MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 26, 2024
Games for Dec 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
38.8%
61.2%
+104
-114
+105
-112
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-195
-1½+175
4
2
-0.73560-0.73382-0.94647
Texas Rangers
Oakland Athletics
35.8%
64.2%
-110
+100
-108
+100
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
4
5
-0.71668-0.71219-0.44342
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
58.9%
41.1%
+140
-153
+150
-150
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-159
-1½+140
11
0
-0.89664-0.91629-0.52982
Los Angeles Angels
Chicago White Sox
41.9%
58.1%
-105
-105
-105
-101
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
2
3
-0.69315-0.70275-0.54385
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
48.8%
51.2%
-114
+104
-112
+105
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-145
7
3
-0.65243-0.65406-0.71672
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
38.3%
61.7%
+119
-129
+125
-126
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+173
3
4
-0.59365-0.58621-0.48345
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins
44.8%
55.2%
+220
-248
+216
-240
+1½+102
-1½-120
+1½-105
-1½-110
4
1
-1.18797-1.17267-0.80216
Kansas City Royals
Washington Nationals
44.4%
55.6%
-190
+174
-185
+180
-1½-118
+1½+100
-1½-115
+1½+100
1
0
-0.44279-0.43838-0.81200
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
44.1%
55.9%
+130
-142
+132
-138
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
5
-0.55443-0.55582-0.58239
Boston Red Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
45.4%
54.6%
+115
-125
+116
-122
+1½-192
-1½+167
+1½-185
-1½+175
6
5
-0.78592-0.78255-0.78887
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
34.1%
65.9%
+147
-160
+152
-160
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+130
5
3
-0.92425-0.93639-1.07599
Cincinnati Reds
Cleveland Indians
50.7%
49.3%
+174
-190
+176
-184
+1½-127
-1½+115
+1½-123
-1½+105
1
6
-0.44279-0.44420-0.70682
Chicago Cubs
Philadelphia Phillies
42.1%
57.9%
-101
-109
+102
-107

-1½+170
+1½-190
10
4
-0.71192-0.71498-0.86403
Milwaukee Brewers
Pittsburgh Pirates
60.9%
39.1%
-145
+133
-144
+134
-1½+120
+1½-129
-1½+112
+1½-130
7
2
-0.54531-0.54473-0.49564
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
59.8%
40.2%
+165
-180
+175
-180
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
1
2
-0.46185-0.44830-0.91250
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
60.5%
39.5%
+169
-185
+175
-180
+1½-122
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
6
3
-1.01019-1.01807-0.50277
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.