8½+110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Kris Bubic
Luis Castillo
42.6%
57.4%
+104
-115
+110
-116
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+170
4.32
5.10
9.42
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Anthony Kay
Griffin Canning
46.4%
53.6%
+151
-167
+158
-165
+1½-140
-1½+121
+1½-135
-1½+125
4.27
4.65
8.92
o8-115
u8-101
o8½+100
u8½-115
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Jack Leiter
Tyler Holton
45.3%
54.7%
+112
-123
+111
-120
+1½-195
-1½+170
+1½-200
-1½+180
4.69
5.19
9.88
o8-115
u8+100
o8-115
u8-105
Games for May 2, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
53.6%
46.4%
-107
-103
-104
-105
-1½+153
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
10.31
o8-115
u8-103
o8-105
u8-105
3rd
BOT
0
1
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
57.6%
42.4%
+106
-117
+112
-116
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+185
9.48
o7½-105
u7½-114
o7½-105
u7½-105
1st
BOT
0
0
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
54.1%
45.9%
-145
+131
-135
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
9.20
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-105
1st
BOT
0
0
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
50.0%
50.0%
+156
-173
+160
-160
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
9.36
o8½-123
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
1st
BOT
0
0
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
New York Yankees (69-52)
32.4%
67.6%
+238
-268
+260
-225
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-110
10.23
o9+103
u9-115
o9-105
u8½-105
1st
TOP
0
0
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
52.6%
47.4%
-136
+123
-132
+125
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
9.07
o8-117
u8-103
o8-110
u8-105
1st
TOP
0
0
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
46.9%
53.1%
+105
-116
+108
-112
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+185
8.00
o8-108
u8-110
o8-110
u8+100
1st
BOT
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Chicago White Sox
39.6%
60.4%
+110
-121
+113
-120
+1½-182
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4
5
-0.62581-0.62096-0.50478
Los Angeles Angels
Kansas City Royals
51.8%
48.2%
-102
-108
-103
-106


3
6
-0.67930-0.68615-0.72888
Pittsburgh Pirates
Milwaukee Brewers
33.2%
66.8%
-105
-105
-108
+115

-1½+160
+1½-155
6
0
-0.69315-0.63963-1.10241
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
+146
-161
+150
-140
+1½-142
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+143
3
5
-0.50620-0.52219-0.58974
Minnesota Twins
Tampa Bay Rays
39.9%
60.1%
+125
-138
+122
-125
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+175
2
6
-0.56900-0.59377-0.50864
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
46.8%
53.2%
+172
-191
+192
-193
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-120
-1½+115
4
3
-1.02435-1.07274-0.75956
Cleveland Indians
Toronto Blue Jays
39.3%
60.7%
-116
+105
-120
+114
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
8
6
-0.64623-0.61880-0.93420
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
59.8%
40.2%
+110
-121
+110
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
10
-0.62581-0.63113-0.91255
Detroit Tigers
Cincinnati Reds
39.3%
60.7%
-108
-102
-110
+115
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-140
8
9
-0.70719-0.75432-0.49975
Pittsburgh Pirates
Texas Rangers
36.8%
63.2%
+135
-149
+140
-150
+1½-165
-1½+147
+1½-153
-1½+145
1
6
-0.53715-0.52736-0.45912
Minnesota Twins
New York Mets
44.3%
55.7%
+103
-113
+105
-111

-1½+170
+1½-185
8
10
-0.65676-0.65610-0.58605
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
48.8%
51.2%
-147
+133
-136
+135
-1½+110
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-130
4
2
-0.54299-0.55299-0.71707
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
54.4%
45.6%
-147
+133
-149
+142
-1½+115
+1½-132
-1½+119
+1½-125
3
0
-0.54299-0.52506-0.60928
Chicago White Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks
59.9%
40.1%
+128
-141
+132
-140
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+148
4
1
-0.84756-0.85583-0.51269
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
55.5%
44.5%
-147
+133
-145
+135
-1½+105
+1½-118
-1½+100
+1½-115
10
8
-0.54299-0.54173-0.58792
Philadelphia Phillies
Chicago Cubs
51.5%
48.5%
-110
+100
-108
+105
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-160
7
8
-0.71668-0.72486-0.72453
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.67881 
Sportsbooks147-7 (0.500)0-0.68342 
DRatings147-7 (0.500)0-0.70559
-0.02679
-0.02217

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.