MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 2, 2025

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Blake Snell
Drew Rasmussen
52.0%
48.0%
-112
+103
-114
+105
-1½+138
+1½-158
-1½+140
+1½-155
4.37
4.16
8.53
o8½-119
u8½+100
o9-105
u8½+100
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Tomoyuki Sugano
Matthew Boyd
40.9%
59.1%
+190
-210
+187
-205
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+100
4.27
5.22
9.49
o7½+103
u7½-115
o7½+105
u7½-110
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Noah Cameron
Max Scherzer
37.0%
63.0%
+127
-140
+127
-137
+1½-167
-1½+147
+1½-170
-1½+152
4.16
5.53
9.69
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Paul Skenes
Austin Gomber
40.9%
59.1%
-205
+185
-205
+187
-1½-135
+1½+115
-1½-135
+1½+120
4.56
5.52
10.08
o10½-105
u10-105
o10-115
u10+100
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Brandon Woodruff
Jake Irvin
57.6%
42.4%
-182
+164
-175
+163
-1½-110
+1½-104
-1½-110
+1½-105
4.71
3.91
8.62
o8½-105
u8½-112
o8½-110
u8½-110
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Tarik Skubal
Zack Wheeler
38.1%
61.9%
+102
-112
-101
-108


3.74
4.99
8.73
o6½-117
u6½+100
o6½-115
u6½+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
New York Mets (60-60)
Kai-Wei Teng
Kodai Senga
51.4%
48.6%
+169
-187
+173
-186
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+107
4.12
3.97
8.09
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Colton Gordon
Walker Buehler
50.0%
50.0%
+112
-123
+112
-122
+1½-188
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.73
4.72
9.45
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½+100
u9½-120
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Bailey Ober
Tanner Bibee
57.1%
42.9%
+154
-170
+160
-167
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+130
6.50
5.75
12.25
o7-115
u7-105
o7-110
u7-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Merrill Kelly
Luis Castillo
41.4%
58.6%
+107
-118
+110
-117
+1½-213
-1½+182
+1½-210
-1½+185
4.71
5.61
10.32
o7½-110
u7½-108
o7½-105
u7½-110
New York Yankees (69-52)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Cam Schlittler
Eury Perez
56.1%
43.9%
+103
-113
-101
-105

-1½+160
+1½-180
4.98
4.34
9.32
o8+100
u8-115
o8+100
u8-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Spencer Strider
Chase Burns
52.3%
47.7%
-116
+105
-113
+110
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-155
4.52
4.29
8.81
o8½+105
u8½-120
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Zac Gallen
J.T. Ginn
40.0%
60.0%
+103
-113
+105
-114
+1½-193
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+170
3.59
4.65
8.24
o10-115
u10-103
o10-115
u10-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Aaron Civale
Kyle Hendricks
53.7%
46.3%
+130
-143
+132
-143
+1½-158
-1½+138
+1½-155
-1½+140
5.04
4.64
9.68
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Michael McGreevy
Randy Vasquez
40.2%
59.8%
+131
-145
+128
-138
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
3.67
4.70
8.37
o8½-120
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Games for Aug 1, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Blue Jays
Detroit Tigers
58.0%
42.0%
+127
-140
+126
-135
+1½-170
-1½+157
+1½-180
-1½+160
11
4
-0.84337-0.83218-0.54430
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+101
-109
+107
-105
+1½-195
-1½+174
+1½-190
-1½+180
4
3
-0.71701-0.72282-0.70680
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
55.9%
44.1%
+127
-140
+130
-138
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
2
-0.56258-0.55953-0.81862
Chicago White Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
46.2%
53.8%
+189
-210
+190
-210
+1½-105
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-105
11
9
-1.08441-1.08672-0.77152
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
47.4%
52.6%
-140
+127
-135
+126
-1½+120
+1½-137
-1½+125
+1½-140
4
8
-0.84337-0.83218-0.64304
Boston Red Sox
Philadelphia Phillies
52.6%
47.4%
+140
-155
+145
-150
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
9
8
-0.89968-0.90421-0.64253
Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Indians
49.3%
50.7%
+116
-128
+118
-128
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
3
-0.60139-0.59724-0.67968
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.5%
66.5%
+190
-205
+191
-210
+1½+110
-1½-119
+1½+100
-1½-115
3
4
-0.41412-0.41030-0.40862
Houston Astros
Arizona Diamondbacks
61.8%
38.2%
+122
-135
+125
-132
+1½-180
-1½+157
+1½-160
-1½+170
4
3
-0.82212-0.82426-0.48088
Milwaukee Brewers
Seattle Mariners
52.3%
47.7%
+102
-112
-101
-108
+1½-215
-1½+185
+1½-215
-1½+190
10
2
-0.72619-0.70966-0.64838
St. Louis Cardinals
Colorado Rockies
48.8%
51.2%
-179
+161
-174
+165
-1½-120
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+110
0
6
-0.98377-0.98687-0.67011
Kansas City Royals
Chicago Cubs
45.3%
54.7%
+147
-163
+156
-170
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+115
8
4
-0.92854-0.96006-0.79242
Los Angeles Angels
New York Mets
45.9%
54.1%
+149
-165
+155
-165
+1½-130
-1½+119
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
6
-0.49774-0.48848-0.61426
Detroit Tigers
Pittsburgh Pirates
50.2%
49.8%
-127
+115
-128
+119
-1½+128
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-135
1
6
-0.78975-0.80176-0.69637
San Francisco Giants
Atlanta Braves
48.7%
51.3%
+137
-151
+141
-147
+1½-150
-1½+134
+1½-150
-1½+140
9
3
-0.88615-0.88965-0.71849
San Diego Padres
Miami Marlins
53.1%
46.9%
-137
+124
-138
+130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
2
3
-0.83066-0.84742-0.75816
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks158-6 (0.567)1-0.67215 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.66376 
DRatings1512-3 (0.800)0-0.64281
0.02935
0.02096

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.